NWS Jacksonville, FL [DY3 Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)]

NWS Jacksonville » Text Product » DY3 Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)


Printer-friendly Version  Surrounding:  CHS FFC TAE TBW MLB
Current Version              Previous Versions:   1  2  3  4  5  6  

Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (ac)

000
ACUS03 KWNS 250725
SWODY3
SPC AC 250724

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0124 AM CST WED NOV 25 2009

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...SYNOPSIS/FCST...
DEEP UPR TROUGH EXPECTED ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD EARLY ON FRIDAY WILL
CONTINUE ENE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND CST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.  NEXT IN
A SERIES OF ADVERTISED UPR SYSTEMS WILL EVOLVE OVER THE WRN CONUS
DURING THE DAY 3 PD.  THE UPR TROUGH IS FCST TO SPLIT WITH NRN
STREAM ENERGY MOVING TOWARD THE NRN ROCKIES AND A SRN STREAM IMPULSE
LIKELY CLOSING INTO A LOW OVER SRN CA BY EARLY SATURDAY.
DOWNSTREAM...A SUB-TROPICAL WAVE WILL EJECT ACROSS NRN MEXICO AND
INTO THE SRN PLAINS.

STRONG SFC ANTICYCLONE BUILDING SEWD IN WAKE OF THE ERN STATES
SYSTEM WILL FORCE A CP AIR MASS WELL INTO THE SRN GULF OF MEXICO BY
FRIDAY AFTN.  AS THE SUB-TROPICAL IMPULSE TRANSLATES TOWARD THE SRN
PLNS...WEAK RETURN FLOW IS EXPECTED INTO PARTS OF CNTRL/SRN
TX...WITH ONLY A PARTIALLY-MODIFIED GULF BOUNDARY LAYER ADVECTING
INLAND. THUS...ONLY ISOLD AND SUB-SVR TSTMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN TX FRIDAY AFTN/NIGHT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
UPR WAVE.

OTHER ISOLD TSTMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE UPR TROUGH ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN W AMIDST STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FAVORABLE
OROGRAPHIC/DYNAMIC UVV.

..RACY.. 11/25/2009




  • National Weather Service
  • Jacksonville, FL Weather Forecast Office
  • 13701 Fang Dr.
  • Jacksonville, FL 32218
  • (904) 741-4370
  • Page Author: JAX Webmaster
  • Web Master's E-mail: sr-jax.webmaster@noaa.gov
  • Page last modified: 10-Jun-2009 7:37 PM UTC
USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.