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Area Forecast Discussion

879
FXUS64 KMRX 041127
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
727 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.AVIATION...BKN CIGS ALREADY CLEARED OUT OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
VALLEY...BUT HOLDING IN AT TRI. NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED SINCE PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION. COLD FRONT STILL SET TO MOVE IN LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING BRINING ANOTHER ROUND OF BKN CIGS...ALONG WITH SOME
BREEZY/GUSTY NW WINDS. MODELS STILL AGREEING THAT A LINE OF SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REACH TAF SITES AROUND 00Z. FRONT
MOVES THROUGH AROUND 03Z BUT PRECIP LINGERS AT TRI THROUGH THE
PERIOD. STILL NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO INCLUDE VCTS IN TAFS DUE TO
QUESTIONS ON CONVECTIVE COVERAGE. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL AS FREEZING HEIGHTS WILL BE LOWERING THROUGH THE DAY WITH
COLD AIR ALOFT MOVING IN WITH TROUGH.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

SR



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