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Area Forecast Discussion

620
FXUS62 KFFC 260120 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
920 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.UPDATE...
NEAR TERM FCST IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE. BUMPED DEWPOINTS UP A LITTLE
BASED ON RECENT MODEL GUIDANCE. UPDATED VSBY AND WX GRIDS TO
ACCOUNT FOR CHC OF FOG IN NW COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOULD NOT
BE LESS THAN 1 MILE BUT WILL MONITOR REST OF NIGHT.

SNELSON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
NO CHANGES TO THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA
WILL KEEP SUNNY AND WARMING CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY. INCREASED LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED
TO BRING SOME CLOUDS THROUGH SUNRISE...THEN CLEAR OUT QUICKLY.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 80S BY SUNDAY WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN
THE LOW 50S. ALTHOUGH LOWS ARE NEAR NORMAL...THE INFLUENCE OF THE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY

01

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NO CHANGES PLANNED TO THE LONG TERM. PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION
FOLLOWS...

17

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MID WEEK FRONTAL BOUNDARY STILL EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE CWFA.
MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO SHOW SOME INCREASED SURFACE INSTABILITY
WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE STRONGEST MID LEVEL SUPPORT SHOULD REMAIN
JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE CWFA...SO HAVE ONLY ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDER FOR WEDNESDAY.

MODELS ARE PROGGING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP BY LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY ALONG THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. FOR NOW...ALL PRECIP SHOULD REMAIN WELL TO THE
SOUTH OF THE CWFA...BUT FRIDAY/FRIDAY MAY BE BREEZY AS THE LOW
BEGINS TO MOVE UP THE SE COAST.

TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK.
NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL VALUES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
NO AVIATION WX CONCERNS EXPECTED THRU 06Z MON. COULD SEE 2-4KFT
SCT TO POSSIBLY BKN CLOUDS TONIGHT AND SOME MVFR FOG AFTER
MIDNIGHT AT NW GA AIRPORTS. VFR AT METRO ATL AND MIDDLE GA
AIRPORTS. NW TO W SFC WINDS WILL REMAIN 4-8KTS OVERNIGHT AND
SUNDAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON BKN CLOUDS AND MVFR FOG NW GA AIRPORTS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          53  81  51  82 /   0   0   5   5
ATLANTA         59  80  59  81 /   0   0   5   5
BLAIRSVILLE     49  75  45  77 /   0   0   5   5
CARTERSVILLE    52  78  51  82 /   0   0   5   5
COLUMBUS        56  82  57  83 /   0   0   5   5
GAINESVILLE     55  79  55  80 /   0   0   5   5
MACON           51  83  50  84 /   0   0   5   5
ROME            53  79  52  82 /   0   0   5   5
PEACHTREE CITY  52  82  52  82 /   0   0   5   5
VIDALIA         52  82  56  83 /   0   0   5   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....DEESE
AVIATION...SNELSON





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