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Area Forecast Discussion

060
FXUS64 KOHX 311042
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
542 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.UPDATE...

FOR 12Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...

COLD AIR WILL BE SINKING INTO THE MID-SOUTH LATER TODAY BEHIND
A STRONG COLD FRONT. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY...WITH POSSIBLE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CSV LATER TONIGHT.
CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER TODAY...BECOMING MVFR ALL SITE...AND
POSSIBLY IFR CSV TOWARD AFTER 00Z. VSBYS WILL STAY LARGELY GOOD
AS WIND GUSTS STRENGTHEN INTO THE 25-30KNT RANGE TODAY...AND STAY
GUSTY TONIGHT. CIGS WILL IMPROVE TONIGHT CKV/BNA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 247 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014/

DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS TODAY WITH THE HIGHER POPS NORTHEAST
HALF AND IN THE UPPER CUMBERLAND. THIS EVENING SHOWERS MAINLY EAST
HALF OF MID STATE. WEATHER PATTERN GETS REAL INTERESTING IN A
HURRY AS WE GO TOWARDS MIDNIGHT. MANITOBA MAULER WILL BE DIVING
SOUTHEAST TODAY AND TOWARDS SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY SATURDAY
MORNING. MID STATE AND PLATEAU WILL BE ON BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM
THAT WILL BRING FREEZING TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. WILL LET FREEZE WATCH RIDE FOR NOW BUT
FREEZE WARNING LIKELY NEEDED FOR TONIGHT. IN ADDITION TO THE COLD
TEMPERATURES...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES
EASTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND ALONG THE PLATEAU AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. COULD GET A DUSTING ON THE GROUND IN FENTRESS COUNTY AND
A FEW ADJACENT AREAS. FLURRIES COULD FLY AS FAR WEST AS INTERSTATE
65 AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT BUT THIS IS A FAST MOVING SYSTEM AND
WILL BE A QUICK HITTER. EAST TENNESSEE WILL CATCH THE BRUNT OF THE
MAULER.

CHILLY SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S...UPPER 30S ALONG PLATEAU.
COULD STILL SEE LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES IN THE UPPER CUMBERLAND
SATURDAY MORNING. LOW TEMPS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING IN THE
20S...SO FREEZE WARNING WILL BE NEEDED. UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN
FROM PLAINS BEGINNING ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 50S.
UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE AREA INTO TUESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER
WEATHER FRONT WORKS THIS WAY FROM THE WEST BRINGING A CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY
THURSDAY.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095.

FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095.

&&

$$

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