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Area Forecast Discussion

434
FXUS64 KOHX 071113
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
513 AM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ALTHOUGH NOT EXPECTED TO TOTALLY PREVAIL FROM 07/12Z-07/18Z...FOR TAF
BREVITY/CLARITY...MENTIONED BKN CI 07/12Z THRU AT LEAST 08/01Z.
OTHERWISE...AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENS/DEVELOPS ACROSS MID STATE...
AC OVC CEILINGS WILL FORM 08/01Z W TO 08/04Z E. AS WEAK EMBEDDED IMPULSES
BEGIN TO MOVE ACROSS MID STATE...LIGHT SHWRS WILL DEVELOP UNDER STRATUS
VFR CEILINGS. CEILINGS WILL LOWER TO MVFR LEVELS AROUND 2.5KFT 08/09Z-
08/12Z. VFR VSBYS ARE STILL EXPECTED WITH LIGHT SHWRS BEING PROMINENT
08/06Z-08/12Z. SFC SW WINDS WILL BECOME WLY AFTER SFC FRONTAL PASSAGE
08/06Z-08/12Z.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR FLIGHT RULES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT
TO CALM OVERNIGHT BUT WILL PICK UP AROUND 18Z SUNDAY AS THE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS A BIT. SW GUSTS OF 18-20 KTS
ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY FOR KCKV. BY 00Z MONDAY...HIGH CLOUDS START
TO MOVE BACK INTO THE STATE.


&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION........31
LONG TERM..................21



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