National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

Area Forecast Discussion

050
FXUS62 KJAX 021437
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1037 AM EDT WED OCT 2 2013

.UPDATE...
MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS HIGH PRESSURE (1020 MILLIBARS)
COVERING THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. ALOFT...STACKED RIDGING
PREVAILS FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES SOUTHWARD TO CUBA. THE
MORNING SOUNDING AT JACKSONVILLE REVEALED A DRY AND STABLE AIR
MASS. TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED REGION-WIDE THIS AFTERNOON
BENEATH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS WILL CLIMB TO NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMO INLAND THIS AFTERNOON (MID/UPPER 80S)...WITH
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN ONSHORE FLOW KEEPING COASTAL LOCATIONS IN THE
LOWER 80S THIS AFTERNOON. CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR
RADIATIONAL COOLING...WITH LOWS INLAND FALLING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW CLIMO (UPPER 50S TO MID 60S)...WHILE LOWS AT THE COAST
REMAIN NEAR 70 DEGREES.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE REGIONAL TERMINALS. NORTHEAST
TO EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 15 KNOTS FROM JUST OFF THE
SURFACE UP THROUGH 2000 FEET AFTER 18Z...AND WILL THEN DECREASE TO
NEAR 10 KNOTS AFTER 00Z.

&&

.MARINE...
MAINLY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10-15 KTS THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED TO THE NORTH OF OUR REGION INTO
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WHILE LOW PRESSURE (POTENTIAL TROPICAL
CYCLONE) MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON THURS. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST STATES THIS WEEKEND. HEADLINES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH
AT LEAST SATURDAY.

RIP CURRENTS: LONG PERIOD EASTERLY SWELLS AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES THROUGH
THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  87  58  86  62 /   0   0  10  10
SSI  83  66  82  68 /   0   0  10  10
JAX  84  62  84  65 /  10   0  10  10
SGJ  83  69  83  70 /  10   0  10  10
GNV  87  63  86  66 /  10  10  10  10
OCF  88  65  87  68 /  10  10  20  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

NELSON/ENYEDI/GUILLET