DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1158 AM CST TUE JAN 25 2011


                 ...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...

     ...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS BROUGHT RELIEF TO MUCH OF
                THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

         ...NORTHWESTERN PARTS OF THE REGION STILL ENDURING
               MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS...

SYNOPSIS...
DROUGHT? WHAT DROUGHT? IF YOU LIVE SOUTH OF I-10...RAINFALL SINCE
MID DECEMBER HAS BEEN WELL ABOVE NORMAL. NORTH OF I-10 CONDITIONS
HAVE IMPROVED SOME BUT RAINFALL REMAINS A TOUCH SPARSE. A STRONG LA
NINA PHASE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WINTER. THIS TYPE OF WEATHER
PATTERN USUALLY BRINGS SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND A
CONSIDERABLY DRIER AIR MASS TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE NAO OR NEGATIVE
ARCTIC OSCILLATION IS ALSO IMPACTING THE REGION. THE NAO AND LA NINA
HAVE BEEN TAKING TURNS THIS WINTER AND OVER THE LAST 30 DAYS...THE
NAO HAS BEEN THE VICTOR. A SERIES OF FRONTS AND COASTAL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEMS HAVE BROUGHT PERIODS OF RAIN AND COLDER TEMPERATURES TO
SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE RAINS RETURNED TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON CHRISTMAS
EVE AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSED THE REGION AND BROUGHT NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANOTHER EPISODE OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
FELL ON DECEMBER 29TH WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN ON JANUARY 4TH...9TH...
16TH AND 24TH. COLLEGE STATION...STILL SUFFERING FROM EXTREME
DROUGHT CONDITIONS...RECEIVED 3.77 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE LAST 30
DAYS WHICH IS ABOUT FOUR TIMES THE AMOUNT OF RAIN RECEIVED BETWEEN
OCTOBER 1 2010 AND DECEMBER 23 2010.

HERE ARE SOME RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS BETWEEN
DECEMBER 24TH 2010 AND JANUARY 24TH 2011:

                       IAH - 7.98 INCHES
                       HOU - 9.57 INCHES
                       GLS - 5.35 INCHES
                       CLL - 3.77 INCHES
                       CXO - 4.54 INCHES
                       UTS - 4.42 INCHES
                       DWH - 3.51 INCHES
                       SGR - 7.14 INCHES
                       LBX - 4.70 INCHES
                       PSX - 4.47 INCHES
                       LVJ - 7.46 INCHES
                       HGX - 6.68 INCHES

HERE ARE SOME OTHER RAINFALL REPORTS FROM OUR NETWORK OF CO-OP
OBSERVERS (12/24/10 - 1/24/11):

ANAHUAC       7.20 INCHES
BRENHAM       5.29 INCHES
COLUMBUS      4.74 INCHES
CROCKETT      5.19 INCHES
DANEVANG      7.83 INCHES
HOU WESTBURY  6.87 INCHES
HOU HEIGHTS   9.01 INCHES
NEW CANEY     5.65 INCHES
RICHMOND      5.23 INCHES
SOMERVILLE    3.56 INCHES
WHARTON       5.55 INCHES

AS OF JANUARY 18TH 2011...THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWED MUCH OF
THE NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS IN EXTREME DROUGHT OR D-3.
SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXTENDED SOUTH INTO PARTS OF THE TRINITY
RIVER BASIN AND PARTS OF THE BRAZOS RIVER BASIN. THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF THE REGION IS NO LONGER SUFFERING RAINFALL DEFICITS AND IS NO
LONGER CLASSIFIED IN DROUGHT STATUS.

BELOW IS A LIST OF COUNTIES AND THEIR RESPECTIVE CLASSIFICATION AS
DESIGNATED BY THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR AS OF DECEMBER 28TH:


                   EXTREME D-3      SEVERE D-2
                   DROUGHT          DROUGHT

                   BRAZOS           AUSTIN
                   BURLESON         POLK
                   GRIMES           SAN JACINTO
                   HOUSTON          WALLER
                   MADISON
                   TRINITY
                   WALKER
                   WASHINGTON

                 U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATIONS


BELOW IS A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF EACH DROUGHT CLASSIFICATION:

D4 EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT - EXCEPTIONAL OR WIDESPREAD CROP/PASTURE LOSS
   A SHORTAGE OF WATER IN RESERVOIRS AND STREAMS CREATING
   A WATER EMERGENCY.

D3 EXTREME DROUGHT - MAJOR CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES. WIDESPREAD WATER
   SHORTAGES AND RESTRICTIONS.

D2 SEVERE DROUGHT - CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES LIKELY. SOME WATER
   SHORTAGES COMMON AND SOME WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED.

D1 MODERATE DROUGHT - SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES. RESERVOIRS
   OR WELLS LOW. VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED.

D0 ABNORMALLY DRY - SHORT TERM DRYNESS. PLANT GROWTH SLOWS. MINOR
   WATER DEFICITS.


FOR FURTHER CLARIFICATION...SEE EITHER (ALL LINKS IN LOWER CASE)
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/DM_STATE.HTM?TX.S OR FOR THE ENTIRE
COUNTRY SEE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN QUITE DRY SINCE OCTOBER 2008. THE OVERALL TREND
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL MONTHS WILL BE DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS
THROUGH SPRING AND WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS SUMMER.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

WINTER PASTURES HAVE RESPONDED WELL TO THE RECENT RAINS. STOCK PONDS
HAVE ALSO RESPONDED TO RECENT RAINS BUT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WAS
STILL NEEDED TO REPLENISH THESE PONDS AND IMPROVE WINTER PASTURE
GROWTH. SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF CATTLE WAS STILL REQUIRED. LAND
PREPARATION WAS SLOWED A BIT DUE TO WET CONDITIONS

FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU (ALL LOWER CASE).

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

100 HOUR FUEL MOISTURE WAS GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT ACROSS ALL OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS.  THE MOISTURE CONTENT IN 1000 HOUR DEAD FUEL WAS
GREATER THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE DAILY
FIRE MAP AND FIVE DAY AVERAGES SHOW LOW RISK IN PLACE.

RECENT RAINS HAVE HELPED TO LOWER KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. VALUES BETWEEN 700 AND 800 ARE CRITICAL AND
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. THERE ARE NO COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH A
KBDI VALUE OVER 600. SEVERAL COUNTIES...INCLUDING HARRIS...BRAZORIA
AND FORT BEND ARE BELOW THE 200 THRESHOLD. THE VALUES LISTED BELOW
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO IMPROVE. BELOW IS A TABLE WITH KBDI
VALUES (1/24/2011):

        500-600       400-500       300-400       200-300

        BRAZOS        AUSTIN        MONTGOMERY    JACKSON
        BURLESON      GRIMES        POLK          LIBERTY
        MADISON       HOUSTON       SAN JACINTO   MATAGORDA
                      TRINITY                     WHARTON
                      WALKER
                      WALLER
                      WASHINGTON

(SEE THE LINK...ALL LOWER CASE HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/
KBDI_DAILY/ KBDICOUNTY.PNG).

RESTRICTIONS/ACTIONS...
THE UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE HAS BANNED ALL FIRES IN THE
NATIONAL FORESTS LOCATED IN THE STATE OF TEXAS. OFFICIALS ARE
CAUTIONING VISITORS AND CAMPERS ABOUT THE RISK OF FIRE IN THE
ANGELINA...SABINE...DAVY CROCKETT AND SAM HOUSTON NATIONAL FORESTS.

MANY COUNTY BURN BAN DECLARATIONS HAVE BEEN REMOVED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
TEXAS. ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE WEB SITE ON JANUARY 24
2011...(HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/ DECBAN.PNG)...A BURN BAN
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

FORT BEND...JACKSON...WALLER AND THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA OF GALVESTON
COUNTY.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT WHEN DOING ANY OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES
WHICH INVOLVE FIRE OR SPARKS...BY MAKING SURE WATER IS QUICKLY
AVAILABLE IF AN UNWANTED FIRE OR SMOLDERING BEGIN.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

RIVER LEVELS HAVE RISEN AND RECENT RAINS HAVE HELPED TO RECHARGE
AREA RESERVOIRS.

     WATERSHED                   CAPACITY

LAKE LIVINGSTON                100.0 PERCENT
LAKE CONROE                     93.4 PERCENT
HOUSTON COUNTY LAKE             94.8 PERCENT
LAKE HOUSTON                   100.0 PERCENT
LAKE SOMERVILLE                 86.8 PERCENT
LAKE TEXANA                     84.2 PERCENT

WATER RESTRICTIONS...NONE AT THIS TIME.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT. A FAST MOVING FRONT WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF
RAIN NEXT TUESDAY. THE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS LOOK TO BE COOLER THAN
NORMAL AND RAINFALL WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL...PARTICULARLY CLOSER TO
THE COAST.

THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED...IF NEEDED...DURING THE
FIRST WEEK IN FEBRUARY.

$$

CR

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.