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Drought Information Statement

549
AXUS72 KFFC 211450
DGTFFC
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-077-
079-081-083-085-089-091-093-097-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-129-
133-135-139-141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-167-169-171-175-187-
193-195-197-199-207-209-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-
235-237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-281-283-285-289-291-
293-295-297-301-303-307-309-311-313-315-317-319-222300-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1050 AM EDT THU JUL 21 2016

...A SHORT-TERM...ESCALATING SEVERE DROUGHT CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS
OF NORTH GEORGIA INCLUDING THE ATLANTA METRO AREA...
...ABNORMALLY DRY TO MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST AND
EXPAND OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...

A FEW DAYS OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BROUGHT SOME MINOR
RELIEF TO THE SHORT-TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA DURING THE PAST 14 DAYS. SCATTERED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
2.5 INCHES PREVAILED WITH SOME ISOLATED SPOTS RECEIVING UP TO 4
INCHES. HOWEVER...AROUND A THIRD OF THE AREA ONLY RECEIVED A HALF
INCH OR LESS OF RAIN. THIS HAS ALLOWED RAINFALL DEFICITS TO WORSEN
IN MANY LOCATIONS DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS.

DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S WITH HIGH EVAPORATION RATES...THE SOIL
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO DECLINE IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED LESS THAN 2 INCHES
OF RAIN ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS.
CONSEQUENTLY...A SEVERE DROUGHT CONTINUES OVER NORTH GEORGIA WHICH
INCLUDES THE ATLANTA METRO AREA. THE DRIEST AREAS WERE FROM TRENTON
TO ROME...AROUND CANTON...AROUND HOMER...AND FROM DALLAS THROUGH
NEWNAN TO MCDONOUGH. ABNORMALLY DRY TO MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
PERSISTED AND EXPANDED OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA.

SOME MINOR HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS TO WATER SUPPLY...STREAM FLOWS AND
GROUND WATER TABLES ARE BEGINNING TO OCCUR OVER MOST OF NORTH GEORGIA.
THIS INCLUDES THE LAKE LANIER POOL ELEVATION WHICH HAS FALLEN ANOTHER
THIRD OF A FOOT DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS.

SEE HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/FFC/?N=RAINDEF FOR THE LATEST
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IMAGE AND OTHER DROUGHT RELATED INFORMATION.

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CLIMATE IMPACTS

GENERALLY 5 TO 90 PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL OCCURRED OVER NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THE PAST 14 DAYS. THE ISOLATED 3 TO 3.5 INCH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE FROM 125 TO 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

LOCATION   TOTAL RAINFALL    NORMAL    DEPARTURE     PERCENT
            LAST 180 DAYS    VALUE     FROM NORMAL   OF NORMAL

ATLANTA         19.52        25.55       -6.03         76%
ATHENS          16.00        23.59       -7.59         68%
COLUMBUS        19.71        24.92       -5.21         79%
MACON           18.76        23.37       -4.61         80%
ROME            19.06        27.32       -8.26         70%
CARTERSVILLE    22.14        26.65       -4.51         83%
GAINESVILLE     19.91        27.32       -7.41         73%

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RESERVOIRS/STREAM LEVELS

CURRENT LAKE LEVELS AT USACE PROJECTS WERE MAINLY FROM NEAR SUMMER
POOL LEVEL AT ALLATOONA TO NEAR 4 FEET BELOW AT WEST POINT. THE POOL
LEVELS ARE PROJECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STEADY OR SLOWLY FALL DURING
THE NEXT FOUR WEEKS.

LAKE        SUMMER POOL  CURRENT LEVEL    DEPARTURE
                                           IN FEET
ALLATOONA       840          839.79         -0.21
CARTERS        1074         1072.70         -1.30
HARTWELL        660          656.53         -3.47
LANIER         1071         1066.85         -4.15
THURMOND        330          326.29         -3.71
WEST POINT      635          631.98         -3.02

AVERAGE STREAM LEVELS FOR THE PAST 14 DAYS WERE GENERALLY 2 TO 40
PERCENT OF NORMAL FLOW IN MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO
AREAS OF RECENT RAINFALL.

PLEASE NOTE THAT CREEKS AND SMALLER RIVERS CAN CHANGE QUICKLY DUE TO
RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN IF IT OCCURS.

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FIRE DANGER LEVELS

THE LATEST FIRE DANGER ASSESSMENT INDICATES A HIGH RISK ACROSS
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS ASSESSMENT CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY DUE TO CHANGES
IN MOISTURE LEVELS AND RAINFALL RECEIVED.

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TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK

FOR AUGUST...THE OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURE AND EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED. THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA UNLESS SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS RECEIVED.

90 DAY OUTLOOK...FOR AUGUST THROUGH OCTOBER...ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURE AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

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THIS DATA WAS FURNISHED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
COOPERATION WITH THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE GEORGIA STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST AT THE UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA...THE GEORGIA
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION DIVISION...AND THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF
ENGINEERS. CURRENT FIRE DANGER ASSESSMENTS WERE PROVIDED BY THE
GEORGIA FORESTRY COMMISSION.

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT IS SCHEDULED FOR THURSDAY
...AUGUST 4 2016.

$$

BELANGER



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