Area Forecast Discussion
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062
FXUS64 KLUB 052123
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
323 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

.SHORT TERM...
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA FOR
MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  FLOW WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY LATE
AS UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA BEGINS TO MOVE EASTWARD WITH
THE MAIN FLOW.  ALL IN ALL...QUITE PLEASANT CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.  TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE ON THE CHILLY
SIDE THOUGH WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN JUST HIGH ENOUGH TO PREVENT
TEMPS FROM DROPPING TOO FAR.  A NICE REBOUND TO TEMPERATURES WITH
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO NEAR 60 MOST LOCATIONS.

.LONG TERM...
THE LONG TERM FORECAST WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN LARGELY
UNEVENTFUL. THERE MAY BE A BIT OF A SHIFT FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES
ON SUNDAY. A CLOSED LOW SITTING OFF THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
WILL OPEN UP AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN US. ALTHOUGH
WEAKENING SIGNIFICANTLY BY THE TIME IT GETS TO WEST TEXAS...IT SHOWS
UP AS A SHARPER TROUGH THAN IN PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. MUCH OF THE LIFT
WILL BE CONCENTRATED TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE REGION WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK. THERE WILL BE NOTABLE INCREASE IN MOISTURE
AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH BUT WILL BE LIMITED TO AREAS OFF THE CAPROCK.
BEST CASE SCENARIO AT THE MOMENT IS THAT THE ROLLING PLAINS WILL
RECEIVE A QUICK CHANCE AT SOME LIGHT RAIN ON SUNDAY BUT NOTHING
SIGNIFICANT.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE A SLOW WARMING TREND THROUGH NEXT WEEK
UNDER SPLIT FLOW ALOFT. WEST TEXAS WILL BE UNDER GENERAL TROUGHINESS
KEEPING THE WARMUP FROM GETTING OUT OF HAND. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        20  53  24  55 /   0   0   0   0
TULIA         19  52  24  56 /   0   0   0   0
PLAINVIEW     19  50  26  54 /   0   0   0   0
LEVELLAND     21  51  26  53 /   0   0   0   0
LUBBOCK       19  50  27  54 /   0   0   0   0
DENVER CITY   21  50  26  52 /   0   0   0   0
BROWNFIELD    22  50  27  54 /   0   0   0   0
CHILDRESS     21  55  28  59 /   0   0   0   0
SPUR          22  51  28  55 /   0   0   0   0
ASPERMONT     23  54  28  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

01/26

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