DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1201 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2009

              ...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...

     ...DROUGHT CONDITIONS WORSEN OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

SYNOPSIS...
A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS HAS
SHUNTED STORM SYSTEMS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE
LAST SIGNIFICANT RAIN TO AFFECT THIS AREA OCCURRED DURING APRIL.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CROSSED THE AREA IN EARLY JUNE BUT COVERAGE
WAS SPOTTY AND RAINFALL TOTALS WERE LIGHT.

BELOW IS A TABLE WITH RAINFALL AND RAINFALL DEFICITS FOR A FEW SITES
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS:

              HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT

MONTH     RAIN     DEP

JAN       0.49     -3.19
FEB       1.52     -1.46
MAR       4.08     +0.72
APR      10.38     +6.78
MAY       0.38     -4.77
JUN      TRACE     -2.09

TOTAL    16.85     -4.01


              HOUSTON HOBBY AIRPORT

MONTH     RAIN     DEP

JAN       0.37     -3.88
FEB       1.18     -1.83
MAR       2.52     -0.67
APR      15.61    +12.15
MAY       0.66     -4.45
JUN       0.93     -1.61

TOTAL    21.27     -0.29

             COLLEGE STATION

MONTH     RAIN     DEP

JAN       0.70     -2.62
FEB       0.68     -1.70
MAR       5.07     +2.23
APR       6.11     +2.91
MAY       1.41     -3.64
JUN      TRACE     -1.64

TOTAL    13.97     -4.46


             GALVESTON

MONTH     RAIN     DEP

JAN       0.34     -3.74
FEB       1.05     -1.56
MAR       3.73     +0.97
APR       5.23     +2.67
MAY       0.19     -3.51
JUN       0.32     -1.20

TOTAL    10.86     -6.37


BELOW IS A TABLE WITH THE ANNUAL RAINFALL...NORMAL RAIN AND THE
PERCENT OF RAIN WHICH FELL IN MARCH AND APRIL AND THE PERCENT OF THE
ANNUAL RAINFALL WHICH FELL DURING THE LAST TWO WEEKS OF APRIL. THE
VALUE IN PARENTHESES IS THE INCHES OF RAIN MEASURED DURING THE
RESPECTIVE TIME PERIODS.

SITE     2009 RAIN     NORMAL    PERCENT     PERCENT
                       RAIN      MAR/APR     4/15 4/30

IAH      16.85         20.86     85.8 PCNT   55.3 PERCENT
                                 (14.46)     (9.32)

HOU      21.27         21.56     86.1 PCNT    70.3 PERCENT
                                 (18.31)     (14.95)

CLL      13.97         18.43     80.0 PCNT    41.1 PERCENT
                                 (11.18)     (5.74)

GLS      10.86         17.23     82.5 PCNT    44.5 PERCENT
                                 (8.96)       (4.83)

DON`T BE DECEIVED BY THE DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL. A WHOPPING 86
PERCENT OF THE 2009 ANNUAL RAINFALL FELL IN MARCH AND APRIL AND 55
PERCENT OF THE ANNUAL RAINFALL FELL DURING THE LAST TWO WEEKS OF
APRIL. ONLY 0.40 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN AT INTERCONTINENTAL
AIRPORT SINCE APRIL 29TH. THE RAIN IN APRIL HELPED TO RECHARGE AREA
RESERVOIRS...BUT THE DROUGHT LAST FALL COUPLED WITH THE EARLY SUMMER
DROUGHT IS LEAVING YARDS AND FARMS PARCHED. WITH NO OR VERY LIMITED
RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT TEN DAYS...DROUGHT CONDITIONS
WILL WORSEN. HOUSTON HOBBY AIRPORT ENDURED IT`S WETTEST APRIL IN
RECORDED HISTORY AND YET STILL SUFFERS A RAINFALL DEFECIT FOR THE
YEAR BECAUSE EVERY OTHER MONTH OF THE YEAR HAD BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL.

AS OF JUNE 11 2009...THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR INDICATED THAT EXTREME
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE AFFECTING JACKSON...MATAGORDA AND BURLESON
COUNTIES. SINCE JANUARY 1 2009...EDNA HAS ONLY RECEIVED 2.37 INCHES
OF RAIN ALTHOUGH OTHER AREAS OF JACKSON COUNTY HAVE RECEIVED SOME
HEAVIER RAINFALL TOTALS. SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE AFFECTING
PARTS OF WHARTON...COLORADO...FORT BEND...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...
GRIMES...MADISON AND HOUSTON COUNTIES. MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
WERE IMPACTING PARTS OF TRINITY...WALKER AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES.
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE OVER THE NEXT WEEK.

FOR FURTHER CLARIFICATION...SEE EITHER (ALL LINKS IN LOWER CASE)
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/DM_STATE.HTM?TX.S OR FOR THE ENTIRE
COUNTRY SEE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
THE LATEST SOIL MOISTURE ANOMALY GRAPHIC FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER SHOWS MILDLY DRY TO ABNORMALLY DRY SOIL CONDITIONS OVER ALL
OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...WITH EXCESSIVELY DRY CONDITIONS WEST OF THE
COLORADO RIVER. THE JUNE 10TH TEXAS A & M TEXAS CROP AND WEATHER
REPORT INDICATED THAT PASTURES WERE GETTING SHORT AND CROPS REMAINED
STRESSED IN MANY COUNTIES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE
HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU (ALL LOWER CASE).

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...
A LOW TO MODERATE FIRE DANGER EXISTS OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS. HIGH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ALLOW FOR SOME RECOVERY AT NIGHT. THE
THREAT FOR WILD FIRES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DUE TO VERY DRY GROUND
FUELS AND A BURGEONING DROUGHT.

AS OF JUNE 12TH...THE HIGHEST KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES (500 TO
600) WERE LOCATED OVER JACKSON AND BRAZORIA COUNTIES. THE REMAINDER
OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS HAVE KEETCH-BYRAM VALUES OF BETWEEN 400 AND 500.
(SEE THE LINK...ALL LOWER CASE HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/
KBDI_DAILY/ KBDICOUNTY.PNG). INDICES WILL LIKELY INCREASE THIS WEEK
IF BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL CONTINUES.

RESTRICTIONS/ACTIONS...
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE WEB SITE ON JUNE 12 2009...
(HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG)...A BURN BAN REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR GALVESTON COUNTY.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT WHEN DOING ANY OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES
WHICH INVOLVE FIRE OR SPARKS...BY MAKING SURE WATER IS QUICKLY
AVAILABLE IF AN UNWANTED FIRE OR SMOLDERING BEGIN. FINALLY...
MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT DISCARD LIGHTED CIGARETTES FROM THEIR VEHICLES.

OUTLOOK...
A PERSISTENT AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND TEXAS. THIS FEATURE
WILL CONTINUE TO SHUNT WEATHER MAKERS TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE 7 TO 8 DEGREES WARMER THAN
THE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
VERY LOW. THE PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL DETERMINE WHEN RAIN
WILL RETURN TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AT THIS TIME...THE RIDGE LOOKS LIKE
IT WILL MOVE WEST INTO NEW MEXICO. THIS WILL ALLOW A NORTHWEST FLOW TO
DEVELOP BY JUNE 21ST. THIS WILL ALLOW CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS THAT
DEVELOP OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST AND AFFECT THE
REGION. IF THE RIDGE REMAINS CLOSE TO TEXAS...RAIN CHANCES WILL
REMAIN LOW AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT IF NEEDED WILL BE BE ISSUED
AROUND JULY 1 2009.

$$

CR

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