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Area Forecast Discussion

265
FXUS62 KJAX 241426
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1026 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016

.UPDATE...
Main update was to lower pops for today, especially north of a
line from Gainesville to St. Augustine where it will remain
primarily dry. Soundings across these areas show a fairly
predominant cap around 6000 to 8000 feet. Otherwise, we will
maintain about a 30% chance of showers across our southern zones
from late this morning through early this afternoon where the low
to mid level cap is not as strong. Onshore flow will increase
today and it will become breezy at times along the coast with
gusts up to around 25 mph expected. Have also increased temps a
couple of degrees across inland areas due to ample sunshine and
lack of convective activity. Temps today will be near normal at
the coast and normal to slightly above normal farther inland.

&&

.AVIATION...
Rain chances will be very low today and have removed VCSH and
VCTS groups from all TAF sites today. VFR conditions will prevail
today with temporary ceilings around 2500 to 3500 feet possible
at times this morning. Northeasterly winds will increase today
and become breezy at times this afternoon. A few coastal showers
are anticipated near the TAF sites late tonight and we will need
to carry VCSH after midnight to account for this. MVFR ceilings
will also be possible near this shower activity.

&&

.MARINE...
Have increased winds today based on latest observations and high
res model data for this afternoon. Northeasterly winds will
increase to 15 to 20 knots today and small craft will need to
exercise caution across all local marine waters. Seas will
increase to 4 to 6 feet over the offshore zones. SCEC conditions
will continue over the offshore zones tonight.


Rip Currents: Moderate Risk.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  92  70  91  71 /   0  10  10   0
SSI  89  76  89  76 /  10  20  20  10
JAX  91  72  89  74 /  10  20  30  10
SGJ  88  79  88  77 /  20  20  40  20
GNV  91  73  91  73 /  20  10  30  10
OCF  93  74  91  74 /  30  10  40  10

&&

.JAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Shuler/Enyedi/Peterson



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