Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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884
FXUS64 KLUB 280251 AAA
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
951 PM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

.UPDATE...
UPDATED TO LOWER POPS IN OUR NWRN COUNTIES WHILE RAISING VALUES
IN THE NORTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT. IR SATELLITE
DATA IN THE PAST HOUR HAS SHOWN A RESPECTABLE MATURATION OF
CONVECTION IN FLOYD COUNTY COINCIDENT WITH A SMALL-SCALE MCV
OBSERVED JUST SOUTH OF FLOYDADA AT 930 PM PER 88D DATA. AS HAS
BEEN THE CASE IN PAST DAYS...THESE SMALL FEATURES HAVE TENDED TO
FOCUS THE LION/S SHARE OF NOCTURNAL PRECIP AND THIS CERTAINLY
APPEARS TO BE THE CASE TONIGHT FOR OUR NERN COUNTIES...ALTHOUGH
ADDITIONAL AND MORE DIFFUSE SHOWERS/TSTORMS REMAIN A POSSIBILITY
AREA WIDE CONSIDERING THE NUMBER OF REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES IN
A WEAKLY UNSETTLED SWLY FLOW REGIME. NO OTHER UPDATES NECESSARY
ATTM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 637 PM CDT WED AUG 27 2014/

AVIATION...
SCTD TSRA AT 630 PM ABOUT 15W LBB MOVG NE WARRANT A TEMPO THUNDER
THRU 02Z AT LBB...BUT OVERALL THESE STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE
DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE IN THE HOURS AHEAD. EARLIER TS AT CDS HAVE
SINCE DISSIPATED AND CONDS THERE LOOK TO BE QUIET THRU THE NIGHT.

ANOTHER ROUND OF TSRA APPEARS LIKELY TO DEVELOP AROUND OR AFTER
18Z THU JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE FROM LBB TO CDS AS AN UPPER TROUGH
MOVES INTO THE REGION. ENTERED GENERIC PROB30S FOR BOTH TERMINALS
AS THE TIMING AND COVERAGE OF TS AT THIS POINT ARE UNCLEAR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        62  88  59  86  60 /  20  30  30  20  20
TULIA         66  88  62  86  63 /  20  40  40  30  20
PLAINVIEW     66  89  63  87  64 /  20  40  40  20  20
LEVELLAND     66  91  64  88  64 /  20  40  40  20  20
LUBBOCK       69  91  67  90  67 /  20  40  40  30  20
DENVER CITY   66  93  65  90  65 /  20  40  40  20  20
BROWNFIELD    67  93  65  90  65 /  20  40  40  20  20
CHILDRESS     73  92  69  90  70 /  30  50  50  30  30
SPUR          68  94  66  91  67 /  30  50  50  30  30
ASPERMONT     72  97  70  94  70 /  20  50  50  30  30

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

93

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