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Area Forecast Discussion

292
FXUS64 KOHX 060003
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
703 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...

00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR. CUMULUS FIELD WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY THIS EVENING WITH SKC
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AT AREA AIRPORTS ALONG WITH LIGHT SOUTH WINDS.
SOME PATCHY FOG CANNOT BE RULED OUT EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT
DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS LOOK TO BE SUFFICIENTLY LARGE TO PREVENT ANY
VIS RESTRICTIONS AT CKV OR CSV.

SHAMBURGER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...

WARM AND TRANQUIL WEATHER CONTINUES AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
PERSISTS EAST OF THE AREA. SLIGHTLY DEEPER MOISTURE IS EXPECTED
OVER THE PLATEAU FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH SOME DEGREE OF
UPSLOPE FLOW. THIS COULD LEAD TO A COUPLE OF DIURNALLY DRIVEN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THAT AREA. FRIDAY LOOKS SLIGHTLY DRIER
THEREFORE LEFT NO MENTION OF WEATHER. BEGGINING OVER THE WEEKEND
ATTENTION WILL HAVE TO BE GIVEN TO THE TROUGH SLOWLY TRAVERSING
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. RIDGE APPEARS TO REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH AND THE
AXIS ORIENTED CLOSE ENOUGH TO MIDDLE TN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY TO
LIMIT ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. POPS WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
ON SATURDAY IN THE WEST WHERE MORE MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE.
POPS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ON SUNDAY...MONDAY...AND MONDAY NIGHT
UNTIL FROPA TUESDAY MORNING. POPS WILL THEN BEGIN TO DECREASE WEST
TO EAST ON TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
850 MB TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY CLIMB THROUGH SUNDAY RESULTING IN
TEMPERATURES ACROSS MIDDLE TN IN THE MID TO EVEN A FEW UPPER 80S
BY SATURDAY. SUNDAY COULD BE JUST AS WARM AS SATURDAY AS LONG AS
CLOUD COVER DOESN`T SNEAK IN FROM THE WEST. MONDAY WILL BE A
COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER. LOOK FOR
HIGHS TO BE CLOSER TO NORMAL ON TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT.

REAGAN

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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