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Area Forecast Discussion

499
FXUS64 KMRX 010552
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
152 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...
LARGE SHIELD OF RAIN IN THE CAROLINAS IS FORECAST TO REORIENT ITS
AXIS TO ALLOW THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE PRECIP TO WORK A LITTLE
WWD...BUT SHOULD BE WELL EAST OF KCHA AND KTYS...AND LOOKING LIKE
ONLY SOME LIGHT RAIN AT KTRI.

CIGS FAIRLY HIGH OVERALL RIGHT NOW...AND LOOKING LIKE WESTERN EDGE
OF PRECIP IS A LITTLE FARTHER EAST THAN MODELS SUGGEST. THINK
PRECIP AT KTRI WILL BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY...SO DO NOT THINK THE
COLUMN WILL SATURATE DOWN TO MVFR CIGS AS SOME MODELS SUGGEST.
PUTTING IN SOME LIGHT FOG AT KTRI THIS MORNING...BUT LOWERING
CLOUDS WILL HELP KEEP THE FOG FROM GETTING TOO THICK. THINK CHANCES
OF FOG ARE BETTER TOWARD END OF FORECAST AFTER SUNSET WHEN SKIES
ARE CLEARING.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

GM



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