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Area Forecast Discussion

FXUS64 KOHX 302312

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
612 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016




Will be breaking out a late afternoon zone grouping again like I
did yesterday around this time to deal with isolated convection
developing across mainly the Upper Cumberland, northern Highland
Rim and Cumberland Plateau Regions. This is diurnal based
convection, and should dissipate by 00Z or slightly later.

Otherwise, not much change to the forecast package tonight thru
next Tuesday. No real impacts from tropical depression number nine
anticipated through the forecast period. Ridging influences surface
and aloft will continue through Wednesday across the mid state, as
a summertime pattern continues, with a slight chance of light to
moderate showers and thunderstorms across the mid state by Wed
afternoon as a surface front approaches. Will continue with a
slight chance of light showers and thunderstorms Wed night. As a
surface front works into the mid state region on Thursday, will
continue to mention isolated, scattered across mainly the Cumberland
Plateau Region, light to moderate showers and thunderstorms.
As this front pushes south of the mid state on Thursday, building
surface and upper level ridging influences will once again build
into the mid state region providing dry conditions. The main
change one will experience during the next seven days will be a
change in temperatures with the seasonably warm temperatures we
have been experiencing as of late, will transition to more of a
seasonal temperature pattern, late in the week, into the Labor Day
weekend, and even into the first part of the next work week.



VFR flight conditions and light winds for most of this TAF
period. The only exception will be 08-12Z when all 3 terminals
will see reduction in vis. KCKV/KCSV should get the worst of it
with IFR vis for several hours. Conditions will improve back to
VFR by 13Z Wednesday and a light northerly breeze will ensue by
the afternoon hours.






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