National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

Area Forecast Discussion

304
FXUS62 KJAX 170125
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
925 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013

.UPDATE...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MOST OF THE MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS ARE PUSHING E THROUGH NE FL WITH DRIER AIR MOVING IN ALOFT
WHICH IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH LATEST MODEL CROSS SECTIONS
SHOWING SIMILAR TRENDS. BROAD WSW FLOW NOTED AROUND 500 MB WITH A
WELL DEFINED MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NW ARKANSAS AT 00Z AND
TROUGHING INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. A SFC RIDGE CONTINUES
OVER NRN PARTS OF FL. A MILD NIGHT AS TEMPS FALL INTO THE LOWER
60S INLAND TO MID/UPPER 60S COAST. LIGHT SE TO S WINDS WILL VEER
AND DECREASE THROUGH NIGHT. THE 00Z JAX SOUNDING SHOWS LITTLE
CHANGE IN TEMPS BUT SLIGHTLY HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT WITH PWAT OF
1.2 INCHES. VERY LIGHT AND PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE INLAND ZONES BUT
DOES NOT WARRANT BEING IN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST DUE A WEAK
INVERSION AND RELATIVELY DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS
TO THE ONGOING FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTHERLY WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS TONIGHT. SEAS WILL GENERALLY AVERAGE
2 TO 3 FEET WITH SOME 4 FT SEAS POSSIBLE NEAR THE 60NM MARKER.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK TODAY WILL DROP BACK TO A LOW RISK ON
FRIDAY DUE TO DECREASED SWELLS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  61  89  63  89 /  10  20  20  30
SSI  68  81  69  81 /   0   0  10  20
JAX  64  86  65  87 /   0   0  10  30
SGJ  65  82  68  84 /   0   0  10  20
GNV  62  89  63  89 /   0  20  20  30
OCF  63  90  64  89 /   0  20  20  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHASHY/SHULER/WALKER