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Area Forecast Discussion

208
FXUS62 KJAX 281801
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
201 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
DRY AND MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS AFTN...WITH THE CLOSEST
SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
PREVAIL ONCE AGAIN TNGT. WITH TEMPERATURES WARMER THIS AFTN...AND
COLUMN MOISTURE NOT QUITE AS DRY...LOW TEMPERATURES TNGT WILL NOT
BE QUITE AS COOL AS LAST NIGHT...BUT STILL SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
WITH 65 TO 70 INLAND...AND LOWER 70S COAST.

FRIDAY...MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING NUDGES TO THE NORTH...ALLOWING FOR
INCREASED DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS...ALONG WITH
SMALL SCALE/SEABREEZE INTERACTIONS WILL LEAD TO SHOWERS AND TSTMS
RETURNING TO THE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON. WILL USE SCATTERED POPS FOR
MOST OF NE FL...WITH ISOLATED POPS INTO SE GA. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER/MID 90S INLAND TO AROUND 90 COAST.


.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
PERSISTENT WEATHER PATTERN WILL BEGIN THIS LABOR DAY WEEKEND AND
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. IT WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST US AND SFC HIGH PRESSURE
LOCATED TO OUR NORTH MOVING TO OUR NE THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS
WILL ALLOW A TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN TO INITIATE WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING EACH AFTERNOON WHICH WILL CONTINUE ALONG
THE SEA BREEZE FRONTS AS THEY COME TOGETHER INLAND. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT SHIFTING ONSHORE EACH AFTERNOON AND BECOMING BREEZY AT THE
BEACHES. TEMPS WILL BE RIGHT AROUND SEASONAL NORMALS IN THE
LOWER/MID 90S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA EACH DAY THEN COOLING INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 70S EACH NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
SEA CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE...AND WILL REMOVE CAUTION FOR THE AFTN
ISSUANCE. BENIGN CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RESIDUAL EASTERLY
SWELL.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  67  96  71  93 /   0  20  20  40
SSI  73  89  77  88 /   0  10  10  20
JAX  70  93  73  92 /   0  20  20  40
SGJ  72  90  75  89 /  10  20  20  30
GNV  68  92  73  92 /  10  50  50  50
OCF  69  92  73  92 /  10  50  40  50

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ALLEN/GUILLET/WALSH






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