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Area Forecast Discussion

663
FXUS62 KJAX 281358
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
958 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...High Risk of Rip Currents Expected at Area Beaches Today...

.UPDATE...
A few showers and isolated storms will continue to rotate into the
offshore SE GA coastal waters otherwise minimal weather impacts
from TD2 this morning. Surf has increased into the 2-4 ft range
at the beaches and this will continue the increased threat of rip
currents today. Otherwise the region will be on the drier and
subsident side of this tropical cyclone and this will suppress
convection along the Atlantic Coast Sea Breeze as it pushes inland
with rain chances generally less than 20% with only isolated
showers and storms expected. Any Storms that develop will have a
southwesterly motion around 10 mph. Max temps will top out in the
lower/middle 80s along the coast and well into the upper 80s and
lower 90s further inland.

&&

.AVIATION...
A few brief periods of MVFR CIGS in the 1500-3000 feet range along
the coastal taf sites as the sea breeze develops this morning
otherwise mainly VFR with limited rain chances and expect will be
able to remove the VCSH at most TAF sites except for KSSI where
the best chances of a shower will occur. With offshore flow
developing tonight expect mainly VFR conds once again.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecast on track with SCA conditions expected for the offshore SE
GA waters and any changes this afternoon will depend on eventual
track of tropical system. Elsewhere across the waters expect SCEC
conditions with Northerly winds around 15-20 knots becoming
offshore NWLY tonight.

RIP CURRENTS: High risk with morning breaker reports in the 2-4
feet range..

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  90  65  90  68 /  20  10  10  10
SSI  82  69  85  70 /  20  20  20  10
JAX  88  67  90  70 /  20  10  10  10
SGJ  85  69  87  70 /  10  10  10  10
GNV  92  67  92  68 /  10  10  20  10
OCF  92  68  92  69 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.JAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Duval-Coastal Nassau-Flagler-St. Johns.

GA...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Camden-Coastal Glynn.

AM...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EDT Sunday
     for Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL
     from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Hess/Struble/Walker



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