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Area Forecast Discussion

FXUS64 KOHX 250410

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1110 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016




Showers and thunderstorms across West Tennessee are really trying
their hardest this evening to make it across that Tennessee River
into Middle Tennessee. The HRRR and other short range models do
have some remnants of a few decaying thunderstorms and showers
making it into the far western portions of Middle Tennessee
before dying off after midnight. Not expecting too many impacts
other than some additional clouds and some light rain for the most
part. Adjusted POPS and temperatures to account for the next 6-12
hours, but really think this area of rain will rapidly die off
thanks to the pretty impressive dry air as exhibited on the KOHX
sounding this evening.

No other changes were made for the overnight period, but fair
warning, that these storms to our west this evening will likely
kick off some boundaries for tomorrow which will probably make
this time tomorrow evening a little more active as things begin to
finally moisten up. The Summertime Pattern will then be here to
stay for at least the next week or so.



Complex back along the Mississippi River beginning to wind down as
upper ridge just too strong for it to buck. Do expect an outflow
to be laid down for later convective development during the day
Wednesday that will likely affect the Clarksville and Nashville
terminals with the potential for a thunderstorm or two. Otherwise
vfr through the period.






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