Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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197
FXUS64 KLUB 120441 AAA
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1041 PM CST THU DEC 11 2014

.UPDATE...
UPDATED FOR DENSE FOG THREAT TONIGHT MAINLY ON THE CAPROCK.
LATEST TRENDS FROM IR SATELLITE AND REGIONAL METARS CONFIRM FOG
IS QUICKLY DEVELOPING IN FAR SERN NM AND OUR SWRN COUNTIES. LOW
STRATUS IS ALSO NOTED ON SOME AREA SKYCAMS INCLUDING WHITEFACE...
HOWEVER THE THEME OVERNIGHT WILL BE DETERIORATING VISBYS AS VERY
MOIST SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION. RECENT HRRR
RUNS FIT THIS THINKING WELL AND FAVOR DENSE FOG MAINLY ON THE
CAPROCK. WILL RUN DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT UNTIL 10 AM FRI
AT WHICH POINT DEEPER MIXING WILL ERODE MUCH OF THE FOG.

&&

.AVIATION...
POOR FLYING CONDITIONS THROUGH MID-MORNING FRIDAY AT ALL TERMINALS
DUE TO IMPENDING IFR CIGS AND VISBYS. FOG AND STRATUS ARE LOOMING
NEAR LBB AT 0430Z AND SHOULD OVERTAKE THE TERMINAL NEAR MIDNIGHT
WITH DENSE FOG A GOOD BET THEREAFTER. SIMILAR STORY EXPECTED AT
PVW. CDS MAY ESCAPE THE WORST VISBYS...BUT MVFR CIGS IN THE COMING
HOURS WILL LIKELY FALL TO IFR BEFORE DAYBREAK. VFR REMAINS DUE TO
RETURN BY EARLY AFTN AT ALL TAF SITES WITH SWLY WINDS AOB 10 KNOTS.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: TXZ021>024-027>030-033>036-039>041.

&&

$$

93

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