National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

Area Forecast Discussion

506
FXUS62 KJAX 171346
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
946 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013

.UPDATE...
SKIES ARE MAINLY SUNNY WITH A FEW MID/HIGH CLOUDS IN SOME
LOCATIONS. KJAX SOUNDING IS DRIER TODAY SHOWING PWAT OF 0.95
INCHES AND THIS IS SIMILAR TO WHAT THE BLENDED PWAT SATELLITE
PRODUCT SHOWS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW RELATIVELY STABLE CONDS
THROUGH THE AFTN AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE. ATLC SEA
BREEZE WILL PUSH INLAND WITH MOSTLY FLAT CUMULUS CLOUDS. NAM
INDICATES SLIGHTLY HIGHER INSTABILITY THIS AFTN ACROSS SE GA AND
WILL KEEP LOW END POPS...ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW SINCE GFS
PLACES NVA OVER GA LATE TODAY. TEMPS ARE WARMING QUICKLY AND WILL
BE NEAR 90 WELL INLAND AND MID 80S AT THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
PREVAILING VFR CONTINUES.

&&

.MARINE...
BENIGN CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE WATERS THIS MORNING WITH WINDS
5-10 KT AND SEAS AVERAGING 2 FT. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES EXPECTED.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  89  64  89  66 /  20  20  30  20
SSI  82  70  83  70 /   0   0  20  10
JAX  87  65  87  67 /   0   0  30  20
SGJ  83  68  84  69 /   0   0  20  10
GNV  89  64  89  65 /   0   0  30  20
OCF  90  65  91  66 /   0   0  30  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

TRABERT/GUILLET