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Area Forecast Discussion

192
FXUS64 KMRX 042357
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
757 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW SPINNING OVER MEMPHIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE
EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. ONGOING SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE CONFINED MAINLY
NORTH OF I-40. THESE SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AND WEAKEN OVER
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. EVENTUALLY SHOWERS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD FROM
ALABAMA INTO THE SOUTHERN TN VALLEY CLOSE TO 10-11 PM EDT. SHOWERS
SHOULD MOVE INTO KNOXVILLE AROUND MIDNIGHT AND TRI CITIES AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

TWEAKED SHORT-TERM FORECAST TO TRIM BACK POPS AREA WIDE UNTIL AFTER
03Z. THIS ALSO AFFECTED THE QPF FORECAST THROUGH 2AM...EXPECTING
LESS..WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SW VA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             68  81  68  86 /  80  80  30  40
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  79  67  85 /  80  80  50  40
OAK RIDGE, TN                       68  78  66  85 /  80  80  40  40
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              67  79  65  81 /  80  80  70  50

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-
     BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-COCKE
     SMOKY MOUNTAINS-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-HANCOCK-
     HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-MEIGS-
     MORGAN-NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST
     COCKE-NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-RHEA-ROANE-SCOTT TN-
     SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
     SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
     WASHINGTON TN-WEST POLK.

VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT-
     WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

AC



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