542
FXUS64 KLUB 112333
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
633 PM CDT TUE JUN 11 2013
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. SOUTHERLY
SURFACE WINDS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY DURING THE DAYTIME.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 254 PM CDT TUE JUN 11 2013/
SHORT TERM...
QUIET SENSIBLE WX NEXT 24 HOURS BUT HOT AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
PARKED OVERHEAD. ASIDE FROM WARM TEMPERATURES...A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE NORTHWESTERN PANHANDLE TOMORROW MORNING AND QUICKLY
RETREAT NORTHWARD. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE MILDLY
BREEZY DURING THE DAY AND SHIFTING SOUTHWESTERLY AT NIGHT WITH
DOWNSLOPE FLOW.
LONG TERM...
WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THIS
WEEK WITH AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES MAY COOL OFF A
FEW DEGREES EARLY THIS WEEKEND WITH AN EASTERLY WAVE POISED TO
AFFECT WEST TEXAS. THIS EASTERLY WAVE WILL UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND
MOVE UP INTO WEST TEXAS FROM THE SOUTH BY FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALSO
DRAW UP MONSOONAL MOISTURE FLOW INTO THE REGION. TIMING OF THE WAVE
IS STILL A BIT OF AN ISSUE WITH THE GFS AND GFS ENSEMBLES DEPICTING
A FASTER SOLUTION THAN THE ECMWF. SLOWER SOLUTIONS WOULD FAVOR BEST
RAIN CHANCES ON SATURDAY RATHER THAN A FASTER FRIDAY SOLUTION. AT
UPPER LEVELS...THIS WAVE IS RATHER POORLY DEFINED. NONETHELESS...THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL BE JUICY WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE FOR THIS WAVE TO
WORK WITH. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE A THREAT WITH THUNDERSTORMS
ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL FLOW WILL BE RELATIVELY STRONG ON FRIDAY BUT MUCH
WEAKER AND MORE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ON SATURDAY. JDV
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA 64 96 65 95 66 / 0 0 0 0 0
TULIA 67 98 68 96 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
PLAINVIEW 68 98 68 95 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
LEVELLAND 69 97 69 94 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
LUBBOCK 69 98 70 95 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
DENVER CITY 68 96 69 95 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
BROWNFIELD 70 97 70 95 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
CHILDRESS 70 101 72 100 72 / 0 0 0 0 0
SPUR 70 99 72 97 72 / 0 0 0 0 0
ASPERMONT 72 100 74 99 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
&&
.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
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