National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home | Oldest Version | Previous Version | Current Version | All | Text Only | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off

Product Version: 2013-05-24 18:04:35 2013-05-24 11:48:21 2013-05-24 09:40:48 2013-05-24 04:22:44 2013-05-24 03:11:14 2013-05-24 02:04:18 2013-05-23 23:34:43 2013-05-23 17:36:55 2013-05-23 12:43:31 2013-05-23 09:46:45 2013-05-23 04:53:06 2013-05-23 00:01:09 2013-05-22 21:00:12 2013-05-22 11:44:36 2013-05-22 09:54:17 2013-05-22 04:27:11 2013-05-21 23:07:50 2013-05-21 21:04:23 2013-05-21 18:24:20 2013-05-21 11:38:27 2013-05-21 09:45:11 2013-05-21 04:33:29 2013-05-20 23:20:55 2013-05-20 20:41:57 2013-05-20 11:39:00 2013-05-20 09:15:22 2013-05-20 04:34:39 2013-05-20 00:16:17 2013-05-19 20:13:05 2013-05-19 17:29:33 2013-05-19 16:29:14 2013-05-19 11:06:45 2013-05-19 09:03:44 2013-05-19 04:41:14 2013-05-19 02:29:35 2013-05-18 23:51:33 2013-05-18 20:19:46 2013-05-18 17:44:20 2013-05-18 16:31:20 2013-05-18 11:48:32 2013-05-18 10:17:16 2013-05-18 04:59:09 2013-05-18 00:06:42 2013-05-17 20:28:41 ALL   

672
FXUS64 KLUB 241804 AAA
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
104 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.UPDATE...
18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION INCLUDED BELOW. SMALL UPDATE MOSTLY TO
BUMP UP HIGH TEMPS ACROSS THE BOARD TODAY GIVEN RECENT OBSERVED
TRENDS. POP-WISE...THE BEST CHANCES FOR AFTN TSTRMS ARE TENDING TO
FAVOR OUR EASTERN COUNTIES IN LIGHT OF A SLOWLY-RETREATING AREA OF
CUMULUS OBSERVED FROM QUANAH SOUTH TO HASKELL. RECENT HRRR RUNS
SEEM THE MOST CREDIBLE WITH INITIATION NEAR OUR EASTERN-MOST
COUNTIES BY EARLY-MID AFTN WITH REDUCED CHANCES FARTHER WEST.
RECENT LUBBOCK RADAR AND WTM STATIONS HAVE SHOWN A SUBTLE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY LIFTING NORTHWEST BETWEEN TAHOKA AND GRAHAM...ALTHOUGH I
AM NOT OPTIMISTIC THIS FEATURE WILL IMPROVE CHANCES FOR PRECIP ON
THE CAPROCK AS WATER VAPOR SHOWS A NARROW ZONE OF SUBSIDENCE
SPREADING NORTH. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST REMAINS IN CHECK.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON COULD BE THREATENED BY A FEW +TSRA
WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF THIS OCCURRING AT CDS...HOWEVER LOW
COVERAGE OF STORMS IMPLIES KEEPING PRECIP MENTION OUT FOR NOW.
CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER THAT LOW CIGS AND/OR SOME LIGHT FOG WILL
DEVELOP EARLY SAT MORNING AT THE TERMINALS...SO HAVE INSERTED A
PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS AS MOIST SELY WINDS REMAIN INTACT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        84  60  84  60  93 /  20  20  20  20  20
TULIA         83  62  83  60  92 /  20  20  20  20  10
PLAINVIEW     84  63  83  61  91 /  20  20  20  20  10
LEVELLAND     85  64  84  62  92 /  20  20  20  20  10
LUBBOCK       84  65  83  63  92 /  20  20  20  20  10
DENVER CITY   85  64  84  61  92 /  20  20  20  20  10
BROWNFIELD    85  65  84  62  92 /  20  20  20  20  10
CHILDRESS     83  66  85  66  93 /  30  20  20  20  10
SPUR          83  66  82  63  91 /  20  20  20  20  10
ASPERMONT     84  67  84  66  92 /  30  20  20  20  10

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

93/99/93