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Hazardous Weather Outlook
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419
FLUS42 KJAX 221712
HWOJAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1215 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-
149>154-162>166-231100-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL
CAMDEN-
1215 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TODAY ALONG AND AHEAD OF A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

AREAS OF FOG...DENSE ACROSS THE GEORGIA NEARSHORE WATERS...WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON NORTH OF A WARM FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH ISOLATED STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE AREA.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING MID
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$









Area Forecast Discussion
[Printable] [Older Versions]
340
FXUS62 KJAX 221410
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
910 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

...PERIODS OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...

.UPDATE...
A SURFACE WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT SLOWLY NORTH...CURRENTLY
NEAR THE FL/GA BORDER. WIDESPREAD PRECIP HAS MOVED NORTH TO NEAR THE
ALTAMAHA RIVER...WITH SCATTERED ACTIVITY FURTHER SOUTH. HAVE
ADJUSTED POPS DOWNWARD ACROSS NE FL. THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTH TODAY...WITH THE BOUNDARY NEAR THE ALTAMAHA RIVER
BY MIDNIGHT. FOR THIS AFTN...WILL KEEP NUMEROUS POPS ACROSS NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SE GA ALONG/NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. FURTHER SOUTH...WILL
USE SCATTERED POPS FOR MOST OF NE FL. A WEAK IMPULSE ACROSS THE
EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL FL THIS AFTN...WITH
HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS INCREASING SHOWER COVERAGE THERE. WILL USE
NUMEROUS POPS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL FL. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S FOR MUCH OF SE GA...WITH MID/UPPER 60S
FOR NE FL...AND LOWER/MID 70S FOR NORTH-CENTRAL FL.

&&

.AVIATION...
LIFR WILL PERSIST AT SSI FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR JAX/CRG/VQQ...EXPECT
SOME PERIODS OF VFR...WITH MAINLY MVFR/IFR THROUGH THIS AFTN...WITH
WORSENING TO LIFR THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT. FOR GNV...EXPECT MAINLY
IFR/LIFR WITH PERHAPS SOME MVFR THIS AFTN. WILL USE MAINLY VCSH THROUGH
THIS AFTN...WITH NO PRECIP MENTION FOR JAX/CRG/VQQ/GNV LATER TNGT.

&&

.MARINE...
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN UNDER CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE FL WATERS...WITH WIND TURNING FROM THE E/NE TO
THE SOUTH ACROSS THE GA WATERS LATER TODAY/TNGT.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  58  55  72  63 /  60  50  80 100
SSI  61  59  68  63 /  70  50  40  70
JAX  68  61  75  65 /  70  40  30  70
SGJ  70  63  74  66 /  90  40  20  50
GNV  72  63  76  66 /  60  50  30  70
OCF  76  63  78  67 /  50  40  20  70

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ALLEN/PETERSON/WALKER





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Tropical Weather Discussion
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345
AXNT20 KNHC 221110
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST BY THE COMPUTER MODELS TO
APPROACH THE TEXAS COAST EARLY TUE AND EMERGE INTO THE NW GULF
TUE AFTERNOON. STRONG TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WATERS TUE
NIGHT AND WED. A GALE WARNING IS ALREADY IN EFFECT FOR THE
WESTERN GULF. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM SE LOUISIANA TO NEAR
TAMPICO MEXICO TUE EVENING...FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO NEAR
VERACRUZ MEXICO WED MORNING...FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA TO THE
EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE WED EVENING AND WILL BE EAST OF AREA WED
NIGHT INTO THU MORNING WHEN IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA. A BAND OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH CROSSES THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA NEAR 08N13W
TO 06N16W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO 05N30W TO
06N40W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA AT 03N51W. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 150 NM N...AND 45
NM S OF THE ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 22W AND 46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 0900 UTC...A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN
FLORIDA NEAR 29N83W TO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 27N90W TO
A WEAK 1011 MB LOW PRES LOCATED NEAR 24N96W. THIS LOW PRES IS
ANALYZED BASED ON AN ASCAT PASS THAT SHOWS THE CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
THE LOW CENTER TO NEAR 20N97W. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED
SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS OVER NORTH FLORIDA AND ACROSS THE
FAR NORTHERN GULF WATERS IN A BAND THAT EXTENDS FROM SE
LOUISIANA TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
NOTED PER SCATTEROMETER AND SURFACE DATA NORTH OF THE FRONT.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE SEEN S OF THE
FRONT AND E OF 87W. THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE TODAY
ACROSS THE GULF REGION WHILE A BAND OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL
PERSIST OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA. A SURFACE TROUGH IS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT OVER THE SE GULF AND EXTENDS FROM 26N87W TO 23N87.5W.
CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED AHEAD OF THE TROUGH AND CURRENTLY ONLY
A FEW SHOWERS ARE BETWEEN THE TROUGH AXIS AND THE W COAST OF
FLORIDA. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL INTENSIFY LATE TODAY AHEAD
OF A STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO ENTER THE NW GULF ON TUE. SEE
SPECIAL FEATURE FOR DETAILS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...SW FLOW
DOMINATES THE ENTIRE GULF AHEAD OF A LONG-WAVE TROUGH THAT
CROSSES EASTERN TEXAS AND NE MEXICO. THESE WINDS ARE
TRANSPORTING ABUNDANT MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GULF REGION AND FLORIDA INTO THE WESTERN ATLC.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

FRESH TO STRONG TRADEWINDS ARE BLOWING ACROSS THE EAST AND
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OF 25-30 KT NEAR THE
COAST OF COLOMBIA. GENTLE TO MODERATE E TO SE WINDS ARE NOTED
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SHALLOW MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE
TRADE WIND FLOW IS SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY MAINLY SOUTH OF
HISPANIOLA...OVER JAMAICA AND ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN W OF
83W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER
THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE WEEK. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT...EXTEND FROM
WESTERN CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS THU...THEN STALL FROM
CENTRAL CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS THU NIGHT. STRONG NW TO N
WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE EXPECTED W OF THE FRONT. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE WITH AXIS ALONG 75W DOMINATES THE WEST
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WHILE A ZONAL FLOW IS OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER MOST OF THE BASIN E OF 80W.
MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS ON INCREASE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN
AND WESTERN CUBA WHERE A SWLY FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS.

HISPANIOLA...

FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS OVER THE ISLAND AS A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE PERSISTS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LOW-TOPPED TRADE WIND
SHOWERS MOVING MAINLY ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AS OF 0600 UTC...A 1011 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA NEAR 31N78W. A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS SW FROM
THE LOW TO NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS EASTWARD FROM THE LOW TO 31N70W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW AND
FRONT. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE NE AND AWAY FROM THE FORECAST
REGION IN ABOUT 12-24 HOURS WHILE THE FRONT WILL MOVE N OF THE
AREA TODAY. A 1023 MB HIGH IS FARTHER E CENTERED JUST N OF
BERMUDA. THIS HIGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD REACHING A
POSITION NEAR 32N61W BY THIS EVENING. CURRENTLY...THIS SYSTEM
EXTENDS A RIDGE ROUGHLY N OF 20N BETWEEN 45W AND 70W. MAINLY
LIGHT WINDS AND PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ARE NOTED UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE THAT WILL EXTEND TOWARD FLORIDA
TONIGHT. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC STRETCHING FROM 31N38W TO 26N44W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 90 NM E OF THE FRONT N OF 28N. A 1030 MB HIGH IS OVER THE
E ATLANTIC CENTERED NEAR 43N15W WITH SURFACE RIDGING EXTENDING S
OF THE CANARY ISLANDS AND SW TO NEAR 26N36. MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS ARE OBSERVED PER SCATTEROMETER DATA ACROSS THE
TROPICAL ATLANTIC. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SUPPORTING THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
COLD FRONT. A UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SPINNING OVER THE CANARY
ISLANDS NEAR 28N18W. A BAND OF TRANSVERSE HIGH CLOUDS EXTENDS
FROM THE GUYANAS ALL THE WAY E-NE TO WESTERN AFRICA ASSOCIATED
WITH STRONG UPPER-LEVEL SW AND W WINDS. LOOKING AHEAD...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE SW N ATLANTIC NEAR EAST
FLORIDA TUE NIGHT AND WED AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO THE ATLANTIC REGION WED NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM
31N77W TO W CUBA THU...FROM 31N70W TO CENTRAL CUBA THU
NIGHT...AND FROM 30N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA FRI NIGHT. FRESH TO
STRONG NW WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
GR


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Convective Outlook (Day 1)
[Printable] [Older Versions]
923
ACUS01 KWNS 221631
SWODY1
SPC AC 221629

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1029 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

VALID 221630Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE LWR MS VLY
AND CNTRL GULF CST REGION...

...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY OCCUR LATER TODAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION.

...SYNOPTIC SETUP...
PATTERN WILL FURTHER AMPLIFY OVER THE LWR 48 THROUGH TUE AS RIDGE
REMAINS STNRY OFF THE CA CST WHILE BROAD TROUGH STRENGTHENS OVER THE
CNTRL U.S. INTENSIFICATION OF THE TROUGH WILL BE ACCOMPLISHED BY THE
CONTINUED SSE ADVANCE OF 175 KT JET STREAK NOW CROSSING THE NRN
RCKYS...AND BY A SERIES OF WEAKER IMPULSES OVER THE NRN AND CNTRL
PLNS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE INTO A CLOSED LOW OVER THE LWR MO VLY.
THIS SETUP WILL STRENGTHEN AND SLIGHTLY BACK EXISTING SWLY FLOW OVER
THE LWR MS VLY/GULF CST.

AT LWR LVLS...WRN PART OF WEAK FRONT THAT HAS BEEN STALLED OVER THE
NRN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE WRN ATLANTIC IN RECENT DAYS SHOULD BEGIN
DRIFTING N LATER TODAY AND TNGT AS SFC PRESSURES FALL OVER THE LWR
MS AND TN VLYS. NWD MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT WILL ALLOW FAIRLY
SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE /PW AROUND 1.50 INCHES/ NOW OVER THE CNTRL AND
ERN GULF TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN GULF CST
REGION...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPR 50S F EXPECTED AS FAR N AS
THE AL-MS-TN BORDER AREA BY 12Z TUE. SFC CYCLOGENESIS
WILL...HOWEVER...LIKELY REMAIN WELL REMOVED FROM THE RETURNING
MOISTURE...WITH THE MAIN SFC LOW EXPECTED TO FORM OVER SRN IA/NRN
MO...BENEATH INTENSIFYING UPR VORT.

...LWR MS VLY/CNTRL GULF CST LATER TODAY THROUGH EARLY TUE...
COMBINATION OF GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING SWLY FLOW AND INCREASING
MOISTURE WILL YIELD AN ENVIRONMENT THAT WILL BECOME AT LEAST
CONDITIONALLY FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TO SVR TSTMS...MAINLY LATER TODAY
THROUGH EARLY TUE OVER THE CNTRL GULF CST REGION. MODEST LARGE-SCALE
FORCING FOR ASCENT AND ABSENCE OF STRONG LOW-LVL SOURCES OF ASCENT
SUGGEST...HOWEVER...THAT THE SVR THREAT SHOULD REMAIN SPORADIC...AND
COVERAGE ISOLD.

STRENGTHENING SWLY DEEP SHEAR WILL RESULT IN SIZABLE...LOOPED
LOW-LVL HODOGRAPHS BY THIS EVE AND THROUGH EARLY TUE IN ZONE OF WEAK
TO MODEST SFC-BASED INSTABILITY /SBCAPE 250-1000 J PER KG/ NEAR
NWD-MOVING FRONT OVER SRN PARTS OF LA-MS-AL AND THE WRN FL
PANHANDLE. SATELLITE/MODEL DATA SUGGEST...HOWEVER...THAT LARGE-SCALE
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE LIMITED UNTIL PERHAPS LATE IN THE PERIOD
WHEN A JET-ENTRANCE REGION CIRCULATION EVOLVES OVER THE CNTRL GULF
CST. MEANWHILE...MID-LVL LAPSE RATES WILL BE WEAK.

NEVERTHELESS...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS INCREASING TO THE MID-UPR 60S F
ALONG THE CNTRL GULF CST...WEAKLY CONFLUENT LOW-LVL FLOW MAY BE
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A COUPLE SHORT LINES/SMALL CLUSTERS OF SFC OR
NEAR-SFC-BASED STORMS LATE TNGT AND EARLY TUE FROM SRN LA-SRN MS EWD
INTO THE WRN FL PANHANDLE. THIS ACTIVITY...AND ANY MORE WDLY
SCTD...SMALL STORMS THAT MAY FORM S OF THE FRONT...COULD CONTAIN A
SPORADIC TORNADO/ISOLD DMGG WIND THREAT...ESPECIALLY GIVEN ENHANCED
LOW-LVL VEERING PROFILES NEAR THE BOUNDARY.

FARTHER N...STRENGTHENING 925-850 MB WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT SHOULD
FOSTER INCREASING COVERAGE OF ELEVATED CONVECTION/STORMS NNEWD INTO
THE LWR OH VLY BY MORNING.

..CORFIDI/GLEASON.. 12/22/2014



Convective Outlook (Day 2)
[Printable] [Older Versions]
454
ACUS02 KWNS 220655
SWODY2
SPC AC 220655

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM A PORTION OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY INTO THE GULF COASTAL STATES...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EXTREME SERN TX THROUGH
THE SERN U.S. AND NRN FL...

...SUMMARY...
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHERN
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE GULF COAST STATES
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THREATS WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED TORNADOES.

...SYNOPSIS...

HIGH-AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL ADVANCE SLOWLY THROUGH THE PLAINS
WITH AN EMBEDDED SRN-STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH REACHING THE LOWER MS
VALLEY REGION TUESDAY EVENING. PRECEDING THE SRN-STREAM SHORTWAVE
TROUGH A LEAD IMPULSE WILL EJECT NNEWD INTO THE OH VALLEY AND WRN
PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL RESULT IN ADVANCE OF COLD
FRONT INTO THE LOWER MS AND WRN TN VALLEYS. THE FRONT MAY STALL OVER
THE LOWER MS VALLEY AS WEAK CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS ALONG TRAILING
PORTIONS OF THIS BOUNDARY...BEFORE ACCELERATING EWD AS THE LOW
DEVELOPS TOWARD THE TN VALLEY OVERNIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD
INTO SRN PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST STATES.

...LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH THE GULF COASTAL REGION AND NRN FL...

POTENTIAL FOR EARLY CONVECTION REMAINS A COMPLICATING FACTOR THIS
FORECAST AND MAY MITIGATE BOUNDARY-LAYER DESTABILIZATION WITH NWD
EXTENT FROM THE GULF COAST. GREATEST CAPE /1000-1500 J/KG/ EARLY
TUESDAY MAY EXIST FROM SERN TX THROUGH SRN LA EWD ALONG THE GULF
COAST WHERE REMNANT EML WILL RESIDE ABOVE MID 60S F DEWPOINTS. SRN
BRANCH OF SLY LLJ WILL INCREASE OVER THE GULF COAST REGION WITHIN
ZONE OF MODEST HEIGHT FALLS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE SRN-STREAM SHORTWAVE
TROUGH. THETA-E ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
PROCESS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN AN OVERALL INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN PERIOD OVER THE SERN STATES ALONG AND NORTH OF THE COASTAL
WARM FRONT. STORMS DEVELOPING NEAR COAST WILL BE ROOTED AT OR NEAR
THE SFC...WHILE ACTIVITY FARTHER NORTH MAY INITIALLY BE SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED. EFFECTIVE SHEAR FROM 40-50 KT WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS.
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION WILL BE COMPLEX WITH MULTIPLE MODES INCLUDING
CLUSTERS...LINES AND AS WELL AS SOME DISCRETE CELLS POSSIBLE. GIVEN
EXPECTED COMPLEXITY OF THE STORM EVOLUTION AND POTENTIAL FOR EARLY
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER PORTIONS OF THIS REGION...TOO MUCH
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS TO INTRODUCE MORE THAN 15% SEVERE PROBABILITIES
AT THIS TIME.

..DIAL.. 12/22/2014



Convective Outlook (Day 3)
[Printable] [Older Versions]
625
ACUS03 KWNS 220828
SWODY3
SPC AC 220827

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH
SERN GA INTO THE ERN CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA WEDNESDAY. PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND AND A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES. A MORE MARGINAL THREAT FOR A STRONG STORM OR
TWO WILL EXIST FROM SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA THROUGH THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT IN THESE
REGIONS.

...SYNOPSIS...

HIGH-AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL ADVANCE THROUGH THE ERN STATES ON
WEDNESDAY. A STRONG UPPER JET WILL EVOLVE WITHIN THE ERN HALF OF THE
TROUGH. ATTENDANT CYCLONE WILL LIFT NWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES WHILE TRAILING COLD FRONT CONTINUES EWD AND OFF
THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

...FL...

A STRONG LLJ WILL ADVECT UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS THROUGH THE FL
PENINSULA...BUT WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD LIMIT MUCAPE TO
500 J/KG MLCAPE IN WARM SECTOR. NUMEROUS STORMS WILL LIKELY BE
ONGOING FROM THE NERN GULF INTO THE SERN STATES AND NRN FL ALONG THE
CONVEYOR BELT...AND THIS ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP THROUGH PRE-FRONTAL
WARM SECTOR AND REMAINDER OF THE FL PENINSULA. STRONG WINDS ALOFT
ACCOMPANYING THE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 45-50 KT EFFECTIVE
SHEAR AND POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED STORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND THE MAIN
THREAT. A SLIGHT RISK MAY BE NEEDED IN LATER UPDATES IF IT BEGINS TO
APPEAR INSTABILITY WILL BE MORE THAN CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

...SRN GA THROUGH THE ERN CAROLINAS...

DESPITE THE INFLUX OF MODIFIED CP BOUNDARY-LAYER AIR PROMOTED BY A
STRONG SLY LLJ...WIDESPREAD PRE-FRONTAL RAIN AND EMBEDDED CONVECTION
WILL PROBABLY LIMIT MUCAPE IN THIS REGION TO AOB 300 J/KG. STRONG
WINDS AND VERTICAL SHEAR WITHIN CONVECTIVE LAYER WILL OVERSPREAD THE
WARM SECTOR AND CONTRIBUTE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED LOW-TOPPED
CONVECTION. WHILE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND CANNOT BE RULED OUT...THE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL PROBABLY REMAIN TOO LIMITED FOR A
MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT.

..DIAL.. 12/22/2014



Mesoscale Discussion
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times.
[Printable] [Older Versions]
860
ACUS11 KWNS 170924
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170924
CAZ000-171130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1980
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0324 AM CST WED DEC 17 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF COASTAL SRN CA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 170924Z - 171130Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...LIMITED RISK FOR A MARGINALLY DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TWO --
OR POSSIBLY A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO -- IS EVIDENT OVER COASTAL PORTIONS
OF VENTURA/LOS ANGELES/ORANGE COUNTIES IN SRN CA EARLY THIS MORNING.
 WW ISSUANCE WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR AND LIGHTNING DATA DEPICT A SMALL CLUSTER
OF THUNDERSTORMS CROSSING THE CHANNEL ISLANDS AREA AND ADJACENT
COASTAL SRN CA ATTM...COINCIDENT WITH A MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER MOVING ESEWD ACROSS THIS AREA PER WV LOOP.

DESPITE SURFACE DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE LOW 50S...RELATIVELY STEEP
LAPSE RATES THROUGH THE LOWER AND MIDDLE TROPOSPHERE ARE
CONTRIBUTING TO MARGINAL CAPE /A FEW HUNDRED J/KG PER OBJECTIVE
ANALYSES/...THUS FUELING UPDRAFTS WHICH ARE EXTENDING THROUGH THE
MIXED-PHASE /-20 C/ LAYER.

WHILE AREA VWPS DEPICT RELATIVELY MODEST /20 TO 30 KT/ SWLYS THROUGH
H5...BACKED/SELY LOW-LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE STORMS SEEM TO BE
AIDING IN OCCASIONAL WEAK/SHORT-LIVED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS IN
STRONGER CELLS -- AS OBSERVED BY KVTX /VENTURA/ WSR-88D.  GIVEN THE
SUSTAINED/WEAKLY ROTATING STORMS...A VERY ISOLATED/LOW-END SEVERE
RISK MAY SPREAD ONSHORE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  WITH THAT
SAID...ANY RISK FOR STRONG WINDS AND/OR A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO SHOULD
REMAIN WELL BELOW THRESHOLDS REQUIRED TO CONSIDER WW ISSUANCE.

..GOSS/THOMPSON.. 12/17/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGX...LOX...

LAT...LON   33831966 34421979 34531953 34431907 34101833 33781773
            33401780 33231830 33171948 33391973 33831966



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616
FNUS52 KJAX 220830
FWFJAX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIFT NORTHWARD
OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.
ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. EAST TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS 10 MPH OR LESS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN SOUTH WINDS
WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY WITH GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH POSSIBLE. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THEN HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL NEAR 2-5 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY.
A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT
THURSDAY...HOWEVER HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

DISPERSIONS WILL BE LOW TODAY DUE TO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND LOW DISPERSIONS
AND MIXING HEIGHTS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED WITH PASSING
RAINFALL TODAY THROUGH WED NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT FOG FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

FLZ025-230000-
DUVAL-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
TEMP                  68           60           76
RH (%)                85           100          76
20FT WND MPH (AM)     LGT/VAR                   S  5 G16
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  5         E  4         SE  4 G17
PRECIP DURATION       10           2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.16         0.13
LAL                   2            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2600         300          3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8        E 15         SE  7
DISPERSION INDEX      21           5            33
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ024-230000-
NASSAU-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
TEMP                  66           59           76
RH (%)                85           100          78
20FT WND MPH (AM)     LGT/VAR                   S  4
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  5         E  4         S  3
PRECIP DURATION       10           2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.18         0.29
LAL                   2            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2300         400          2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7         E 12         S  6
DISPERSION INDEX      15           5            38
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ032-230000-
CLAY-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
TEMP                  71           61           77
RH (%)                82           100          74
20FT WND MPH (AM)     SE  2                     S  4
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SE  4        SE  3        S  3 G15
PRECIP DURATION       9            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.14         0.09
LAL                   2            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2800         300          3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8        SE  8        SW  7
DISPERSION INDEX      30           3            35
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ033-230000-
ST JOHNS-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
TEMP                  72           62           78
RH (%)                78           100          73
20FT WND MPH (AM)     S  3                      S  5 G15
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SE  5        SE  4        SE  5 G16
PRECIP DURATION       9            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.12         0.06
LAL                   2            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2900         300          3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12        SE  9        SE  9
DISPERSION INDEX      30           3            36
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ038-230000-
FLAGLER-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
TEMP                  76           62           80
RH (%)                70           100          68
20FT WND MPH (AM)     S  4                      S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SE  6        SE  4        SE  6
PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.08         0.05
LAL                   2            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 3400         300          3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10        SE  6        S 16
DISPERSION INDEX      34           3            53
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ037-230000-
PUTNAM-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
TEMP                  75           61           79
RH (%)                74           100          71
20FT WND MPH (AM)     S  3                      S  4
20FT WND MPH (PM)     S  5         SE  2        S  4
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.11         0.05
LAL                   2            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 3400         300          3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8        SE  7        S 14
DISPERSION INDEX      36           2            50
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ040-230000-
MARION-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
TEMP                  76           62           79
RH (%)                71           100          70
20FT WND MPH (AM)     S  5                      S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     S  7         SE  3        SE  4
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.11         0.05
LAL                   2            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 3500         300          3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10         SE  7        S 10
DISPERSION INDEX      35           3            51
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.

$$

FLZ036-230000-
ALACHUA-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           30
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
TEMP                  72           62           76
RH (%)                77           100          76
20FT WND MPH (AM)     SE  4                     S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     S  7         SE  3        SE  4
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.15         0.14
LAL                   2            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2900         400          2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12         SE 10        S 15
DISPERSION INDEX      34           4            36
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ035-230000-
GILCHRIST-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  71           62           75
RH (%)                84           100          82
20FT WND MPH (AM)     SE  4                     S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     S  8         SE  5        S  4
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.20         0.30
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2800         500          2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10         SE  6        S 12
DISPERSION INDEX      33           5            26
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ030-230000-
UNION-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           30
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
TEMP                  70           61           76
RH (%)                84           100          77
20FT WND MPH (AM)     SE  3                     S  4
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SE  4        SE  4        S  3
PRECIP DURATION       9            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.18         0.29
LAL                   2            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2700         400          2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8        SE 10        S 12
DISPERSION INDEX      26           4            35
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ031-230000-
BRADFORD-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
TEMP                  71           61           77
RH (%)                82           100          76
20FT WND MPH (AM)     SE  2                     S  4
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SE  5        SE  3        S  3
PRECIP DURATION       9            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.16         0.16
LAL                   2            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2800         400          2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12         E  9         S 12
DISPERSION INDEX      28           4            33
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ020-230000-
HAMILTON-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           70
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  67           60           73
RH (%)                78           100          82
20FT WND MPH (AM)     E  3                      S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  5         E  5         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.17         0.84
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2000         500          2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9         E 12         S 12
DISPERSION INDEX      18           5            21
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ021-230000-
SUWANNEE-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           60
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  70           61           73
RH (%)                80           100          82
20FT WND MPH (AM)     E  3                      S  6
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SE  5        SE  5        S  5
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.20         0.70
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2800         500          2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10        SE 12        S 12
DISPERSION INDEX      22           5            24
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ022-230000-
COLUMBIA-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           50
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  70           60           74
RH (%)                82           100          81
20FT WND MPH (AM)     E  3                      S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SE  4        SE  4        S  4
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.20         0.51
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2800         400          2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10        SE 12        S 12
DISPERSION INDEX      22           4            34
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ023-230000-
BAKER-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  69           60           75
RH (%)                84           100          78
20FT WND MPH (AM)     E  2                      S  4
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  4         E  4         S  3
PRECIP DURATION       9            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.18         0.39
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2300         400          2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7         SE 10        S 13
DISPERSION INDEX      16           4            35
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ162-230000-
ECHOLS-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           80
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  65           59           72
RH (%)                79           100          83
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  3                     S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  5         E  5         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.15         0.86
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1900         400          2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9         E 10         SW  9
DISPERSION INDEX      16           5            17
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ163-230000-
CLINCH-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           70
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  64           58           73
RH (%)                82           100          84
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  3                     S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  5         E  5         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.14         0.77
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1900         400          2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7        E 10         SW 12
DISPERSION INDEX      15           5            20
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ150-230000-
WARE-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           60
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  64           56           73
RH (%)                83           100          83
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  3                     S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  5         E  4         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.14         0.63
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1900         400          2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9        E 17         S 14
DISPERSION INDEX      16           5            28
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ164-230000-
CHARLTON-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  65           58           74
RH (%)                85           100          80
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  2                     S  4
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  5         E  4         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       9            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.16         0.48
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 2000         400          2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8         E 12         S  6
DISPERSION INDEX      13           4            32
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ165-230000-
INLAND CAMDEN-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  64           58           74
RH (%)                87           100          81
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  2                     S  4
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  5         E  4         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       10           2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.15         0.38
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1800         400          2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12         E 12         S  5
DISPERSION INDEX      17           5            34
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ166-230000-
COASTAL CAMDEN-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  65           59           73
RH (%)                88           100          80
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  3                     S  6
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  6         E  4         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       10           2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.17         0.30
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1800         400          2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12         E 12         S  5
DISPERSION INDEX      17           6            30
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ153-230000-
INLAND GLYNN-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           50
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  62           57           72
RH (%)                90           100          84
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  3                     S  4
20FT WND MPH (PM)     NE  5        E  4         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       9            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.14         0.40
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1800         400          2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12         E 10         S  7
DISPERSION INDEX      21           4            33
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ154-230000-
COASTAL GLYNN-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  62           58           71
RH (%)                93           100          84
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  4                     S  6
20FT WND MPH (PM)     NE  7        E  5         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       9            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.15         0.35
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1800         400          2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14         E 10         S  6
DISPERSION INDEX      23           6            31
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ152-230000-
BRANTLEY-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           50
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  62           57           73
RH (%)                85           100          82
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  3                     S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     NE  5        E  4         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.13         0.49
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1800         400          2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10         E 12         S  6
DISPERSION INDEX      18           4            30
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ151-230000-
PIERCE-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           60
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  60           56           73
RH (%)                84           100          83
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  4                     S  6
20FT WND MPH (PM)     NE  6        E  4         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.12         0.57
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1700         400          2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10        SE  9        S 14
DISPERSION INDEX      19           5            27
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ136-230000-
WAYNE-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           60
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  60           54           71
RH (%)                85           100          85
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  4                     S  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     NE  5        E  4         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.12         0.49
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1800         400          2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9        E  5         S  7
DISPERSION INDEX      16           3            26
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ135-230000-
APPLING-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           80
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  56           53           71
RH (%)                84           100          86
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  5                     S  6
20FT WND MPH (PM)     NE  6        E  5         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.12         0.57
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1700         400          2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10        SE  6        S 13
DISPERSION INDEX      15           4            27
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ134-230000-
BACON-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           80
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  58           54           72
RH (%)                84           100          85
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  4                     S  7
20FT WND MPH (PM)     NE  6        E  5         S  4
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.12         0.62
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1700         400          2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10        SE  6        S 13
DISPERSION INDEX      19           5            28
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ133-230000-
JEFF DAVIS-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           80
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  56           53           71
RH (%)                84           100          86
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  5                     S  7
20FT WND MPH (PM)     NE  7        E  6         S  6
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.12         0.64
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1600         500          2300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9        SE  6        SW 15
DISPERSION INDEX      15           5            32
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ132-230000-
COFFEE-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           90
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  57           54           72
RH (%)                81           100          85
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  5                     S  7
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  7         E  6         S  7
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.12         0.74
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1700         500          1900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9         SE  7        SW 20
DISPERSION INDEX      18           5            34
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GAZ149-230000-
ATKINSON-
330 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           90
WEATHER TYPE          TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
TEMP                  60           56           72
RH (%)                80           100          85
20FT WND MPH (AM)     NE  4                     S  7
20FT WND MPH (PM)     E  6         E  6         S  5
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.12         0.81
LAL                   2            1            2
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 1700         500          2000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8         E  9         SW 15
DISPERSION INDEX      18           5            28
MAX LVORI                          9

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$







Red Flag Warning/Fire Weather Watch
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times.
[Printable] [Older Versions]

Fire Danger Statement
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times.
[Printable] [Older Versions]

Dispersion Update
[Printable] [Older Versions]

Coastal Waters Forecast
[Printable] [Older Versions]
557
FZUS52 KJAX 221709
CWFJAX

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1209 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FLAGLER BEACH FL
OUT TO 60 NM.

SEAS ARE PROVIDED AS A RANGE OF THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST
1/3 OF THE SEAS...ALONG WITH THE OCCASIONAL HEIGHT OF THE AVERAGE
HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE SEAS.

AMZ400-230115-
SYNOPSIS FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT TO 60 NM-
1209 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE GEORGIA COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND REMAIN
UNDER 15 KNOTS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES
THE WATERS LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS LIKELY FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS.

$$

AMZ450-230115-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
1209 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...EAST WINDS 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITY
LESS THAN 1 NM. SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS
A LIGHT CHOP. SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
.TUESDAY...SOUTH WINDS 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. INLAND WATERS A
LIGHT CHOP. SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET
WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 6 FEET. INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.WEDNESDAY...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET WITH
OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET. INLAND WATERS CHOPPY. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEST WINDS 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET WITH
OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET. INLAND WATERS CHOPPY. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET WITH
OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE
AFTERNOON. INLAND WATERS CHOPPY.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH 5 KNOTS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.FRIDAY...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS. INLAND
WATERS SMOOTH.

$$

AMZ470-230115-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
1209 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

.REST OF TODAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.
SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. SCATTERED
SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.TUESDAY...SOUTH WINDS 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET
WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 6 FEET. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.WEDNESDAY...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET WITH
OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEST WINDS 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET WITH
OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET WITH
OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH 5 KNOTS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
.FRIDAY...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
.
$$

AMZ452-454-472-474-230115-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
1209 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

.REST OF TODAY...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.
INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. INLAND
WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. INLAND
WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. ISOLATED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET
WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET. INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET WITH
OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET. INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 KNOTS BECOMING WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8
FEET. INLAND WATERS CHOPPY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET WITH
OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET. INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTH WINDS 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. INLAND
WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.FRIDAY...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS
SMOOTH.

$$







Surf Zone Forecast
[Printable] [Older Versions]
425
FZUS52 KJAX 220857
SRFJAX

SURF ZONE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
357 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ154-166-230900-
NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-COASTAL GLYNN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FERNANDINA BEACH...JACKSONVILLE...
ST AUGUSTINE...PALM COAST...BRUNSWICK...ST MARYS
357 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

RIP CURRENT RISK: LOW. RIP CURRENTS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND ARE
LIKELY TO BE WEAK BUT MAY POSE A DANGER TO POOR SWIMMERS.
THEY ARE STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT IN THE VICINITY
OF JETTIES...INLETS...AND PIERS. KNOW HOW TO SWIM AND HEED THE
ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL.

WIND: NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS FOR THE GEORGIA COAST AND
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 KTS ALONG THE NE FL COAST.

SURF: BREAKERS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 FEET.

WATER TEMPERATURE: UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S.

UV INDEX: 2...IN THE LOW RANGE.

OUTLOOK: A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

$$





Marine Weather Statement
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times.
[Printable] [Older Versions]

Special Marine Warning
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times.
[Printable] [Older Versions]

Coastal Flood Watch/Warning
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times.
[Printable] [Older Versions]

30-Day Rainfall Outlook
30-Day Rainfall Outlook
90-Day Rainfall Outlook
90-Day Rainfall Outlook
24-Hour Rainfall
24-Hour Rainfall
Additional Links
Rivers & Lakes AHPS
Drought Monitor
 
River Forecasts
[Printable] [Older Versions]
190
FGUS52 KALR 221438
RVFJAX
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER ATLANTA GA
FORECASTS INCLUDE FUTURE RAINFALL IN 6 HOUR INCREMENTS
0934 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014
:

:    FORECAST ISSUED BY FL- SUWANNEE FORECASTER
:
:*************************************************************************
:WHITE SPRINGS - Suwannee River (FORECAST STAGE = HEIGHT IN MSL)
:FLOOD STAGE  77.0     ACTION STAGE  73.0
:
:LATEST STAGE    53.33 FT AT 800 AM EST ON 1222
.AR : CREST : WSPF1 1226 E DC201412220934/DH19/HGIFFX        76.4
.ER WSPF1    1222 E DC201412220934/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:48HR QPF APPLIED    7AM        1PM        7PM        1AM
.E1 :1222:              /      53.5/      53.7/      53.9
.E2 :1223:   /      54.0/      54.1/      54.3/      54.9
.E3 :1224:   /      56.5/      59.2/      62.3/      64.5
.E4 :1225:   /      65.8/      66.6/      68.0/      70.5
.E5 :1226:   /      73.3/      75.4/      76.4/      76.3
.E6 :1227:   /      75.5
:6HR QPF VALUES  0.19/0.16/0.05/0.02/0.18/0.60/0.67/1.23
:*************************************************************************
:SUWANNEE SPRINGS - Suwannee River (FORECAST STAGE = HEIGHT IN MSL)
:FLOOD STAGE  66.0     ACTION STAGE  62.0
:
:LATEST STAGE    40.91 FT AT 800 AM EST ON 1222
.ER LIKF1    1222 E DC201412220934/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:48HR QPF APPLIED    7AM        1PM        7PM        1AM
.E1 :1222:              /      41.0/      41.0/      41.1
.E2 :1223:   /      41.1/      41.3/      41.5/      41.8
.E3 :1224:   /      42.1/      42.5/      42.9/      43.9
.E4 :1225:   /      45.7/      48.6/      51.6/      53.8
.E5 :1226:   /      55.1/      55.9/      57.0/      58.9
.E6 :1227:   /      60.1
:6HR QPF VALUES  0.19/0.17/0.04/0.02/0.20/0.65/0.68/1.36
:*************************************************************************
:FT WHITE  - Santa Fe River
:FLOOD STAGE  24.0     ACTION STAGE  23.0
:
:LATEST STAGE    21.67 FT AT 845 AM EST ON 1222
.AR : CREST : FWHF1 1227 E DC201412220934/DH13/HGIFFX        23.9
.ER FWHF1    1222 E DC201412220934/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:48HR QPF APPLIED    7AM        1PM        7PM        1AM
.E1 :1222:              /      21.1/      21.3/      21.5
.E2 :1223:   /      21.5/      21.6/      21.7/      21.7
.E3 :1224:   /      21.8/      21.9/      22.0/      22.4
.E4 :1225:   /      22.7/      23.1/      23.4/      23.6
.E5 :1226:   /      23.8/      23.8/      23.8/      23.8
.E6 :1227:   /      23.8
:6HR QPF VALUES  0.29/0.30/0.10/0.00/0.08/0.16/0.21/1.20
:*************************************************************************
:THREE RIVER ESTATES - Santa Fe River
:FLOOD STAGE  19.0     ACTION STAGE  16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE    10.39 FT AT 900 AM EST ON 1222
.ER TREF1    1222 E DC201412220934/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:48HR QPF APPLIED    7AM        1PM        7PM        1AM
.E1 :1222:              /      10.4/      10.3/      10.3
.E2 :1223:   /      10.3/      10.3/      10.3/      10.3
.E3 :1224:   /      10.4/      10.7/      11.5/      12.6
.E4 :1225:   /      13.7/      14.4/      15.0/      15.3
.E5 :1226:   /      15.4/      15.3/      15.2/      15.1
.E6 :1227:   /      15.3
:6HR QPF VALUES  0.25/0.30/0.11/0.01/0.10/0.24/0.28/1.28
:*************************************************************************
:HILDRETH (HWY 129) - Santa Fe River
:FLOOD STAGE  21.0     ACTION STAGE  19.0
:
:LATEST STAGE     9.77 FT AT 900 AM EST ON 1222
.ER FTWF1    1222 E DC201412220934/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:48HR QPF APPLIED    7AM        1PM        7PM        1AM
.E1 :1222:              /       9.8/       9.8/       9.8
.E2 :1223:   /       9.8/       9.8/       9.8/       9.9
.E3 :1224:   /      10.1/      10.2/      10.4/      10.6
.E4 :1225:   /      10.6/      10.6/      10.6/      10.6
.E5 :1226:   /      10.6/      10.8/      11.0/      11.2
.E6 :1227:   /      11.6
:6HR QPF VALUES  0.23/0.27/0.12/0.01/0.14/0.41/0.41/1.32
:***********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:
.AR ALR 1222 E DT201412220934/YIDRZ   5: pc
:
:...END OF MESSAGE...

$$




Hydrologic Outlook
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times.
[Printable] [Older Versions]

KJAX Reflectivity
KJAX Composite Reflectivity
KJAX 1-Hour Total Precip
KJAX Storm Total Precip
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Fax: (904) 741-0078

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