Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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118
FXUS64 KLUB 290430
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1130 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014

.UPDATE...
06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. QUICK UPDATE TO REMOVE PRECIP
MENTION OVERNIGHT FOR ALL BUT THE SRN ROLLING PLAINS AND SCALE
BACK CLOUD COVER. AXIS OF DEEPEST LIFT PER WATER VAPOR DATA
CONTINUES TO SHUFFLE EAST ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS AND INTO NW TX
AHEAD OF INCREASING SUBSIDENCE AND MUCH LOWER PWATS. READILY
APPARENT COLD POCKET FARTHER N-NW IN THE TX PANHANDLE WILL ALSO
PIVOT EAST OVERNIGHT AND PERHAPS GARNER NEW TSTORMS NEAR THE
WESTERN FRINGES OF RICHER PWATS...BUT THIS SCENARIO SEEMS MOST
LIKELY WELL NORTH OF OUR AREA ACROSS THE ERN TX PANHANDLE.

LASTLY...ONCOMING SHIFT WILL MONITOR FOR THE THREAT OF SOME FOG
THRU THE MORNING AS LATEST WEST TX MESONET OBS ARE SHOWING LOW
DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS PARTICULARLY IN BRISCOE AND FLOYD COUNTIES.
LIGHT UPSLOPE COMPONENT TO WINDS MAY PROVE JUST ENOUGH TO PREVENT
THIS MOISTURE FROM SETTLING OUT AS ALL DEW AND RESULT IN FOG...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW ATTM FOR MENTION IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
MAY SEE SOME LIGHT FOG DEVELOP THRU 14Z MAINLY AT LBB...BUT THIS
THREAT IS TOO CONDITIONAL FOR ANY MORE MENTION THAN THIS.
OTHERWISE...THE WINDOW FOR TSRA HAS CLOSED AT LBB AND CDS...BUT
THIS MAY CRACK OPEN JUST ENUF BY FRI AFTN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT
STALLS IN THE VICINITY OF THE TERMINALS. WILL OPT FOR A PROB30 AT
CDS AND LBB TO DRAW ATTENTION TO THIS SCENARIO.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        58  85  61  90  62 /  10  20  20  10  10
TULIA         61  88  64  92  65 /  10  30  20  10  10
PLAINVIEW     61  88  65  91  65 /  10  30  20  10  10
LEVELLAND     63  88  64  91  64 /  10  30  20  10  10
LUBBOCK       66  91  68  93  69 /  10  30  20  10  10
DENVER CITY   64  91  66  92  65 /  10  30  20  10  10
BROWNFIELD    64  91  66  93  66 /  10  30  20  10  10
CHILDRESS     69  93  72  95  72 /  10  30  30  10  10
SPUR          66  92  67  94  67 /  30  30  30  10  10
ASPERMONT     69  95  72  97  71 /  60  40  30  20  10

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

93

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