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Area Forecast Discussion

540
FXUS64 KMRX 010702
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
302 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER MO THIS MORNING WILL DRIFT EAST INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY REGION TODAY...AND CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A NORTHERLY FLOW
OF DRY AIR THAT WILL MAKE FOR COMFORTABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS. PLENTY OF
DRY AIR THROUGH THE COLUMN WILL MEAN FULL SUN HIGHS WILL BE
REACHED...IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SEASONABLY COOL LOWS CAN BE
EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT WITH CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES...DROPPING
INTO THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

.LONG TERM (TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY)...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS WE START OFF THE WEEKEND. VERY LITTLE
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE
LONG TERM FORECAST LEADING TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO NEXT WEEK. TEMPS WILL STAY A BIT ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL
NORMAL VALUES AS RIDGING REMAINS RELATIVELY SUPPRESSED AND STAYS OFF
TO OUR WEST. HOTTEST DAY WILL LIKELY BE TUESDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES
CLOSER TO US BEFORE INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE AND RAIN CHANCES MOVE
IN.

SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY, BUT MODELS START TO DIVERGE WITH WHAT
TO DO AS FAR AS ENDING TIME FOR PRECIPITATION. WILL CONTINUE MENTION
OF SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE SECOND HALF
OF THE WEEK AND WAIT FOR BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT BEFORE HIGHLIGHTING
BEST TIME FRAME FOR PRECIPITATION.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             92  64  93  66 /   0   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  89  63  89  64 /   0   0   0  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       89  62  89  64 /   0   0   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              87  59  86  58 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DGS/ABM



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