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Area Forecast Discussion

FXUS64 KOHX 242356

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
656 PM CDT FRI JUN 24 2016




System currently dropping down through western Tennessee looks
like it will try and clip our southwestern counties during the
afternoon. Will have to include pops for this feature in the early
evening if necessary but for now am thinking of keeping pops out
across the board for tonight and only have patchy fog after
midnight. I`ve got a slight chance of thunderstorms southwest on
Saturday and across the area on Sunday. Upper ridge builds into
our area this weekend so more heat and humidity. Thunderstorm
chances ramp up Sunday night and Monday as front approaches from
the northwest. Tuesday and Wednesday looks basically dry then a
chance for thunderstorms returns Thursday and Friday. The heat
backs off as we get into the work week with a cool down coming
around mid week as upper ridge buckles and retrogrades westward
allowing for an upper trough to develop over eastern U.S. Upper
trough will dominate eastern U.S.through the workweek and into
next weekend. Climate prediction center 6 to 10 day outlook as
well as the 8 to 14 day outlook has below normal temps over our
area through the 4th of July.



VFR with MVFR/IFR fog possible. Winds will calm down this evening
and allow for fog development at all TAF sites. Fog looks to be
more likely at KCSV, with MVFR fog developing later in the evening
and some models indicating IFR and even LIFR possible during the
early morning hours. KCKV and KBNA have mainly MVFR fog possible
overnight and into the early morning. Fog should clear out by
13Z-14Z with VFR conditions and light winds during the day






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