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Area Forecast Discussion

352
FXUS62 KJAX 301305
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
905 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL SLIDE SOUTH AS A COOL FRONT MOVES INTO
SOUTHEAST GA THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENTLY AN ACCOMPANYING BAND OF
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IS DROPPING SOUTH OVER NORTHERN
GEORGIA AND THE ATLANTA METRO AREA. LOCALLY...MOISTURE SHOULD BE
LIMITED AND WILL KEEP THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOW THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

THE BOUNDARY WILL SINK INTO NORTHEAST FL AND WEAKEN TONIGHT. WITH
AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY LURKING ABOUT...A FEW SHOWERS CAN NOT BE
RULED OUT ANYWHERE IN THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES.

&&

.AVIATION...
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS
AFTERNOON. AS THE FRONT SINKS SOUTH INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA LATER THIS
AFTERNOON... WE WILL SEE A LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS...AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. CEILINGS SHOULD BE IN THE 3-5 KFT RANGE AROUND
CONVECTION AND BRIEFLY LOWER IN HEAVIER RAIN AREAS.

THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY SINK SOUTH INTO NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND WEAKEN
TONIGHT. A BRIEF RESTRICTION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR SHOWERS
AND STORMS THROUGH 06 UTC.

&&

.MARINE...A COOL FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTH TO THE NEAR THE GA-FL
STATE LINE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN SOUTH OF LOCAL WATERS ON
TUESDAY. THIS BOUNDARY IS RELATIVELY WEAK...AND WILL HAVE LITTLE
IMPACT ON WIND SPEEDS OR WAVE HEIGHTS. A SECOND WEAK FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD EAST OF AREA WATERS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

RIP CURRENTS: MAINLY IN LOW RISK CATEGORY TODAY AND TUESDAY DUE
TO PREVAILING OFFSHORE FLOW AND LOW SWELL HEIGHTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  76  48  80  59 /  40  40  30  30
SSI  70  54  73  60 /  30  40  20  20
JAX  76  53  81  60 /  20  20  20  20
SGJ  74  57  77  61 /  10  20  20  10
GNV  76  53  82  59 /   0  20  20  10
OCF  77  54  83  59 /   0  20  30  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SANDRIK/ENYEDI/GUILLET



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