SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
915 AM CDT THU OCT 23 1997

THE NWRN COUNTIES OF THE CWA WERE JUST PUT IN A TOR WATCH UNTIL 3 PM.
12/13Z SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOW THE WMFNT MOVG NWD NR A LINE FM NR
BPT TO HOU TO VCT.  WV SHOWING PLENTY OF DRY AIR ADVECTING ALONG THE
SUBTROPICAL JET INTO THE HILL COUNTRY WHERE THE CURRENT STG TSTMS
WERE BLDG.  A BIT CONCERNED THAT THE STMS WL BACKBLD A BIT...BUT
CURRENT WATCH CONFIGURED TO ANTICIPATE THIS.  H8 DWPTS WERE AOA 10
IN THE HILL COUNTRY WITH WND SPDS ABV 30 KTS AND THE WND PROFILE
ALSO SUGGESTIVE OF SVR/TOR THREAT.  THE MAIN THREAT FOR THIS AM
LOOKS TO BE THE NRN COUNTIES ALONG THE STG S/W MOVG QUICKLY EWD. 
LATER IN THIS AFT THE SRN COUNTIES LOOK TO BE UNDER THE GUN (SO TO
SPEAK) AS THE H3 JET NOSES INTO THE AREA...DRT ALREADY WAS AT 100
KTS...AND AS THE WMFNT MOVS FURTHER NWD.  WL UPDATE THE SVR WX
OUTLOOK FOR THESE CONTINGENCIES FOR THIS AFT.  OTRW...TEMP FCST A BIT
TRICKY WITH THE WMFNT MOVG THRU THE AREA.  GLS ALREADY IS IN THE MID
70S WITH PALACIOS NOT FAR BEHIND.  WUD LIKE TO TWEAK TEMPS A BIT
UPWARD TO SAY THE MID TO UPR 70S IN THE IAH/GLS ZNE GRPS.  UPDATED
PRELIMS BLO.  PL/40

UPDATED PRELIMS...
CLL E/B U/B 073/060 085/061 7-00 - 2ND PD DECREASING CLOUDS
NE  E/B U/B 072/059 083/059 9400
IAH E/B U/B 076/060 085/060 8300
GLS E/B U/B 077/065 082/065 6200

FOR NE-IAH-GLS...2ND PD EARLY EVENING SHRA/TSRA
                 DECREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT

ALL ZONES 3RD PD...MOSTLY SUNNY