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Area Forecast Discussion

599
FXUS64 KMRX 300518
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
118 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.AVIATION...AN UPPER JET MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WILL PLACE
EAST TENNESSEE UNDER THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION WITH GOOD
DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THE DIRECT CIRCULATION AROUND THE JET WILL ENHANCE
THE FRONTO-GENETIC FORCING OVER THE AREA BETWEEN 08-11Z. A BAND OF
SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE FRONTAL BAND. CHA
FORECAST SOUNDING FOR 09Z SHOWS ELEVATED INSTABILITY. THE CURRENT
CONVECTION OF SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
TENNESSEE WITH THUNDER POSSIBLE AT CHA.

AS SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES EAST BY 12Z...CONVECTION WILL
MOVE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE AREA WITH SKIES CLEARING FAIRLY QUICKLY
AT CHA AND TYS. CLOUDS WILL LINGER LONGER AT TRI. OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING AT ALL TAF SITES WILL BECOME VFR BY
LATE MORNING.

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME WEST TO
NORTHWEST AFTER FROPA BY 12Z. GUSTS UP TO 20KTS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$



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