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Area Forecast Discussion

191
FXUS64 KOHX 261821
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
121 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR AFTERNOON DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Increased the POP to 50% along the northern
Cumberland Plateau, where scattered slow-moving thunderstorms have
already developed. Because of the slow movement of these storms,
some isolated spots could receive between 1 and 2 inches of rain
in just a short period of time. Ponding of water and localized
flooding will be possible with the strongest storms, and have also
updated HWO to reflect that possibility. Activity should remain
more of the isolated variety over the rest of the Mid-State, with
a bit more forward motion that what is forecast for eastern areas
today.



&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening
along the Cumberland Plateau, along with an increasing chance that
a shower or storm will pass across the CSV terminal. If this
happens, a brief period of MVFR and possible IFR conditions will
occur. Have carried VCTS at CSV through 00Z. Believe thunderstorms
should remain more of an isolated nature around BNA and CKV today.

Look for a period of MVFR, due to BR, at CSV late tonight and
early Monday (between 06Z and 13Z).

Outside of thunderstorm areas, and patchy late night/early morning
BR, you can expect VFR conditions to prevail through about 14Z.

A cold front moves in late tonight and on Monday, bringing an
increased likelihood for thunderstorms and mvfr conditions by
mid-to-late Monday morning. The front should be near CKV at 13z
and near BNA at 17z.


&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......01/Boyd
AVIATION........19



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