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Area Forecast Discussion

086
FXUS62 KJAX 240049
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
849 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2016

.UPDATE...The backdoor frontal system is slipping south across the
area with the wedge/local northeaster building in behind it.
Convection is gradually dying over land except near the immediate
frontal surface where it still has a bit of support. Shower
activity should shift to the coastal waters and immediate coastal
areas overnight, mainly along the Florida coast.

&&

.AVIATION...land based shower activity will drop off by midnight
with some shower development in the coastal areas later tonight.
Tomorrow that coastal shower activity should be able to penetrate
inland near the coastal fields from Jacksonville southward. Have
kept showers in the vicinity for now but tempo groups may have to
be introduced later on.

&&

.MARINE...As high pressure builds to our north a northeasterly
flow will continue reaching caution conditions in the offshore
waters through Wednesday night. Seas offshore will build to 5-6
feet by Wednesday and Wednesday night. An extended period of
onshore flow is expected through the weekend with building
easterly swells.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk developing this afternoon as a
northeasterly wind surge overspreads our region, with the outgoing
tide contributing to the risk. Elevated risk expected through the
weekend due to persistent breezy onshore winds and a building
easterly ocean swell.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  74  92  70  92 /  10  10   0  10
SSI  78  87  77  88 /  20  10  10  20
JAX  76  90  74  89 /  30  20  10  20
SGJ  79  87  79  87 /  30  30  20  30
GNV  75  91  73  91 /  30  30  10  30
OCF  75  91  74  91 /  30  30  10  40

&&

.JAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Sandrik/Kennedy/Guillet



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