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Area Forecast Discussion

281
FXUS64 KOHX 280535 AAB
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1135 PM CST THU NOV 27 2014

.UPDATE...FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.
&&

.AVIATION...06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.
VFR/MVFR CEILINGS CKV/CSV SHOULD ERODE BY 28/08Z WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE IN NWLY FLOW ALOFT RESULTING IN VFR BKN AC/CI CEILINGS ACROSS
AREA 28/07Z-28/17Z. DRY NWLY FLOW ALOFT ALONG WITH BUILDING RIDGING
INFLUENCES 28/17Z-29/06Z WILL MAINLY RESULT IN VFR/SKC CONDITIONS.
SFC WINDS SHIFTING FROM NW-N 5KTS OR LESS TO S AROUND 5KT BY 28/15Z...
EXPECT CKV WHERE INCREASING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT INFLUENCES WILL RESULT
IN GUSTS TO AROUND 18KTS 28/19Z-29/00Z.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 601 PM CST THU NOV 27 2014/

UPDATE...FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.
MVFR CEILINGS WILL ERODE 28/02Z E - 28/05Z W AS A DRIER AIRMASS BEGINS TO WORK
INTO MID STATE. WEAK DISTURBANCE IN NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA
28/10Z-28/17Z RESULTING IN VFR ALTOSTRATUS CEILINGS. DRY NWLY FLOW ALOFT
ALONG WITH BUILDING RIDGING INFLUENCES WILL RESULT 28/17Z-28/24Z IN VFR/SKC
CONDITIONS THRU 28/24Z WITH SFC WINDS SHIFTING FROM NW-N 5KTS OR LESS TO S
AROUND 5KT...EXPECT FOR CSV WHERE INCREASING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT INFLUENCES
WILL RESULT IN GUSTS AROUND 18KTS.

PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 135 PM CST THU NOV 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO COVER MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS
AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. CLEARING LINE
IS MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD, AND IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE BULK OF THE
MID STATE WILL SCATTER OUT BETWEEN 21Z AND 03Z. SURFACE HIGH WILL
SHIFT TO OUR EAST TOMORROW AND BRING ABOUT RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW
AND WARMER TEMPERATURES. LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE WARMING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH READINGS HITTING THE 60`S MOST AREAS ON
SUNDAY. THE NEXT DECENT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL COME SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY AS A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD INTO MIDDLE
TENNESSEE, AND WILL KEEP AT LEAST SCATTERED POP`S IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH MID-WEEK. AT THE SAME TIME, THE UPPER FLOW WILL REMAIN
ZONAL THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WEEK, SO LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO
STABILIZE AROUND NORMAL VALUES FROM MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY.
&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
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