DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
837 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2011

                 ...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...

    ...DROUGHT HAS REACHED EXCEPTIONAL LEVELS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

...CORRECTION TO THE CLIMATE SUMMARY SECTION...

SYNOPSIS...
A FAST UPPER LEVEL FLOW HAS HELPED TO KEEP STORM SYSTEMS WEAK AND
MOISTURE LEVELS LOW OVER THE PAST TEN DAYS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND A COLD FRONT BROUGHT SOME HIT AND
MISS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS PAST TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT THE
PRECIPITATION WAS MORE MISS THAN HIT WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
BEING 0.73 INCHES IN KINGWOOD. MOST LOCATIONS THAT HAD RAINFALL
RECEIVED JUST A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. THE LAST SIGNIFICANT RAIN
EVENT TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST TEXAS WAS ON MARCH 14TH.

FROM FEBRUARY 1ST TO APRIL 7TH...THE CITY OF HOUSTON (IAH) HAS
RECEIVED ONLY 1.48 INCHES OF RAIN...COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 1.30
INCHES...HOUSTON HOBBY (HOU) 1.12 INCHES...AND GALVESTON (GLS) 3.48
INCHES.

EVEN WITH THE RECENT LIGHT RAINS...THE DROUGHT HAS CONTINUED TO
WORSEN ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. IN CONTEXT...AS OF APRIL 5TH
DROUGHT BLANKETED ALL OF TEXAS. THAT HAS NOT HAPPENED TO THE ENTIRE
STATE SINCE MARCH OF 2009. THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWED MUCH OF
THE NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT OR D-4.
THE AREA OF EXTREME DROUGHT D-3 CONDITIONS HAS EXPANDED SOUTH AND
NOW COVERS MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...EXCLUDING THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THERE WAS A SEVERE DROUGHT. THERE ARE 23
COUNTIES THAT COMPRISE AN AREA REFERRED TO AS SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN THE SAME OR WORSEN OVER THE
NEXT TEN DAYS. ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE. HOWEVER...SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS WILL PERHAPS RESULT
IN NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AFTER A PACIFIC FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA EARLY MONDAY AND THEN AFTER ANOTHER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ON
THURSDAY.

BELOW IS A LIST OF COUNTIES AND THEIR RESPECTIVE CLASSIFICATION AS
DESIGNATED BY THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR AS OF MARCH 29TH.

       D-4          D-3           D-2         D-1

   EXCEPTIONAL    EXTREME        SEVERE     MODERATE
     DROUGHT      DROUGHT        DROUGHT    DROUGHT

     BURLESON     COLORADO       JACKSON    GALVESTON
     BRAZOS       WHARTON        MATAGORDA  CHAMBERS
     WASHINGTON   HARRIS         BRAZORIA
     MADISON      LIBERTY
     NAVASOTA     FORT BEND
     AUSTIN
     WALLER
     HOUSTON
     WALKER
     MONTGOMERY
     TRINITY
     SAN JACINTO
     POLK

FOR THE EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT REGION...HERE IS A LIST OF RAINFALL
TOTALS FROM FEBRUARY 01 THROUGH APRIL 7.

       INCHES
      OF RAIN

CXO     0.97
UTS     0.49
CLL     1.30

HERE ARE SOME RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE LAST SIX MONTHS FOR SOME
LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LOCATION      OCT   NOV   DEC   JAN   FEB    MAR    TOTAL  PERCENT
                                                           OF NORMAL

BELLVILLE     0.00  1.28  0.98  2.75  0.76   1.14    6.91  35.7
NORMALS       3.70  3.76  3.16  3.33  2.48   2.92   19.35
DEPARTURE    -3.70 -2.48 -2.18 -0.58 -1.72  -1.78  -12.44

BRENHAM       0.03  1.42  1.28  4.15  0.81   0.80    8.49  40.3
NORMALS       4.48  4.17  3.29  3.41  2.78   2.93   21.06
DEPARTURE    -4.45 -2.75 -2.01 +0.74 -1.97  -2.13  -12.57

COL STATION     T   0.90  0.81  2.99  0.61   0.69    6.00  31.3
NORMALS       4.22  3.18  3.23  3.32  2.38   2.84   19.17
DEPARTURE    -4.22 -2.28 -2.42 -0.33 -1.77  -2.15  -13.17

COLUMBUS      0.00  2.59  1.30  3.51  0.64   0.48    8.52  41.1
NORMALS       4.16  3.99  3.21  3.61  2.84   2.93   20.74
DEPARTURE    -4.16 -1.40 -1.91 -0.10 -2.20  -2.45  -12.22

CONROE          T   5.33  1.49  4.04  0.61   0.35   11.82  49.3
NORMALS       4.70  4.79  4.37  4.21  2.97   2.94   23.98
DEPARTURE    -4.70 +0.54 -2.88 -0.17 -2.36  -2.59  -12.16

CROCKETT      0.85  3.43  1.12  5.29  0.70   0.35   11.74  51.7
NORMALS       4.22  3.93  4.02  4.00  3.10   3.45   22.72
DEPARTURE    -3.37 -0.50 -2.90 +1.29 -2.40  -3.10  -10.98

DANEVANG      0.00  2.40  4.28  3.62  0.37   0.05   10.72  53.5
NORMALS       4.56  3.68  3.08  3.23  2.67   2.83   20.05
DEPARTURE    -4.56 -1.28 +1.20 +0.39 -2.30  -2.78   -9.33

GALVESTON     1.37  6.90  2.13  3.86  0.67   2.70   17.63  87.7
NORMALS       3.49  3.64  3.53  4.08  2.61   2.76   20.11
DEPARTURE    -2.12 +3.26 -1.40 -0.22 -1.94  -0.06   -2.48

FREEPORT      0.03  3.86  1.75  4.21  0.84   0.81   11.50  51.2
NORMALS       4.52  4.42  3.51  4.29  2.84   2.87   22.45
DEPARTURE    -4.49 -0.56 -1.76 -0.08 -2.00  -2.06  -10.95

HOU HOBBY     0.07  4.75  5.84  4.10  0.34   0.78   15.88  66.1
NORMALS       5.26  4.54  3.78  4.25  3.01   3.19   24.03
DEPARTURE    -5.19 +0.21 +2.06 -0.15 -2.67  -2.41   -8.15

HOU IAH       0.02  2.71  3.04  5.05  0.69   0.78   12.24  54.6
NORMALS       4.50  4.19  3.69  3.68  2.98   3.36   22.40
DEPARTURE    -4.48 -1.48 -0.65 +1.37 -2.29  -2.58  -10.16

HUNTSVILLE    0.58  2.01  1.23  3.62  0.37   0.07    7.88  32.6
NORMALS       4.32  4.87  4.10  4.28  3.14   3.47   24.18
DEPARTURE    -3.74 -2.86 -2.87 -0.66 -2.77  -3.40  -16.30

LIVINGSTON    0.14  3.23  1.38  3.73  0.89   0.84   10.21  40.0
NORMALS       3.82  4.76  4.92  4.64  3.47   3.89   25.50
DEPARTURE    -3.68 -1.53 -3.54 -0.91 -2.58  -3.05  -15.29

KATY          0.00  2.01  1.73  4.76  0.05   1.24    8.55  41.4
NORMALS       4.00  4.41  3.67  3.34  2.59   2.64   20.65
DEPARTURE    -4.00 -2.40 -1.94 +1.42 -2.54  -1.40   -9.46

MADISONVILLE  0.21  1.05  1.09  2.89  0.81   0.95    7.29  33.3
NORMALS       4.41  4.01  3.62  3.81  2.83   3.24   21.92
DEPARTURE    -4.20 -2.96 -2.53 -0.92 -2.02  -2.29  -14.63

MATAGORDA     0.05  2.85  1.66  3.42  0.61   0.89    9.48  48.7
NORMALS       3.72  4.19  2.57  3.63  2.81   2.54   19.46
DEPARTURE    -3.67 -1.34 -0.91 -0.21 -2.20  -1.65   -9.98

NEW CANEY     0.00  6.18  2.71  6.42  0.96   0.90   17.17  67.9
NORMALS       4.57  4.83  4.40  4.22  3.31   3.96   25.29
DEPARTURE    -4.57 +1.35 -1.69 +2.20 -2.35  -3.06   -8.12

SOMERVILLE    0.03  0.88  0.80  2.77  0.41   0.08    4.97  25.9
NORMALS       4.33  3.63  3.14  2.93  2.53   2.62   19.18
DEPARTURE    -4.30 -2.75 -2.34 -0.16 -2.12  -2.54  -14.21

TOMBALL         T   3.28  1.00  2.52  0.30   1.24    8.34  35.8
NORMALS       4.02  5.11  3.89  3.85  3.33   3.09   23.27
DEPARTURE    -4.02 -1.83 -2.89 -1.33 -3.03  -1.85  -14.93

WASH ST PARK  0.00  1.17  1.29  3.76  0.66   1.08    7.96  38.3
NORMALS       4.38  3.68  3.30  3.54  2.74   3.13   20.77
DEPARTURE    -4.38 -2.51 -2.01 +0.22 -2.08  -2.05  -12.81

W COLUMBIA    0.00  3.02  1.58  4.22  0.75   0.61   10.18

HERE ARE SOME MARCH RAINFALL TOTALS FOR OTHER COMMUNITIES ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LOCATION       MARCH   NORM    DEP

ANAHUAC        1.34     3.33   -1.99
BAY CITY       0.60     3.00   -2.40
BAYTOWN        1.16     3.21   -2.05
CLEVELAND      1.66     4.04   -2.38
EDNA           0.84     2.73   -1.89
EL CAMPO       0.22     NA      NA
HOU NWS        1.96     3.51   -1.55
HOU WESTBURY   0.63     3.11   -2.44
LIBERTY        1.78     3.84   -2.06
MONTGOMERY     1.72     3.21   -1.49
PALACIOS       0.77     2.70   -1.93
RICHMOND       0.69     3.06   -2.37
SUGARLAND      1.40     3.24   -1.84
WHARTON        0.13     2.90   -2.77

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN QUITE DRY SINCE OCTOBER 2010. THE LAST TEN
WEEKS HAVE CONTINUED THIS TREND AND THE LONG RANGE OUTLOOK INDICATES
DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH JUNE. THE 6 TO 10
DAY AND 8 TO 14 DAY PRECIPITATION PROBABILITY INDICATES A DRY
SIGNAL...SO IT APPEARS THAT LITTLE RELIEF IS IN THE OFFING. WARMER
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE
MONTH AND THIS TREND WILL EXTEND AND MAY INTENSIFY THROUGH JUNE.

THE DRY PERIOD FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE AUTUMN OF
2010 AS A STRONG LA NINA PHASE DEVELOPED. ALTHOUGH THERE WAS A BRIEF
WINDOW WITH ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING LATE DECEMBER AND EARLY
JANUARY...THE OVERALL TREND SINCE OCTOBER HAS BEEN VERY DRY WITH
BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL. COLLEGE STATION HAS HAD ITS DRIEST PERIOD OF
RECORD BETWEEN OCTOBER AND MARCH WHEN ONLY 6.00 INCHES OF RAINFALL
WAS RECORDED. THIS IS 31.3 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE NORMAL RAINFALL AT
COLLEGE STATION FOR OCTOBER 1 THROUGH MARCH 31 IS 19.17 INCHES. HERE
IS A LIST OF THE DRIEST PERIODS OF RECORD FOR OCTOBER 1ST THROUGH
MARCH 31ST.

                 DRIEST OCTOBER 1 THROUGH MARCH 31

            COLLEGE       CITY OF                 HOUSTON
            STATION       HOUSTON (IAH)            HOBBY

          6.00 - 2011      8.34 - 1918          10.45 - 1956
          8.07 - 1967      9.21 - 2000          11.37 - 2000
          8.27 - 1918      9.73 - 1909          11.55 - 2006
          8.64 - 1971     10.19 - 1955          12.50 - 2009
          8.80 - 1917     10.35 - 1895          13.74 - 1971
                          12.29 - 2011 (13TH)   15.88 - 2011 (13TH)

THE LAST TIME THE HOUSTON AREA RECEIVED A SOAKING RAIN...DEFINED FOR
THIS STATEMENT AS A CALENDAR DAY WITH AN INCH OF RAIN OR MORE...
OCCURRED ON JANUARY 24TH. BELOW ARE DATES WITH THE LAST TIME THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OCCURRED DURING A CALENDAR DAY AT THE PRIMARY
CLIMATE SITES.

SITE       2.00 OR MORE     1.00 OR MORE    0.50 OR MORE

IAH        SEP  7 2010      JAN 24 2011     JAN 24 2011
HOU        JAN 24 2011      JAN 24 2011     MAR 14 2011
CLL        SEP  7 2010      JAN  9 2011     JAN  9 2011
GLS        MAR  5 2011      MAR  5 2011     MAR  5 2011

MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUED ACROSS THE INLAND AREAS OF
SOUTHEAST DURING MARCH AND THE PATTERN CONTINUED FOR THE FIRST SEVEN
DAYS OF APRIL.

SITE      APRIL 1-7          NORMAL       DEPARTURE
           AVERAGE          AVERAGE         FROM
             MAX              MAX          NORMAL
         TEMPERATURE      TEMPERATURE

CLL         82.7              76.7          6.0
IAH         81.4              77.3          4.1
GLS         76.9              73.4          3.5


                 U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATIONS


BELOW IS A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF EACH DROUGHT CLASSIFICATION...

D4 EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT - EXCEPTIONAL OR WIDESPREAD CROP/PASTURE LOSS
   A SHORTAGE OF WATER IN RESERVOIRS AND STREAMS CREATING
   A WATER EMERGENCY.

D3 EXTREME DROUGHT - MAJOR CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES. WIDESPREAD WATER
   SHORTAGES AND RESTRICTIONS.

D2 SEVERE DROUGHT - CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES LIKELY. SOME WATER
   SHORTAGES COMMON AND SOME WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED.

D1 MODERATE DROUGHT - SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES. RESERVOIRS
   OR WELLS LOW. VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED.

D0 ABNORMALLY DRY - SHORT TERM DRYNESS. PLANT GROWTH SLOWS. MINOR
   WATER DEFICITS.


FOR FURTHER CLARIFICATION...SEE EITHER (ALL LINKS IN LOWER CASE)
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/DM_STATE.HTM?TX.S OR FOR THE ENTIRE
COUNTRY SEE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
AGRICULTURAL CONDITIONS ARE DETERIORATING! THE REGION REMAINS VERY
DRY. PLANTING OF NEW FORAGES WERE PUT ON HOLD DUE TO A LACK OF
MOISTURE. STOCK WATER TANKS AND POND LEVELS WERE DROPPING
DRASTICALLY WITH SOME NEAR RECORD LOW LEVELS. WHEAT WAS NOT LOOKING
GOOD. RICE PLANTING CONTINUED DESPITE THE DRY CONDITIONS. TOPSOIL
MOISTURE DRIED OUT AND MANY FARMERS STOPPED PLANTING COTTON AND WERE
WAITING FOR RAIN BEFORE RESUMING.

RANGE LAND AND PASTURES CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE. LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS
WERE SUPPLEMENTING HAY TO MAKE UP FOR THE LACK OF GRAZING.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE HTTP://AGRILIFE.ORG/TODAY (ALL LOWER
CASE).

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...
100 HOUR FUEL MOISTURE WAS CRITICALLY DRY...GENERALLY LESS THAN 10
PERCENT FOR ALL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS! SOME AREAS OF FROM HOUSTON
TO COLDSPRING TO MADISONVILLE TO NEAR BRENHAM WERE AT 4 PERCENT OR
LESS! THIS IS IS IN THE DRIEST 2-10 PERCENT OF RECORDS FOR THE
REGION. HIGH FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS
WEEKEND AND MAY RETURN AFTER THE COLD FRONT ON MONDAY. LARGE
WILDFIRES HAVE BURNED LARGE TRACTS OF LAND IN THE LAST 7 DAYS ACROSS
PARTS OF TEXAS.

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND LESS THAN NORMAL RAINFALL HAS
HELPED TO RAISE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
VALUES BETWEEN 700 AND 800 ARE CRITICAL AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS.
BELOW IS A TABLE WITH KBDI VALUES (4/08/2011).

     600-700       500-600       500-400       400-300     300-200

     BRAZOS        HOUSTON       FORT BEND     CHAMBERS    GALVESTON
     BURLESON      TRINITY       HARRIS
     MADISON       AUSTIN
     WALKER        JACKSON
     COLORADO      BRAZORIA
     WASHINGTON    POLK
                   SAN JACINTO
                   TRINITY
                   WALLER
                   WHARTON
                   MONTGOMERY
                   LIBERTY
                   MATAGORDA

(SEE THE LINK...ALL LOWER CASE HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/
KBDI_DAILY/ KBDICOUNTY.PNG).

RESTRICTIONS/ACTIONS...

BURN BANS ARE COMMON ACROSS THE STATE. LOCALLY...OVER HALF THE
COUNTIES ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS HAVE ISSUED BURN BANS.

ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE WEB SITE ON APRIL 8TH 2011...
(HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG)...A BURN BAN IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

AUSTIN...BRAZOS...BURLESON...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...GRIMES...
JACKSON...LIBERTY...MADISON...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...WALKER...
WASHINGTON...AND WHARTON.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT WHEN DOING ANY OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES
WHICH INVOLVE FIRE OR SPARKS BY MAKING SURE WATER IS QUICKLY
AVAILABLE IF AN UNWANTED FIRE OR SMOLDERING BEGIN.

THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON OR AROUND APRIL 17TH OR
19TH 2011.

$$

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