Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Skip options and go directly to product.
Home | Oldest Version | Next Version | Current Version | All | Text Only | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off

Skip product version selection by date and time.   

935
FXUS64 KLUB 130748
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
248 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.SHORT TERM...
THE COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED WELL TO OUR SOUTH TO ACROSS FAR SOUTH
TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING...LEAVING IN ITS WAKE INTERMITTENT GUSTY
N-NE SFC WINDS. DESPITE FLEETING FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING...LINGERING
LIGHT SHOWERS ENSUED MAINLY ACROSS THE SRN-HALF OF THE CWA LIKELY
DUE TO A PERSISTENT FETCH OF ERN PACIFIC MID-UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE...AS WELL AS MODEST /ALBEIT SLIGHTLY DECLINED/ LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE /PWATS OF 1.20-1.40 INCHES/. MODEL SOLUTIONS HINT AT THE
AFOREMENTIONED LIGHT PRECIP TO STICK AROUND THROUGH LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTN...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE TEXAS AND NEW MEXICO
BORDER NEAREST TO WEAK EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE WSW FLOW
ALOFT. PROGGED MODEL SOUNDINGS EXHIBITED THE LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUD
COVER TO BRIEFLY SCATTER OUT A BIT BY LATE AFTN...WHILST THE SFC
RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION MAKING WAY FOR A WEAK NEARBY SFC
TROUGH. THE RESULT WILL BE SFC WINDS VEERING TO THE SOUTH THUS
ENCOURAGING TEMPS TO WARM INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S /WHICH IS
STILL APPROX 20 DEGREES BELOW NORM/. TONIGHT...THE RETURN OF LOW TO
MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS COUPLED WITH SRLY SFC FLOW WILL CAUSE OVERNIGHT
LOWS TO BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT /50S/.

&&

.LONG TERM...
NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN LOOKS TO BE MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS COMBINATION
OF A WEAK COLD FRONT...LINGERING DEEP MOISTURE...AND MODEST UPPER
DYNAMICS COURTESY OF SRN BRANCH OF A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN OVER THE
WRN CONUS. AFTERWARDS...DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER LIKELY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE ROCKIES. THE RIDGE WILL BRING
NWLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS ADVECTING DRIER MID AND UPPER
LEVEL AIR SWD WHILE THE RIDGE ALSO CUTS OFF THE DEEP MOISTURE FROM
THE TROPICAL CONNECTION TO ODILE IN THE ERN PACIFIC. WARMEST TEMPS
MAY COME VERY LATE IN THE WEEK WHEN AN UPPER TROUGH BREAKS DOWN
THE RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES...ROLLING THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE EWD
TOWARD WEST TEXAS. OVERALL THE PREVIOUS FCST WAS IN GOOD SHAPE
WITH GENERALLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE...MASSAGING POPS MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...AND TEMPS MID TO LATE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        66  52  78  57  78 /  20  10  10  10  30
TULIA         65  53  78  59  80 /  10  10  10  10  20
PLAINVIEW     65  54  77  60  80 /  10  10  10  10  20
LEVELLAND     65  55  76  60  80 /  20  10  10  10  20
LUBBOCK       65  56  77  62  79 /  20  10  10  10  20
DENVER CITY   65  57  75  61  80 /  20  10  10  10  20
BROWNFIELD    65  57  77  62  81 /  20  10  10  10  20
CHILDRESS     68  57  81  64  85 /  10  10  10  10  30
SPUR          66  58  79  63  84 /  10  10  10  10  30
ASPERMONT     68  59  80  66  86 /  10  10  10  10  30

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

29/07

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.