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Area Forecast Discussion

025
FXUS62 KJAX 300149
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
949 PM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.UPDATE...SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY FADING OUT
INLAND BUT PERSISTING ALONG THE COAST DUE TO LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
INTERACTING WITH INSTABILITY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE SLOWLY WINDING
DOWN IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STORMS HAVE BEEN SLOW MOVING SO LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE TREND FOR
THE REST OF THE NIGHT WILL BE FOR CONVECTION TO CONTINUE TO FADE
INLAND BUT MOIST AND UNSTABLE ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...A CLUSTER OF STORMS HUGGING THE COAST WILL RESULT IN
OCNL TS WITH MVFR TIL AROUND 04Z. OTHERWISE PREVAILING VFR WITH
VCSH.

&&

.MARINE...STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
NORTH OF IT WILL PRODUCE AN ONSHORE FLOW TONIGHT BUT NO
HEADLINES EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY EAST 10 TO 15 KNOTS
WITH SEAS 3 TO 4 FEET. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS.


RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH SUNDAY WITH ONSHORE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  72  90  73  89 /  60  60  40  60
SSI  77  82  75  86 /  60  70  70  80
JAX  75  86  74  87 /  60  70  40  70
SGJ  75  84  76  86 /  60  70  50  80
GNV  72  87  72  87 /  60  70  30  70
OCF  73  88  72  88 /  60  70  30  80

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

PP/AE/RW



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