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Area Forecast Discussion

387
FXUS64 KOHX 271841
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
141 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT UPPER CUMBERLAND AND A FEW COUNTIES IN
NORTHEAST MIDDLE TENNESSEE NEAR THE KENTUCKY BORDER. CLOSEST CONVECTION
AT THIS TIME IS LAKE CUMBERLAND IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY WITH MORE
CONVECTION OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY. STILL BELIEVE WEST AND MIDDLE
TENNESSEE REMAIN CAPPED OFF WITH TEMPS AT 700 MBARS CURRENTLY AT
+12 DEGREES CELSIUS CONTINUES TO HOLD DOWN DEVELOPMENT...WITH
COOLER TEMPS THROUGH THE MID LEVELS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY WHERE
CONVECTION IS ON-GOING. THINK WE ARE GOING TO HAVE TO WAIT ON COOL
FRONT TO OUR NORTH TO GIVE A KICK AND CRANK STORMS UP ALONG KENTUCKY
BORDER BACK THIS WAY IN THE 22Z-24Z TIME FRAME. STORMS SHOULD WORK
DOWN ALONG INTERSTATE 40 AND INTO THE NASHVILLE AREA BY 02Z...AND
THEN WORK ON DOWN THROUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE AS WE GO TOWARD
MIDNIGHT. A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT IN WATCH AREA.

COOL FRONT WILL BE SOUTH OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE MONDAY MORNING WITH
SURFACE HIGH BUILDING INTO THE AREA. UPPER FLOW WILL REMAIN
NORTHWESTERLY DOWN THROUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK
AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS THROUGH THE WESTERN U.S. THIS WILL KEEP
TEMPS BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS HERE IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE WITH LITTLE
CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL THE WEEKEND.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      68  84  61  81 /  40  10  05   0
CLARKSVILLE    64  82  56  82 /  30  10  05   0
CROSSVILLE     66  76  57  75 /  40  10  05   0
COLUMBIA       69  86  61  82 /  40  10  05   0
LAWRENCEBURG   69  86  61  82 /  30  10  05   0
WAVERLY        65  84  58  83 /  40  10  05   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$
BOYD
01





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