SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION ...UPDATED... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 322 PM CDT WED OCT 22 1997 ENJOYING THE BACK TO THE PAST WITH THE LACK OF GRIDDED DATA. RETURN FLOW TO BEGIN TONIGHT AS THE STG S/W AND SFC LOW MOVES INTO W TX LATE TONIGHT ERLY THU. AS THE S/W PUSHES OVHD OF SETX LATE THU AFT INTO THU EVE...VERY GOOD SHEAR WL BE PRESENT AS EVIDENCED FM THE WRLY H5 FLOW AND SLRY SFC FLOW. THIS WL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A LLJ AND DRY AIR INTRUSING IN THE MID LVLS...ALL PTG TWD DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS AND HAIL AS WELL AS POSSIBLE ISOL TORNADOES. THE FNT OFFSHORE SHUD MOV N THRU THE FCST AREA BY 00Z THU...AND AM THINKING THAT THE HEAVIEST PCPN MAY YET OCCUR OVR THE NERN SXNS AS THE UPDATED DAY 2 QPF INDICATES. WL ISSURE AN UPDATED SVR WX OUTLOOK...WHICH WL NEED TO BE FINE TUNED LATER TONIGHT WITH THE NEXT RUN OF THE MDLS. IN THE SHORT TERM...SOME LGT RN MAY OCCUR AS THE ISENTROPIC LIFT OVR S TX PUSHES NWD. WL MENTION THIS IN ALL BUT THE NERN ZNES. TEMPS SHUD NOT CHG TOO MUCH TONIGHT...THEN WARM AS THE STG WAA PATTERN SETS UP AND THE RETURN FLOW FM THE GLF MOVS ACROSS THE AREA THU. PRELIMS BLO. ...FORGOT TO MENTION SPECIFICS FOR CHCS OF SVR...THU AFT AND EVE. PL/40 PRELIMS... CLL E/E E/B 059/076 062/082 2752 2ND PD...MAINLY EVE NE E/E E/B 057/075 063/080 1872 2ND PD IAH E/E E/B 060/077 063/082 2752 2ND PD GLS E/E E/B 065/076 065/080 2562