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Area Forecast Discussion

FXUS64 KMRX 251436 AAA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1036 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

An MCV over Middle TN is bringing some light showers to the Plateau
this morning. Satellite and RAP model trends show this MCV
weakening as it moves east. 12Z soundings around the region show a
fairly stable environment that will not be conducive to
thunderstorm development. But with the MCV tracking across our
north and good surface heating thus far in our northeast
sections...the current light showers may be maintained or increase
slightly. This is supported by the HRRR and NAM. Will raise pops to
mention scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms north...with
slight chance pops south. Temperatures will be adjusted to account
for the cloud cover...which is holding back temps in the western
half...and for the latest MOS guidance which is several degrees
cooler in some spots than the current forecast. Lower to mid 80s
are expected in most valley locations today.





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