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Area Forecast Discussion

613
FXUS64 KMRX 010526
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
125 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

.AVIATION...
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A VERY MOIST AIR MASS OVER THE
FORECAST AREA...WITH DEWPOINTS NEAR 70 AT THE TAF SITES. WILL PLAN
TO MENTION SOME IFR VISIBILITIES DUE TO FOG AT ALL THREE TAF SITES
THIS MORNING...WITH A FAIRLY EXTENSIVE AREA OF CLOUDS OVER THE
REGION EXPECTED TO KEEP THIS FOG FROM BECOMING TOO DENSE TOWARDS
SUNRISE. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...BUT THE
COVERAGE OF CONVECTION SHOULD BE ISOLATED DUE TO A LACK OF
TRIGGERING MECHANISMS. THUS...WILL NOT MENTION ANY CONVECTION IN THE
TAFS DUE TO THE LOW PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE. OUTSIDE OF SOME FOG
THIS MORNING...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE TAF
PERIOD AT ALL THREE TAF SITES.
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DMG



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