North Texas Drought Information


Drought conditions are expected to persist this summer across North and Central Texas.

 

Drought Information Statement

The Drought Information Statement is a summary of the current state of the drought, including precipitation deficits, local impacts, outlooks, and other information.  A statement is issued when severe drought (D2) is occurring within the NWS Fort Worth area of responsibility.

 


Current Drought Conditions

 U.S. Drought Monitor

The U.S. Drought Monitor was established to assess drought severity in a subjective but uniform manner.  Since 1999, various agencies, including those within the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), have pooled their expertise with that of academia and local interests to more accurately categorize drought.  Incorporating the input of all these entities, the National Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC) issues a weekly assessment of drought severity on a national scale.  Click the images below to enlarge.

 

U.S. Drought Monitor

U.S. Drought Monitor - North and Central Texas

 

 Palmer Drought Severity Index

The Palmer Drought Severity Index measures primarily meteorological drought (precipitation versus normal).  Click here for an image.

 Keetch-Byram Drought Index

The Keetch-Byram Drought Index is a drought statistic specifically designed to assess fire danger.  Click on the image to enlarge, or click here for a county-average map.

Keetch-Byram Drought Index     

 


Data and Other Information

 Radar Precipitation Estimates

A complete suite of radar-estimated precipitation data is now available through the National Weather Service's Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service.  Images are available for month-to-date and year-to-date totals, among other selectable time frames.  Menus below each image allow for user-customized data, including departure from normal.  (Click the image below to access images tailored to North Texas.)

2010-2011 Precipitation Deficits

 

 Current Lake Levels

The daily Hydrologic Summary contains a list of river and reservoir levels.  Toward the bottom of the product, the current lake levels are listed alongside their normal (conservation) pool levels.  The difference between the two is the current deficit/surplus for a reservoir.

 Drought Impact Reporter from the National Drought Mitigation Center

Drought severity is inherently linked to the impacts of the drought.  Such impacts include agricultural issues, hydrologic deficits, increased fire danger, and other economic and social consequences.  These impacts are not easily quantified with simple statistics.

 

The National Drought Mitigation Center developed the Drought Impact Reporter as a database for reported drought impacts.  The impacts are classified by category, with the number of reports emphasizing a drought's significance without attributing specific statistics to the reports.  (Click on a county of interest for further information.)

 Outdoor Burn Bans

Outdoor burn bans are established by county officials.  The Texas A&M Forest Service compiles this information and provides the map below.  (Click to enlarge.)

Texas Outdoor Burn Bans

 

 Data from Cooperative Observers

Select a location on the map below or from the menu beneath it. You will find monthly and annual normals as well as archived precipitation totals. Selecting either DFW or Waco will provide extensive climatological data.

DFW Waco Dallas Love Alvarado Alvord Ambrose Antelope Aquilla Arlington Athens Bardwell Benrbook Bonham Bonita Bowie Brandon Brazos Breckenridge Bremond Bridgeport Burleson Cameron Carbon Center City Centerville Chalk Mountain Cleburne Cleburne 7SE Commerce Cooper Copperas Cove Corsicana Cranfills Gap Crawford Cresson Davilla Decatur Denton Dublin Edom Emory Evant Farmersville Ferris Flat Forestburg Fort Worth NWS    Fort Worth
Nature Center Franklin Frisco Gainesville Gatesville Goldthwaite Gordon Graham Granbury Grapevine Greenville Hamilton Hico Hillsboro Honey Grove Huckabay Hurst Springs Itasca Jacksboro Joe Pool Lake Justin Kaufman Kaufman 13ENE Kopperl Lake Bridgeport Lake Tawakoni Lampasas Lavon Lewisville Lipan Marlin McGregor McKinney Meridian Mexia Midlothian Monkstown Morgan Morgan Mill Muenster Navarro Mills Nix Store Oakwood Olney Palestine Palo Pinto Paris Pidcoke Proctor Rainbow Remuda Richardson Roanoke Rockdale Rockwall Rosebud Rosser Sherman Stephenville Stillhouse Hollow Strawn Sulphur Springs Terrell Thorndale Thornton Trenton Troy Waco Dam Waxahachie Weatherford West Whitney Wills Point Wolfe City Youngsport


Forecasts and Drought Outlooks

 U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook

This outlook from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) predicts the future evolution of drought, including the potential for development or relief.  (Click map to enlarge.)

U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook 

 How Much Rain Do We Need?

For areas currently in drought, the image below shows the amount of precipitation needed to return to the "near normal" Palmer category.  (Click to enlarge.)

Precipitation Needed to Return to Normal

 What Can We Expect the Next Several Months?

CPC's 3-month outlooks present the likelihood of receiving a precipitation total that differs significantly from normal.  For precipitation, green areas denote parts of the country with an increased chance of being in the wettest tercile, or the wettest third of historical data.  Similarly, brown areas denote parts of the country that are projected to have an elevated chance of being in the driest tercile.  Where neither color is shaded, CPC has concluded that there is no strong signal to determine an accentuated chance of being in either the driest or wettest tercile.  This does not mean that near normal precipitation is expected, but simply that the 3-month period is just as likely to be in the wettest tercile as it is to be in the driest tercile.

 


Quick Links

 National Integrated Drought Information System

 National Drought Mitigation Center

 Water Restrictions (at TCEQ)

 

 

 


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