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Area Forecast Discussion

400
FXUS64 KOHX 282219
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
519 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Broke out a late afternoon zone grouping to deal with convection
moving across our eastern half along with several outflow
boundaries. All in all, not much change from previous forecast
reasoning with convection dissipating as the mid evening hrs
progress. Mild and humid nights along with seasonably warm days
will be in store for the mid state thru at least the first half of
the work week, until a surface front moves into the area on
Thursday. Broad surface ridging pattern in place across eastern
U.S. with upper level ridging influences building wwd as the first
part of the week progresses. Tue should be the hottest day of the
next week, with highs in the low to mid 90s, upper 80s to around
90 Cumberland Plateau Region, as apex of upper level ridging
influences become most pronounced across the mid state region.
Will continue with the reasoning of the morning shift discussion
and think that we will be on the subsidence periphery of any
tropical disturbance that works into the southeast U.S., and go
with generally dry conditions, as temperatures are still expected
to be above seasonal normal values, but just by a few degrees, and
closer to seasonal normal values.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BNA/CKV/CSV...Isolated storms are ongoing this hour, but our
terminals should not be affected from 00Z onward. Expect
radiational cooling overnight, with MVFR fog possible at CKV,
perhaps a little more dense at CSV. Look for drier air tomorrow
with only isolated POP`s as winds turn northeastward. Not
including any mention of precipitation in the TAF`s.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......19
AVIATION........08



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