ZCZC MKCSWODY1 000
ACUS1 KMKC 240133
MKC AC 240133

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O.

VALID 240200Z - 241200Z

REF WW NUMBER 758...VALID TIL 0700Z.

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TONIGHT ACRS PORTIONS OF SE TX AND
SRN LA TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LCH 35 NNW BPT 35 W LFK 35 NNW
LFK 35 S SHV 20 NNW ESF 20 WNW BTR LFT LCH.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GLS
35 SW LFK 35 E ACT 25 WNW TYR 20 E SHV 40 N GLH 15 W CBM MEI
35 E BVE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE CRP CLL
10 E SEP 35 WSW ADM OKC FNB RST MKE SBN DNV EVV MSL 15 SW PNS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM IGM TPH LOL 40 E 4LW
BOI EVW ASE ABQ 10 S INW IGM.

UPR TROF NOW EXTENDING FM CNTRL OK INTO S CNTRL TX WILL CONT TO
LIFT NEWD OVERNIGHT AS VIGOROUS UPSTREAM SHRTWV OVER NRN INTRMTRGN
DIGS SEWD ACRS GRT BASIN.  DIFLUENT/DIVERGENT FLOW AHEAD OF LEAD
SYS EXPCD TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD CNVTV ACTIVITY ACRS LWR MS VLY THRU
24/12Z...WITH MAIN SVR THREAT EXPCD TO REMAIN LIMITED TO PORTIONS
OF SE TX AND LA...WHERE MID-LEVEL DRYING ABOVE LOW-LEVEL MOIST
TONGUE IS ENHANCING CNVTV INSTBY.  LTST H85 ANALYSIS INDICATES
TONGUE OF MOISTURE WRAPPING FM WRN GLFMEX INTO BROAD LOW CENTERED
OVER NW OK...WHICH SHUD SHIFT ONLY SLIGHTLY EWD OVERNIGHT AS LOW
REMAINS QSTNRY.

STG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES AND CAPE AOA 1000 J/KG CURRENTLY
SUPPORTING STG/SVR TSTMS ALONG SFC TROF EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG A
LINE FM ACT TO LFK...TO NR MEM...WITH ADNL ACTIVITY DEVELOPING NR
WARM FRONT EXTENDING FM SE TX...NR/NW LCH...INTO GLFMEX OFF SE LA
COAST.  INTENSE STORMS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD EWD OVERNIGHT...WITH
SHEAR PROFILES FVRBL FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL.  ISOLD
TORNADOES ALSO REMAIN PSBL...ESPY NR WARM FRONT ACRS SRN LA.  AS
LLJ INCREASES MOISTURE VCNTY MS RIVER OVERNIGHT...ASSOCD
DESTABILIZATION MAY SUPPORT SVR THREAT INTO PORTIONS OF WRN MS BY
THE END OF THE FCST PERIOD.

IN THE WEST...DESTABILIZATION ASSOCD WITH STG MID-LEVEL CAA MAY
SUPPORT WIDELY SCT TO SCTD CNVTV ACTIVITY THRU THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
...ESPY FM PORTIONS OF WRN UT INTO FOUR CORNERS REGION.
 
..KERR.. 10/24/97