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Area Forecast Discussion

482
FXUS64 KMRX 011114
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
715 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

.AVIATION...
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A VERY MOIST AIR MASS OVER THE
FORECAST AREA...WITH DEWPOINTS NEAR 70 AT THE TAF SITES. MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A MARGINALLY TO POTENTIALLY MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...BUT THE
COVERAGE OF CONVECTION SHOULD BE ISOLATED DUE TO A LACK OF
TRIGGERING MECHANISMS. THUS...WILL NOT MENTION ANY CONVECTION IN THE
TAFS DUE TO THE LOW PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE. OUTSIDE OF SOME FOG
THIS MORNING AT KTRI...VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS BELOW 10 KT ARE
EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD AT ALL THREE TAF SITES.
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DMG



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