« Back
NWS Peachtree City, Ga » Text Product » TAE Area Forecast Discussion

Printer-friendly Version     Surrounding:  BMX  MRX  FFC  CAE  TAE  
Current Version              Previous Versions:   1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  

Area Forecast Discussion

FXUS62 KTAE 131954

354 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2015

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

A broken line of thunderstorms persists early this afternoon across
SW Georgia and SE Alabama ahead of a cold front. With minimal low
level convergence and marginal instability, expect activity to
remain scattered through the evening. The front will pass overnight
with clearing skies and a cooler airmass moving in. By morning, lows
will range from the mid 60s in the southeast to the lower 50s in the
northern zones.

.Short Term [Wednesday Through Thursday Night]...

A broad 500 mb trough will be the main large scale feature over much
of the eastern CONUS. At the surface, the cold front traversing our
forecast area tonight will exit to the southeast Wednesday morning,
followed by fair weather and cooler temperatures. Highs will be in
the upper 70s to mid 80s, lows in the 50s (though we can`t rule out
upper 40s in the normally coldest locations Thursday morning).

.Long Term [Friday Through Tuesday]...

The global model consensus maintains a broad, upper level long wave
trough over the eastern CONUS through Saturday, then forecast a
ridge over the east early next week. At the surface, other than a
weak, dry cold front passage Friday night and early Saturday, high
pressure and a dry airmass will dominate the Southeast.  Highs will
be in the lower to mid 80s Friday, then cool to the lower to mid 70s
by Sunday and Monday behind a dry cold front. Lows will be in the
50s, with upper 40s possible in the normally colder sites Sunday and
Monday mornings.



[Through 18Z Wednesday] Scattered showers may briefly impact KDHN
and KABY this afternoon and possible KTLH and KECP early this
evening ahead of a cold front. Winds will shift to the northwest,
but remain light, following the cold front with VFR conditions
expected to prevail thereafter.



Moderate W-SW winds this evening will slacken and gradually veer to
the NW later tonight and Wednesday as a weak cold front moves
through the region. N-NE winds will increase to moderate levels
Wednesday night and Thursday.


.Fire Weather...

No concerns.



Rainfall amounts through early Wednesday will be relatively light as
far as basin averages are concerned, followed by dry conditions
through the weekend. River stages will remain below their
local action stages.


.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   61  84  53  83  54 /  20   0   0   0   0
Panama City   64  82  60  81  61 /  20   0   0   0   0
Dothan        53  81  53  81  53 /  10   0   0   0   0
Albany        55  81  52  80  52 /  10   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      61  83  53  81  53 /  20   0   0   0   0
Cross City    66  85  55  84  55 /  20  20   0   0   0
Apalachicola  66  83  58  81  59 /  40  10   0   0   0





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.