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Product Version: 2013-06-18 23:26:18 2013-06-18 20:41:21 2013-06-18 17:34:27 2013-06-18 11:21:55 2013-06-18 07:43:32 2013-06-18 04:29:13 2013-06-17 23:35:15 2013-06-17 20:06:27 2013-06-17 17:39:30 2013-06-17 16:22:53 2013-06-17 11:25:44 2013-06-17 08:06:26 2013-06-17 04:44:32 2013-06-16 23:27:59 2013-06-16 19:55:07 2013-06-16 17:22:16 2013-06-16 12:55:36 2013-06-16 12:55:20 2013-06-16 11:21:01 2013-06-16 07:27:01 2013-06-16 04:41:57 2013-06-15 23:36:07 2013-06-15 20:14:18 2013-06-15 17:37:49 2013-06-15 11:21:04 2013-06-15 07:40:27 2013-06-15 04:57:41 2013-06-14 23:56:04 2013-06-14 20:06:59 2013-06-14 17:44:00 2013-06-14 16:21:42 2013-06-14 11:20:46 2013-06-14 07:44:19 2013-06-14 04:52:47 2013-06-13 23:23:56 2013-06-13 20:16:54 2013-06-13 17:37:16 2013-06-13 11:29:04 2013-06-13 08:45:26 2013-06-13 04:49:35 2013-06-12 23:24:41 2013-06-12 20:11:13 2013-06-12 17:00:53 2013-06-12 11:16:13 2013-06-12 09:34:54 2013-06-12 04:46:55 ALL   

350
FXUS64 KLUB 120446
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1146 PM CDT TUE JUN 11 2013


.AVIATION...
NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST. A SURFACE TROUGH MOVING EAST ACROSS THE
REGION MAY BRING A MORE SWERLY FETCH TO THE WIND THIS MORNING...THEN
RETURNING TO THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 PM CDT TUE JUN 11 2013/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. SOUTHERLY
SURFACE WINDS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY DURING THE DAYTIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 254 PM CDT TUE JUN 11 2013/

SHORT TERM...
QUIET SENSIBLE WX NEXT 24 HOURS BUT HOT AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
PARKED OVERHEAD. ASIDE FROM WARM TEMPERATURES...A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE NORTHWESTERN PANHANDLE TOMORROW MORNING AND QUICKLY
RETREAT NORTHWARD. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE MILDLY
BREEZY DURING THE DAY AND SHIFTING SOUTHWESTERLY AT NIGHT WITH
DOWNSLOPE FLOW.

LONG TERM...
WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THIS
WEEK WITH AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES MAY COOL OFF A
FEW DEGREES EARLY THIS WEEKEND WITH AN EASTERLY WAVE POISED TO
AFFECT WEST TEXAS. THIS EASTERLY WAVE WILL UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND
MOVE UP INTO WEST TEXAS FROM THE SOUTH BY FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALSO
DRAW UP MONSOONAL MOISTURE FLOW INTO THE REGION. TIMING OF THE WAVE
IS STILL A BIT OF AN ISSUE WITH THE GFS AND GFS ENSEMBLES DEPICTING
A FASTER SOLUTION THAN THE ECMWF. SLOWER SOLUTIONS WOULD FAVOR BEST
RAIN CHANCES ON SATURDAY RATHER THAN A FASTER FRIDAY SOLUTION. AT
UPPER LEVELS...THIS WAVE IS RATHER POORLY DEFINED. NONETHELESS...THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL BE JUICY WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE FOR THIS WAVE TO
WORK WITH. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE A THREAT WITH THUNDERSTORMS
ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL FLOW WILL BE RELATIVELY STRONG ON FRIDAY BUT MUCH
WEAKER AND MORE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ON SATURDAY. JDV

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        64  96  65  95  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
TULIA         67  98  68  96  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
PLAINVIEW     68  98  68  95  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LEVELLAND     69  97  69  94  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
LUBBOCK       69  98  70  95  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENVER CITY   68  96  69  95  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
BROWNFIELD    70  97  70  95  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
CHILDRESS     70 101  72 100  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPUR          70  99  72  97  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ASPERMONT     72 100  74  99  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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