ZCZC MKCSWODY1 000
ACUS1 KMKC 240546
MKC AC 240546

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O.

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

REF WW NUMBER 759...VALID TIL 1200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 7R4
HEZ 35 N JAN TCL 15 NW LGC 25 SSE MCN 20 SE SAV ...CONT...
15 N DAB 25 SE CTY.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LBL
DDC HUT PNC CSM 30 NW CDS AMA 35 E DHT LBL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE CRP 25 W POE
TXK SPS LBB ROW SVC TUS PHX PRC 25 NNE IGM P38 SLC 45 WSW RWL MCK
BIE OTM MMO MIE PKB AVP 25 S ISP.

SHRTWV TROF OVER THE LWR MS VLY AT 24/12Z IS PROGD TO ACLT NEWD
ACRS THE MID ATLC COAST BY THE END OF THE FCST PERIOD AS DEEP UPR
LOW DIGS FM THE GRT BASIN INTO THE SRN ROCKIES.  STG DIVERGENT UPR
FLOW ON NOSE OF JET STREAK ASSOCD WITH LEAD SYS HAS CONTRIBUTED TO
EVOLUTION OF STG/SVR MCS FM PORTIONS OF WRN MS INTO SE TX...WHICH
IS EXPCD TO PROPAGATE EWD ACRS THE CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST STATES BY
LATE AFTN.  GIVEN STRENGTH OF PROGD FLOW/SHEAR ACRS THIS REGION...
INFLUX OF MDTLY UNSTABLE AMS OFF THE GLFMEX SHUD MAINTAIN LINE OF
STG/SVR TSTMS ON LEADING EDGE OF CNVTV SYS...JUST NORTH OF QSTNRY
BNDRY ALONG GULF COAST.  DMGG WINDS AND HAIL APPEAR PRIMARY THREATS
WITH SVR CNVTN...THOUGH SHEAR AND INSTBY NR BNDRY MAY SUPPORT
SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES.  ALTHOUGH CNVTN WILL DIMINISH ACRS CNTRL
GULF COAST REGION BY AFTN IN WAKE OF INITIAL SYS...SHEAR AND
FORCING ASSOCD WITH LOW-LEVEL WAA ALONG BNDRY ARE EXPCD TO SUPPORT
REDEVELOPMENT OF STG/SVR CNVTN TONIGHT.

ACRS CNTRL PLAINS...SFC LOW NOW OVER SE CO/SW KS IS PROGD TO DEEPEN
ALONG COLD FRONT OVER THE TX/OK PNHNDL REGION DURING THE DAY. 
ALTHOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE MARGINAL FOR STG CNVTN...MID-LEVEL CAA
AND LIFT ON NOSE OF JET STREAK MIGRATING OUT OF SRN ROCKIES
TROF...ACRS SRN HIGH PLAINS LOW-LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE...WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO VERY STEEP LAPSES AND MDT INSTBY BY LATE AFTN. 
INSTBY...FORCING AND VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG FRONT FM SFC LOW INTO S
CNTRL KS EXPCD TO SUPPORT INTENSE CNVTV DEVELOPMENT BY EARLY EVE. 
LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUSTS APPEAR PSBL WITH STGST CELLS BEFORE
ACTIVITY WEAKENS AS IT DEVELOPS EWD ACRS SRN KS/NRN OK.
 
ELSW...INSTBY AND FORCING ASSOCD WITH COLD UPR LOW EXPCD TO SUPPORT
WIDELY SCT TO SCT TSTM ACTIVITY THRU THE FCST PERIOD FM PORTIONS OF
UT AND AZ INTO CO AND NM.
 
..KERR.. 10/24/97