DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
200 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2011

                 ...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...

         ...NORTHWESTERN PARTS OF THE REGION STILL ENDURING
                     EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS...

          ...SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXPAND SOUTHWARD...

SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY BROUGHT SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN TO SOUTHEAST
TEXAS BUT THE AMOUNTS WERE GENERALLY LIGHT. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
TOTAL WAS AT THE CO-OP SITE IN SUGARLAND WITH 1.33 INCHES OF RAIN.
1.06 INCHES OF RAIN WAS REPORTED IN KATY. BELLVILLE...COLUMBUS...
DANEVANG AND SOMERVILLE FAILED TO RECEIVE RAIN AND THE CITY OF
WHARTON ONLY RECEIVED 0.06 INCHES OF RAIN. THE AVERAGE RAINFALL FOR
THE EVENT WAS AROUND 0.50 INCHES. THE RAINFALL OVER THE LAST WEEK
WAS STILL WELL BELOW THE NORMAL VALUES EXPECTED FOR MARCH.

THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY WAS VERY DRY WITH MOST OF THE CLIMATE SITES
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS REPORTING LESS THAN AN INCH OF RAIN FOR THE
MONTH. COLLEGE STATION REPORTED IT`S TENTH DRIEST FEBRUARY ON
RECORD. HOUSTON RECORDED IT`S EIGHT DRIEST FEBRUARY...HOUSTON HOBBY
AIRPORT RECORDED IT`S SECOND DRIEST FEBRUARY. GALVESTON...WITH
RECORDS GOING BACK TO 1875...HAD IT`S 13TH DRIEST FEBRUARY.

HERE ARE SOME RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE LAST SEVEN MONTHS FOR SOME
LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS:

LOCATION      AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV   DEC   JAN   FEB     TOTAL

BELLVILLE     1.31  3.22  0.00  1.28  0.98  2.75  0.76    10.30
NORMALS       3.10  3.53  3.70  3.76  3.16  3.33  2.48    23.06
DEPARTURE    -1.79 -0.31 -3.70 -2.48 -2.18 -0.58 -1.72   -12.76

BRENHAM       0.59  6.24  0.03  1.42  1.28  4.15  0.81    14.52
NORMALS       3.14  4.83  4.48  4.17  3.29  3.41  2.78    26.10
DEPARTURE    -2.55 +1.41 -4.45 -2.75 -2.01 +0.74 -1.97   -11.58

COL STATION   0.33  5.81    T   0.90  0.81  2.99  0.61    11.45
NORMALS       2.63  3.91  4.22  3.18  3.23  3.32  2.38    22.87
DEPARTURE    -2.30 +1.90 -4.22 -2.28 -2.42 -0.33 -1.77   -11.42

COLUMBUS      0.23  5.09  0.00  2.59  1.30  3.51  0.64    13.36
NORMALS       3.07  3.92  4.16  3.99  3.21  3.61  2.84    24.80
DEPARTURE    -2.84 +1.17 -4.16 -1.40 -1.91 -0.10 -2.20   -11.44

CONROE        1.79  2.83    T   5.33  1.49  4.04  0.61    16.09
NORMALS       3.73  4.46  4.70  4.79  4.37  4.21  2.97    29.23
DEPARTURE    -1.94 -1.63 -4.70 +0.54 -2.88 -0.17 -2.36   -13.14

CROCKETT      3.33  2.80  0.85  3.43  1.12  5.29  0.70    17.52
NORMALS       2.81  4.12  4.22  3.93  4.02  4.00  3.10    26.20
DEPARTURE    +0.52 -1.32 -3.37 -0.50 -2.90 +1.29 -2.40   - 8.68

DANEVANG      3.96  7.04  0.00  2.40  4.28  3.62  0.37    22.01
NORMALS       3.83  5.62  4.56  3.68  3.08  3.23  2.67    26.67
DEPARTURE    +0.13 +1.42 -4.56 -1.28 +1.20 +0.39 -2.30   - 4.66

HOU HOBBY     1.40  6.63  0.07  4.75  5.84  4.10  0.34    23.13
NORMALS       4.54  5.62  5.26  4.54  3.78  4.25  3.01    31.00
DEPARTURE    -3.14 +1.01 -5.19 +0.21 +2.06 -0.15 -2.67   - 7.87

HOU IAH       1.02  4.81  0.02  2.71  3.04  5.05  0.69    17.34
NORMALS       3.83  4.33  4.50  4.19  3.69  3.68  2.98    27.20
DEPARTURE    -2.81 +0.48 -4.48 -1.48 -0.65 +1.37 -2.29   - 9.90

HUNTSVILLE    0.18  2.58  0.58  2.01  1.23  3.62  0.37    10.57
NORMALS       3.69  4.73  4.32  4.87  4.10  4.28  3.14    29.13
DEPARTURE    -3.51 -2.15 -3.74 -2.86 -2.87 -0.66 -2.77   -18.56

LIVINGSTON    0.44  3.33  0.14  3.23  1.38  3.73  0.89    13.14
NORMALS       3.41  4.73  3.82  4.76  4.92  4.64  3.47    29.75
DEPARTURE    -2.97 -1.40 -3.68 -1.53 -3.54 -0.91 -2.58   -16.61

KATY          2.32  3.66  0.00  2.01  1.73  4.76  0.05    14.53
NORMALS       3.09  4.45  4.00  4.41  3.67  3.34  2.59    25.55
DEPARTURE    -0.77 -0.79 -4.00 -2.40 -1.94 +1.42 -2.54   -11.02


MADISONVILLE  0.18  4.68  0.21  1.05  1.09  2.89  0.81    10.91
NORMALS       2.95  4.20  4.41  4.01  3.62  3.81  2.83    25.83
DEPARTURE    -2.77 +0.48 -4.20 -2.96 -2.53 -0.92 -2.02   -14.92

MIDWAY        3.88  2.27  0.19  1.18  2.36  5.80  NA      15.68
NORMALS       2.14  4.32  4.17  4.08  3.82  2.92  2.81
DEPARTURE    +1.74 -2.05 -3.98 -2.90 -1.46 +2.88

NEW CANEY     0.82  4.93  0.00  6.18  2.71  6.42  0.96     22.02
NORMALS       3.14  4.84  4.57  4.83  4.40  4.22  3.31     29.31
DEPARTURE    -2.32 +0.09 -4.57 +1.35 -1.69 +2.20 -2.35    - 7.29

SOMERVILLE    0.44  3.73  0.03  0.88  0.80  2.77  0.41      9.06
NORMALS       2.43  3.59  4.33  3.63  3.14  2.93  2.53     22.58
DEPARTURE    -1.99 +0.14 -4.30 -2.75 -2.34 -0.16 -2.12    -13.52


TOMBALL       0.70  3.10    T   3.28  1.00  2.52  0.30     10.90
NORMALS       3.73  4.75  4.02  5.11  3.89  3.85  3.33     28.68
DEPARTURE    -3.03 -1.65 -4.02 -1.83 -2.89 -1.33 -3.03    -17.78

W COLUMBIA    3.84 10.74  0.00  3.02  1.58  4.22  0.75     24.15

HERE ARE SOME MARCH RAINFALL TOTALS (THROUGH MARCH 10) AND THE
DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL (ASSUMING NO RAIN ON 03/17):

LOCATION       MARCH     DEP

ANAHUAC        1.12    -0.67
BELLVILLE      0.84    -0.86
BRENHAM        0.80    -0.74
COL STATION    0.68    -0.85
COLUMBUS       0.38    -1.17
CONROE         0.34    -1.20
CROCKETT       0.31    -1.56
DANEVANG       0.05    -1.57
GALVESTON      2.66    +1.22
HOU HOBBY      0.78    -0.92
HOU IAH        0.56    -1.14
HUNTSVILLE     0.07    -1.73
LIVINGSTON     0.84    -1.29
KATY           1.23    -0.26
MADISONVILLE   0.95    -0.84
MIDWAY         NA       NA
NEW CANEY      0.64    -1.53
PALACIOS       0.68    -0.84
RICHMOND       0.69    -0.97
SUGARLAND      1.40    -0.26
SOMERVILLE     0.06    -1.40
TOMBALL        0.91    -0.79

THE DRY PERIOD FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTENSIFIED THIS PAST AUTUMN AS A
STRONG LA NINA PHASE DEVELOPED. ALTHOUGH THERE WAS A BRIEF WINDOW
WITH ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL...THE OVERALL TREND SINCE OCTOBER HAS
BEEN BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL. COLLEGE STATION HAS RECEIVED ONLY 5.99
INCHES OF RAIN SINCE OCTOBER 1ST OR ROUGHLY A THIRD OF NORMAL. THE
NORMAL RAINFALL FOR OCTOBER 1 THROUGH MARCH 17 IS 17.87 INCHES.

                     DRIEST OCTOBER 1 - MARCH 17

           COLLEGE         CITY OF              HOUSTON
           STATION         HOUSTON (IAH)        HOBBY

          4.48 - 1951      5.16 - 1918          10.11 - 2006
          5.99 - 2011      8.42 - 2000          10.17 - 1951
          6.18 - 1967      8.63 - 1951          10.26 - 1956
          6.39 - 1925      8.80 - 1911          10.45 - 1988
          7.67 - 2009      9.01 - 1904          10.98 - 2009
                          12.07 - 2011 (17TH)   15.88 - 2011 (14TH)

THE MOST RECENT DRY SPELL BEGAN AGAIN ON JANUARY 25TH 2011*. THE
TIME PERIOD JANUARY 25 THROUGH MARCH 17 WAS ONE OF THE DRIEST ON
RECORD. THE CITY OF HOUSTON IS ENDURING IT`S THIRD DRIEST JAN 25 -
MARCH 17. HOBBY AIRPORT AND COLLEGE STATION ARE ENDURING THEIR
SECOND AND FOURTH DRIEST PERIODS ON RECORD RESPECTIVELY. BELOW ARE
THE FOUR PRIMARY CLIMATE SITES WITH THE RAINFALL OVER THE JAN 25 -
MAR 17 TIME PERIOD:

* JANUARY 24TH WAS THE LAST DATE WITH ONE INCH RAINFALL OR GREATER.

SITE                    RAIN     NORMAL    DEP     PERCENT
                                                   NORMAL

CITY OF HOUSTON IAH     1.31     5.38     -4.07    24.3%
HOBBY AIRPORT   HOU     1.22     5.43     -4.21    22.5%
GALVESTON       GLS     3.63     4.82     -1.19    75.3%
COLLEGE STATION CLL     1.32     4.43     -3.11    29.8%


        LOWEST RAINFALL TOTALS - JANUARY 25TH THROUGH MARCH 17TH

         INTERCONTINENTAL    HOBBY      GALVESTON    COLLEGE
              AIRPORT       AIRPORT                  STATION

        (CITY OF HOUSTON)

            0.91 - 1911   1.10 - 1954  0.23 - 1916  0.60 - 1996
            1.12 - 1916   1.22 - 2011  0.52 - 1925  0.79 - 1943
            1.31 - 2011   1.56 - 1962  0.70 - 2006  1.29 - 1972
            1.33 - 1996   1.58 - 1996  0.70 - 1911  1.32 - 2011
            1.39 - 1976   2.19 - 1967  0.92 - 1954  1.53 - 1974

AS OF MARCH 15TH 2011...THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWED MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS IN EXTREME DROUGHT OR D-3. SEVERE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE EXPANDED SOUTH AND NOW COVER MUCH OF THE
REGION NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10 AND WEST OF OF U.S. HIGHWAY 59.

BELOW IS A LIST OF COUNTIES AND THEIR RESPECTIVE CLASSIFICATION AS
DESIGNATED BY THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR AS OF MARCH 8TH:


                 D-3           D-2           D-1

               EXTREME        SEVERE       MODERATE
               DROUGHT        DROUGHT      DROUGHT

               BRAZOS         AUSTIN       CHAMBERS
               BURLESON       COLORADO     BRAZORIA
               GRIMES         FORT BEND    GALVESTON
               HOUSTON        LIBERTY      HARRIS
               MADISON        MONTGOMERY   JACKSON
               POLK           WALLER       MATAGORDA
               SAN JACINTO    WASHINGTON
               TRINITY
               WALKER
               WASHINGTON


                 U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATIONS


BELOW IS A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF EACH DROUGHT CLASSIFICATION:

D4 EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT - EXCEPTIONAL OR WIDESPREAD CROP/PASTURE LOSS
   A SHORTAGE OF WATER IN RESERVOIRS AND STREAMS CREATING
   A WATER EMERGENCY.

D3 EXTREME DROUGHT - MAJOR CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES. WIDESPREAD WATER
   SHORTAGES AND RESTRICTIONS.

D2 SEVERE DROUGHT - CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES LIKELY. SOME WATER
   SHORTAGES COMMON AND SOME WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED.

D1 MODERATE DROUGHT - SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES. RESERVOIRS
   OR WELLS LOW. VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED.

D0 ABNORMALLY DRY - SHORT TERM DRYNESS. PLANT GROWTH SLOWS. MINOR
   WATER DEFICITS.


FOR FURTHER CLARIFICATION...SEE EITHER (ALL LINKS IN LOWER CASE)
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/DM_STATE.HTM?TX.S OR FOR THE ENTIRE
COUNTRY SEE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN QUITE DRY SINCE OCTOBER 2008. THE LAST SIX
WEEKS HAVE BEEN VERY DRY AND LONG RANGE OUTLOOK INDICATES DRIER THAN
NORMAL CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH MAY. THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
SUGGESTS THE SHORT TERM WEATHER WILL ALSO REMAIN DRY. TEMPERATURES
WILL ALSO WARM AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO PREVAIL
THROUGH THE END OF SPRING.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS WERE LOW WHICH MADE LAND PREPARATION FOR SPRING
PLANTINGS DIFFICULT. ROW CROP PRODUCERS BEGAN PLANTING CORN...
SORGHUM AND SUNFLOWERS. RYEGRASS AND CLOVER WERE GROWING WELL.
LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS WERE SUPPLEMENTING CATTLE WITH HAY AND PROTEIN.
LIVESTOCK PONDS WERE LOW. FRUIT TREES HAVE BROKEN BUD AND STARTED TO
BLOOM.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU (ALL LOWER CASE).

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

100 HOUR FUEL MOISTURE WAS LESS THAN 50 PERCENT WEST OF A TRINITY TO
FREEPORT LINE. THE MOISTURE CONTENT IN 1000 HOUR DEAD FUEL WAS LESS
THAN 20 PERCENT WEST OF A LIVINGSTON TO MONT BELVIEU TO BAY CITY
LINE LINE AND LESS THAN 18 PERCENT WEST OF A CROCKETT TO HUNTSVILLE
TO COLUMBUS LINE. THE DAILY FIRE MAP AND FIVE DAY AVERAGES SHOW A
LOW TO MODERATE RISK FOR FIRE DANGER ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND LESS THAN NORMAL RAINFALL HAS
HELPED TO RAISE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
VALUES BETWEEN 700 AND 800 ARE CRITICAL AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. THE
KBDI VALUES IN BURLESON COUNTY NOW EXCEED 600. THE 8 TO 14 DAY
PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK SHOWS CONDITIONS TO REMAIN WARM AND DRY SO THE
KBDI VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE
MONTH. BELOW IS A TABLE WITH KBDI VALUES (3/09/2011):

        600-700       500-600       400-300       300-200



(SEE THE LINK...ALL LOWER CASE HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/
KBDI_DAILY/ KBDICOUNTY.PNG).

RESTRICTIONS/ACTIONS...

BURN BANS ARE MAKING A STRONG COMEBACK DUE TO DRY GROUND FUELS. SAN
JACINTO AND TRINITY COUNTIES HAVE NOW ISSUED BURN BANS. TRINITY
COUNTY DROPPED ITS BURN BAN DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINS.

ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE WEB SITE ON MARCH 17TH 2011...
(HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/ DECBAN.PNG)...A BURN BAN IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

AUSTIN...BRAZOS...BURLESON...COLORADO...GRIMES...JACKSON...
LIBERTY...MADISON...SAN JACINTO...WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON AND
WHARTON.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT WHEN DOING ANY OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES
WHICH INVOLVE FIRE OR SPARKS...BY MAKING SURE WATER IS QUICKLY
AVAILABLE IF AN UNWANTED FIRE OR SMOLDERING BEGIN.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

RIVER LEVELS HAVE BEGUN TO FALL AND AREA RESERVOIRS LOCATED IN THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE REGION HAVE BEGUN TO DROP.

     WATERSHED                   CAPACITY

LAKE LIVINGSTON                100.0 PERCENT
LAKE CONROE                     93.4 PERCENT
HOUSTON COUNTY LAKE             97.9 PERCENT
LAKE HOUSTON                   100.0 PERCENT
LAKE SOMERVILLE                 85.4 PERCENT
LAKE TEXANA                     76.2 PERCENT

WATER RESTRICTIONS...NONE AT THIS TIME.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND THIS
FEATURE WILL IMPINGE ON SOUTHEAST TEXAS SHUNTING WEATHER MAKERS TO
THE NORTH AND WEST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AT THIS TIME...IT DOES NOT
APPEAR THAT THERE WILL BE ANY APPRECIABLE RAIN THROUGH MARCH 24TH.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE INCREASING AND THIS WILL CREATE MORE
EVAPORATIVE EFFECTS AND SURFACE SOIL WILL DRY FURTHER.

THE SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK ISSUED MARCH 3 2011 VALID FOR THE
PERIOD OF MARCH...APRIL AND MAY SHOWS DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO PERSIST
OR POSSIBLY INTENSIFY.

THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON OR AROUND MARCH 25 2011.

$$

CR

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