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Area Forecast Discussion

625
FXUS62 KJAX 290622
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
222 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS CLIPPING THE AREA OVERNIGHT...BUT WITH
VERY LIMITED DEEP MOISTURE...THIS FEATURE IS ONLY PRODUCING MID
LEVEL CLOUDS OVER SE GA/EXTREME NE FL. THE CLOUDS WILL BEGIN
TO THIN OUT LATER TNGT...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AREA WIDE TODAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. ANOTHER COOL DAY IS IN
STORE AS WINDS BECOME ONSHORE...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER/MID 60S
FOR SE GA/NE FL...AND UPPER 60S FOR NORTH-CENTRAL FL.

TNGT/MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL THIS EVENING AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFFSHORE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF GA OVERNIGHT...WITH CLOUDS INCREASING ACROSS
SE GA OVERNIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE QUITE AS COLD AS
SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH UPPER 30S/LOWER 40S INLAND...AND MID 40S
TO AROUND 50 COAST. THE FRONT WILL ENTER SE GA MONDAY AFTN.
DEEP MOISTURE STILL LOOKS LIMITED...BUT A BIT GREATER THAN
PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS...SO WILL USE ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED POPS
FOR SE GA MONDAY AFTN...WITH NORTHERN FL REMAINING MAINLY DRY
WITH A FEW MORE CLOUDS IN THE AFTN. HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 70S
WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL.

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. THE BOUNDARY WEAKENS AS IT MOVES SOUTH...SO CONTINUING
TREND TOWARD LOW CHANCE POPS WITH ITS PASSAGE. UPPER TROUGHING
WILL LEAD TO A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS INTO
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND TOWARD SEASONAL AVERAGES.


.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/......
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION THROUGH
FRIDAY. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...HELPING TO GENERATE SCATTERED
SHOWERS/STORMS. UPPER RIDGING SHOULD PROVIDE FOR A DRY DAY INTO
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH ON SATURDAY WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO BRING A ROUND OF SHOWERS/STORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY BE ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TODAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
LOOSENS. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WATERS MONDAY...CROSSING
THE WATERS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WITH THE BOUNDARY WEAK AND
PRESSURE GRADIENT NOT VERY TIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...WINDS
MAY BRIEFLY TOUCH CAUTION OFFSHORE...BUT GENERALLY EXPECT QUIET
CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  63  41  76  52 /   0   0  30  30
SSI  59  49  71  54 /   0   0  20  20
JAX  63  42  78  54 /   0   0  10  10
SGJ  60  51  73  58 /   0   0  10  10
GNV  68  41  77  54 /   0   0  10  10
OCF  69  40  77  55 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ALLEN/STRUBLE



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