National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

Area Forecast Discussion

709
FXUS62 KJAX 020108
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
908 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013

.UPDATE...HIGH PRES RIDGE EXISTS NEAR THE SFC OVER SRN GA AND THE
CAROLINAS WITH MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER FL TO THE TN VALLEY.
WELL-DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER LA AREA...WHICH IS LIFTING NWD.
AS THAT HAPPENS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT A BIT FURTHER
EWD AND SUBSIDENCE NOTED OVER MOST OF THE AREA PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
WILL CONTINUE INTO WED. SO FOR REST OF TONIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS
AND COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPS ARE EXPECTED. LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S EXPECTED OVER SE GA AND MAINLY LOWER TO MID 60S IN NE
FL. ONLY THIN CIRRUS EXPECTED WITH SOME LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS
POSSIBLE OVER THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AREA DUE TO RETURN FLOW ALOFT
OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO THE MIN TEMPS TO DROP
THEM SLIGHTLY OVER SE GA. MODEL SOUNDINGS AND JAX 00Z SOUNDING
DO NOT SHOW MUCH SUPPORT FOR PATCHY FOG SO WILL LEAVE OUT OF THE
FORECAST BUT SOME SHALLOW FOG POSSIBLE WITH VSBY NEAR 3-5 MILES.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR PREVAILS THROUGH WED.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS ARE E TO NE AROUND 10 KT AND SEAS 2-4 FT. MAY TWEAK
SEAS DOWN FOR THE UPDATE OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE. ONSHORE WINDS
WILL INCREASE A BIT INTO WED WITH SEAS PUSHING UPWARDS AGAIN TO
ABOUT 3-5 FT.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW END MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS DUE TO ELY
SWELLS AND ONSHORE WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  57  88  60  86 /   0  10   0  10
SSI  65  83  67  83 /   0   0  10  10
JAX  62  85  64  84 /   0  10  10  10
SGJ  68  83  70  83 /  10  10  10  10
GNV  63  87  66  86 /  10  10  10  20
OCF  64  88  67  87 /  10  10  10  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHASHY/SHULER/WALKER