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Area Forecast Discussion

476
FXUS62 KJAX 010010
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
810 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014


.UPDATE...SURFACE FRONT OVER CENTRAL FL WITH SHORT WAVE RIDGING
AND DRYING ALOFT. RAIN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY IS DECREASING OVER
SOUTHERN ZONES SO WILL DROP FLOOD WATCH AS HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED. SKIES HAVE CLEARED OVER COASTAL SE GA AND THIS CLEARING
IS WORKING SOUTH INTO NE FL THIS EVENING. EXPECT AREAS OF LATE
NIGHT STRATUS AND FOG TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA OF CLEARING DUE TO
LIGHT WINDS AND LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S TONIGHT...AND AROUND 70
FAR SOUTH...AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...SKY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE OVERNIGHT WITH
ALL SITES EVENTUALLY REACHING VFR CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...GNV AND
VQQ COULD STILL SEE INTERMITTENT MVFR CIGS EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS
SKIES BECOME BKN FOR BRIEF PERIODS. WITH GRADUAL CLEARING...FOG
COULD BECOME AN ISSUE LATE TONIGHT/EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AT ALL
SITES LESS SSI. GNV WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON HOW LONG BREAKS IN THE
CLOUD COVER PERSIST...ALLOWING ENOUGH RADIATIVE COOLING. FOR NOW
HAVE KEPT VSBYS FOR VQQ AT LOW END MVFR...GNV AT LOW END IFR...AND
JAX/CRG REMAINING VFR WITH MINIMAL RESTRICTIONS IN BR.
TOMORROW...GNV COULD SEE MVFR CIGS LAST INTO THE LATE
MORNING...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES ONCE
EARLY MORNING FOG DISSIPATES.


&&

.MARINE...ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST AND THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN THIS EVENING ALONG WITH WINDS. WILL
LIKELY DROP SCEC HEADLINE FOR TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  67  87  67  87 /  10  10  10  10
SSI  70  81  71  81 /  10  10  10  10
JAX  69  85  69  85 /  10  20  20  20
SGJ  71  83  73  84 /  20  40  30  30
GNV  69  86  69  88 /  10  50  40  30
OCF  71  86  70  88 /  40  60  50  40

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

ZIBURA/GUILLET/MCALLISTER






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