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Area Forecast Discussion

962
FXUS62 KTAE 271751
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
151 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Saturday]...
VFR conditions will prevail through the evening and early
overnight hours. With increasing low level moisture, expect MVFR
restrictions at DHN/ECP/VLD a couple hours before sunrise. Any
vsby restrictions should end by 13z with VFR conditions for the
remainder of the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [1012 AM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...
Easterly flow is in place this morning as the region is on the
southern edge of an area of high pressure off the Mid Atlantic
States. The low level airmass has continued to moisten, and expect
it to be a little more humid this afternoon. Expect a mostly sunny
day across the region with highs warming into the lower 90s,
except along the immediate coast, where temperatures in the mid to
upper 80s are expected.


.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Sunday]...

Upper level ridging will remain over the east coast through the short
term. Rain chances will be less than 20%, however an isolated
thunderstorm is possible with the sea breeze. The area of low
pressure near the Bahamas will stay well to the east of the local
area. Lows will be in the mid 60s with highs in the upper 80s on
Friday and lower 90s on Saturday.


.LONG TERM [Sunday Night Through Friday]...

Ridging will begin to weaken as the tropical wave moves up the
east coast of Florida. The National Hurricane Center has an 80%
chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours.
However, most of the impacts will stay well to the northeast
along the coast of the Carolinas. Moisture will extend to the
local area and PoPs will be in the 20-30% range. Highs will be in
the lower 90s with lows near 70.


.MARINE...

With high pressure in place winds will be southeasterly 10 to 15
knots for the next several days. Early next week winds will become
westerly around 10 knots. Seas will be 3 feet or less.


.FIRE WEATHER...

Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected over the next
several days.


.HYDROLOGY...

With rivers below action stage and no significant rain the in the
forecast, there are no hydrology concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   65  92  68  92  68 /   0  10  10  10   0
Panama City   67  84  70  87  72 /   0  20  10  10  10
Dothan        65  88  66  91  69 /   0  10  10  10  10
Albany        64  89  66  90  69 /   0   0   0  10  10
Valdosta      64  91  66  91  68 /   0  10  10  20  10
Cross City    64  90  67  90  68 /   0  20  10  20  10
Apalachicola  69  86  69  88  71 /   0  10  10  10   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Godsey
SHORT TERM...Weston
LONG TERM...Weston
AVIATION...Godsey
MARINE...Weston
FIRE WEATHER...Harrigan
HYDROLOGY...Weston



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