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Area Forecast Discussion

225
FXUS64 KOHX 311855
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
155 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS HAVE HELD SURFACE INSTABILITY DOWN TODAY SO WE ARE SEEING
FEWER THUNDERSTORMS AS A RESULT BUT SHOWERS HAVE CONTINUED SCATTERED
THROUGHOUT THE REGION AS MOISTURE PLUME CONTINUES TO FEED INTO OUR
AREA WHILE UPPER TROUGH TO THE WEST BEGINS TO SHOW SIGNS OF RELAXING.
WILL KEEPS POPS GOING THROUGH THE EVENING WITH FOG DEVELOPING ALL
AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH RAIN CHANCES CONTINUING ALONG PLATEAU.
HAVE TRIMED BACK POPS FOR LABOR DAY BUT CANT RULE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TAKING PLACE IN THE HEAT OF THE DAY WITH PLATEAU AND
EASTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE FAVORED WHERE MOISTURE WILL BE A LITTLE
DEEPER. BROAD UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK SENDING WESTERLIES INTO THE NORTHERN
U.S. NEAR CANADIAN BORDER LATTER PART OF WEEK. IN SPITE OF UPPER
RIDGING MODELS DRIVE A SERIES OF SURFACE FRONTS INTO THE MID STATE
ONE ON TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY AND ANOTHER ON THURSDAY/FRIDAY AND YET
ANOTHER OVER THE WEEKEND. SO HAVE KEPT POPS RUNNING THROUGH PRETTY
MUCH THE ENTIRE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

TEMPS WILL HEAT BACK UP THIS WEEK WELL ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY. BY SUNDAY
TEMPS SHOULD BE CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS AS 1020 MBAR CANADIAN
HIGH SETS TO OUR NORTH OVER GREAT LAKES REGION.



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      70  92  73  91 /  20  10  20  30
CLARKSVILLE    68  91  71  89 /  20  10  20  30
CROSSVILLE     66  87  69  87 /  30  20  10  40
COLUMBIA       70  93  72  92 /  20  10  20  30
LAWRENCEBURG   69  93  71  92 /  20  10  10  30
WAVERLY        69  92  71  90 /  20  10  20  30

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$
BOYD
01





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