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Area Forecast Discussion

113
FXUS62 KJAX 231813
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
213 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TOMORROW WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS. ANOTHER COOL NIGHT WILL BE IN
STORE FOR TONIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID 40S INLAND TO
THE MID TO UPPER 50S AT THE BEACHES. SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPS WILL
PREVAIL FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S INLAND. A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL APPROACH FRIDAY AFTERNOON BUT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
REMAIN WAY TOO DRY TO SUPPORT ANY PRECIP.

SAT & SAT NIGHT...SUNNY...COOL AND DRY WITH DEEP LAYER NORTHERLY
FLOW IN PLACE WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDINGS OVER THE
W-CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50 INLAND...TO
MID 50S RIVER BASIN/COAST.

SUN & SUN NIGHT...MEAN LAYER RIDING BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST OVER
THE FL PENINSULA AS A WEAK AND DRY BACKDOOR COLD FRONT SLIDES DOWN
THE SE ATLANTIC COAST AND BECOMES DIFFUSE OVER GA. NORTHERLY FLOW
WEAKENS AND WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS THE RIDGING BUILDS
OVERHEAD. COULD SEE SOME PASSING CLOUDS SUNDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROUGH...BUT OVERALL SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR TO OCCASIONAL
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH TEMPS WILL REBOUND TO NEAR 80 SUNDAY WITH
RISING HEIGHTS...WITH LOWS IN THE LOW/MID 50S INLAND SUN NIGHT TO
NEAR 60 RIVER BASIN/COAST. COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG INLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE ATLANTIC COUPLED
WITH CALM WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

.LONG TERM /MON THROUGH THU/...

LOW MAINLY COASTAL RAIN CHANCES MID-WEEK WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OFFSHORE OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC SEABOARD WITH ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE FL PENINSULA WILL SHIFT EAST WITH A
WARMER SW MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW. A LOW 20% CHANCE OF COASTAL
SHOWERS POSSIBLE TUE-WED WITH INCREASING CHANCES THU AS MOISTURE
INCREASES AHEAD OF APPROACHING BUT WEAKENING FRONTAL ZONE FROM THE
NW. TEMPS WILL RANGE NEAR TO ABOVE CLIMO VALUES WITH LOWS WILL
MID/UPPER 50S INLAND TO MID 60S RIVER BASIN/COAST WITH HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S INLAND TO UPPER 70S COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW CAUTION LEVELS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH NE WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY BRIEFLY BECOMING OFFSHORE
SUNDAY...THEN SOUTHEASTERLY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  44  78  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  53  75  56  75 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  47  77  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  57  76  58  76 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  48  78  50  79 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  51  79  51  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHULER/ENYEDI/WALKER







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