Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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659
FXUS64 KLUB 130857
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
357 AM CDT WED AUG 13 2014

.SHORT TERM...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL PRETTY MUCH BE SITTING OVERHEAD TODAY BRING
WITH IT DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS FOR THE AREA.  MONSOONAL MOISTURE
SHOULD BE WELL INTO NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON.  A FEW CLOUDS SHOULD
MAKE THEIR APPEARANCE THOUGH MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BE QUITE SCANT
AND A H6 CAP SHOULD KEEP ANY VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT FAIRLY SHALLOW.
TEMPERATURES WILL JUMP ABOUT 5 DEGREES OVER WHAT WE SAW YESTERDAY.
THE SENSIBLE WEATHER SHOULD REMAIN RATHER TRANQUIL WITH NEAR
SEASONAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST...HOTTER AND DRIER WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS
UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE...SHORTWAVES MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
BEGIN TO GRADUALLY FLATTEN THE UPPER RIDGE BY FRIDAY. MONSOONAL FLOW
RETURNS...WITH MOISTURE FILLING IN BEHIND CLOSED LOW ACROSS CENTRAL
PLAINS WHICH WILL RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT SPREADING ACROSS WEST
TEXAS INTO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY MAY TRIGGER SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN AN OTHERWISE
WEAKLY FORCED ENVIRONMENT SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...GIVEN HOT TEMPS AND
INCREASED DEWPT DEPRESSIONS ANY STORMS WOULD BE RELATIVELY HIGH
BASED.

THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK WILL BRING NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND WEAK RIDGING ALOFT ACROSS WEST TEXAS WILL KEEP
TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL...WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE STILL PRESENT IN UPPER
LEVELS AND NORTHWEST FLOW...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS THE THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
WEST TEXAS...GIVEN UNCERTAINTY FOR LOCATION AND COVERAGE HAVE KEPT
POPS THE SAME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        92  63  92  64  95 /   0   0  10  10  10
TULIA         93  64  94  65  96 /   0   0   0  10  10
PLAINVIEW     92  64  93  65  95 /   0   0   0  10  10
LEVELLAND     93  65  93  65  95 /   0   0   0  10  10
LUBBOCK       94  67  94  67  96 /   0   0   0  10  10
DENVER CITY   93  65  93  65  97 /   0   0   0  10  10
BROWNFIELD    94  65  94  64  98 /   0   0   0  10  10
CHILDRESS     97  69 100  70 100 /   0   0   0  10  10
SPUR          97  66  97  66 100 /   0   0   0  10  10
ASPERMONT     98  69  99  69 100 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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