« Back
NWS Peachtree City, Ga » Text Product » TAE Area Forecast Discussion

Printer-friendly Version     Surrounding:  BMX  MRX  FFC  CAE  TAE  
Current Version              Previous Versions:   1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  

Area Forecast Discussion

FXUS62 KTAE 300124

824 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2015

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

An increase in low level moisture along with slightly warmer
overnight temperatures will result in a better chance for fog
development. Current guidance suggests the best chance will
generally be across the Florida panhandle and our SE Alabama
zones. Otherwise, skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy
with lows in the mid to upper 50s inland and around 60 along the



[Through 00Z Monday]...Unlimited Vis and unrestricted cigs will
continue through most of the overnight period. The consensus of
the latest NWP guidance shows there will be enough boundary layer
moisture for fog development along or west of a line from KABY to
KECP. We expect a period of IFR Vis at KECP and KDHN between 09z
and 14z, and MVFR Vis at KABY during this time. Elsewhere,
significant Vis restrictions appear less likely. Surface winds
will be light and rather variable through Monday.


.Prev Discussion [324 PM EST]...

.Short Term [Monday Through Tuesday Night]...

Warm and dry weather will continue through Tuesday as an upper
ridge maintains control over the region`s weather. Expect to see
highs in the upper 70s both Monday and Tuesday afternoons. Min
temps will warm from the upper 50s on Monday night to the lower
to mid 60s Tuesday night ahead of an approaching cold front.

The aforementioned front will begin to impact the weather by late
Tuesday night with a few showers possible before sunrise on

.Long Term [Wednesday Through Sunday]...

Upper trough will slide east by Wednesday and help to push a cold
front through the forecast area. The trough is forecast to have a
pronounced positive tilt, with limited forcing expected. However,
should see scattered showers develop on Wednesday across much of
the area.

Guidance continues to diverge significantly with the upper
pattern (and sensible weather) beyond Wednesday. GFS digs a more
significant piece of energy towards the Texas coast, which
generates a large shield of overrunning precip across the
northern Gulf Coast by Thursday and continuing into Friday. The
Euro continues with its more progressive solution and clears the
precip from the area by midday on Thursday. Will continue to use
a compromise between the two for now with chance PoPs through
late Thursday, ending from east to west on Friday.


Light winds and minimal seas will continue through Tuesday.
Following a frontal passage on Wednesday, offshore flow will
increase through the end of the workweek, likely reaching at
least exercise caution levels.

.Fire Weather...

Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected over the next
several days.


Dry weather will continue for the next few days. Rain will move
into the region on Wednesday and Thursday. Estimated rain totals
for the next seven days are less than one inch. Most local rivers
are at normal levels. Therefore, the rainfall is not expected to
impact local rivers.


.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   55  79  59  79  65 /   0   0  10  10  20
Panama City   59  74  61  75  65 /   0   0  10  10  20
Dothan        56  77  58  77  61 /   0   0   0  10  20
Albany        54  77  58  78  62 /   0   0  10  10  20
Valdosta      54  78  59  79  64 /   0   0   0  10  10
Cross City    57  80  60  80  64 /   0   0   0  10  10
Apalachicola  60  73  62  75  66 /   0   0  10  10  20






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.