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Area Forecast Discussion

551
FXUS64 KMRX 301519
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1119 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...SKIES WERE STILL MOSTLY SUNNY LATE THIS MORNING AS
TEMPERATURES HAVE HEATED UP TO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS LOCATED SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTIONS
AND MAY BE A FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS. SHORT RANGE
MODELS ARE TRYING TO GET SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION GOING FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLATEAU NORTHEAST INTO SW VA BETWEEN ABOUT 15Z AND
23Z...WITH A BIT MORE COVERAGE POSSIBLE ACROSS NE TN AND SW VA
CLOSER TO THE REMNANTS OF TD BONNIE. THE MODELS QUICKLY DISSIPATE
THIS ACTIVITY BEFORE SUNSET. MOST UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS ACROSS
SOUTHERN THIRD OF FORECAST AREA SO STRONGEST STORMS SHOULD FORM
THERE. WILL KEEP CURRENT FORECAST AS IS. FRESHENED UP WORDING AND
UPDATED FORECAST SENT WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES. SKIES SHOULD BECOME
PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY NEAR SHOWERS AND STORMS.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...None.
VA...None.
&&

$$

TD



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