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Area Forecast Discussion

920
FXUS62 KJAX 301458
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
958 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

.UPDATE...WEAK COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE REGION WITH SFC
ANALYSIS SHOWING THE BOUNDARY FROM NEAR BRUNSWICK GA TO NEAR/OR
JUST S OF LIVE OAK. WEAK RADAR RETURNS HAVE BEEN NOTED ALONG THE
FRONT...RECENTLY OVER MARION COUNTY AT 950 AM...BUT NO MEASURABLE
PRECIP EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SEWD
REST OF TODAY WITH THE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE NE FL CLEARING
THROUGH THE AFTN. BY AFTER 3 PM...SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS
WILL DOMINATE THE WX THOUGH THIN HIGH CLOUDS MAY REMAIN. MAX TEMPS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 OVER THE NRN AREA
WITH LOWER TO MID 60S S AREAS. BREEZY NWLY WINDS NEAR 10-15G20MPH
EXPECTED AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. UPDATES TO THE FCST MAINLY FOR
TEMPS AND SKY COVER.

&&

.AVIATION...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS FOR NE FL FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS THEN VFR. LLWS THREAT HAS NOW PASSED WITH LATEST
VWP AT JAX AND VAX SHOWING NNW TO NW 25 KT AT 1-2 KFT. NWLY WINDS
NEAR 10-15G20KT...DECREASING TO ABOUT 5 KT THIS EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS GUSTY W TO NW EARLY TODAY...TURNING
MORE NWLY TO N THROUGH THE DAY WITH LOW END SCA CONDITIONS
OFFSHORE WATERS CONTINUING. SCEC WILL BE HEADLINED NEARSHORE.
THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT THE ADVISORY COULD POSSIBLY BE
EXTENDED LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY SAT MORNING BUT WILL DEFER TO
AFTERNOON PACKAGE WHETHER TO MAKE THAT CHANGE.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK DUE TO OFFSHORE FLOW TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  58  33  59  41 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  57  39  55  46 /  10   0   0   0
JAX  61  36  60  46 /  10   0   0   0
SGJ  62  43  59  49 /  10   0   0  10
GNV  64  34  65  45 /  10   0   0   0
OCF  66  36  67  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR WATERS
     FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM-WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20
     TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

SHASHY/ALLEN/GUILLET



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