ZCZC MKCSWOMCD ALL;354,1002 338,0968 318,0968 334,1002;
ACUS3 KMKC 232025
MKC MCD 232025

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION FOR NORTHWEST TEXAS AND 
SOUTHWEST/SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...

STRONG/ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED BENEATH THE
UPPER VORTICITY MAXIMUM APPROACHING WICHITA FALLS TEXAS.  LATEST
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A MOIST AXIS RAPPING NORTHWESTWARD FROM
NORTH TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...WITH DRY LINE SURGING
NORTHEAST OF ABILENE.  

STEEP LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH SMALL MID LEVEL COOL POCKET...
ABOUT -16 C AT 500 MB...HAVE ALLOWED A NARROW INSTABILITY AXIS TO
DEVELOP JUST EAST OF THE DRY LINE...WITH SURFACE BASED CAPES TO
1000 J/KG.  WITH WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS OF 6000-7000 FEET
AGL...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF SMALL TO MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.  

..CRAVEN.. 10/23/97