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Area Forecast Discussion

236
FXUS64 KOHX 012332
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
632 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.AVIATION UPDATE...
00Z TAFS...VFR THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
BRIEF BR CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT AROUND DAYBREAK. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT...MAINLY FROM THE NNE.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 208 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS SITUATED JUST NORTH OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE MID
STATE ALONG WITH TYPICALLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND UNUSUALLY DRY
(AND PLEASANT!) DEW POINTS. RIDGE AXIS WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN PLACE
UNTIL FINALLY PASSING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING,
AFTER WHICH TIME WE`LL SEE A RETURN TO WARMER NIGHTTIME LOWS AND
HIGHER DEW POINTS. HIGH TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW DAYS WON`T BE
MUCH WARMER THAN TODAY`S (MAINLY IN THE LOW 90`S, PERHAPS SOME MID
90`S PRIOR TO WEDNESDAY). THUS, EVEN WHEN THE HUMIDITY RETURNS,
HEAT INDICES WILL ONLY TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 90`S AT MOST. NEXT
LEGITIMATE CHANCE OF RAIN WON`T BE UNTIL WEDNESDAY, WHEN THE LONG-
RANGE MODELS SHOW A SHORTWAVE PASSAGE ALONG WITH A QUASI-
STATIONARY BOUNDARY DROPPING SOUTHWARD INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE. SO
WE CAN EXPECT ISOLATED/SCATTERED POP`S LATE NEXT WEEK AND EVEN
INTO THE WEEKEND. AT THIS TIME, THE SPC DOES NOT ANTICIPATE ANY
SEVERE ACTIVITY FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$



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