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Area Forecast Discussion

895
FXUS62 KJAX 040042
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
842 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.UPDATE...CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH EARLY FOR SE GA DUE
TO WEAKENING INSTABILITY WITH LOSS OF HEATING...AND WEAK VERTICAL
SHEAR. EXPECT SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE OVER
NE FL AFTER 06Z TONIGHT AS UPPER SHORT WAVE NOW OVER TX/OK PIVOTS
SE INTO LA AIDING LIFT OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND NE FL AHEAD OF
SURFACE COLD FRONT. EXPECT RAIN CHANCES TO DECREASE FROM THE NW
WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER SE GA...AND OVER NE FL IN THE EARLY
AFTERNOON AS COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND
THEN LOWER TO MVFR IN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER MAINLY 06Z-13Z.
SW WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...SW WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW ON
WEDNESDAY AS COLD FRONT PUSHES SE ACROSS THE WATERS. SHOWERS AND
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AND THEN END BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK DUE TO OFFSHORE WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  64  79  53  74 /  50  20   0  10
SSI  68  81  59  73 /  60  30  10   0
JAX  68  83  56  77 /  60  40  10   0
SGJ  69  82  60  78 /  60  60  10   0
GNV  68  82  56  78 /  70  60  10   0
OCF  69  82  56  80 /  70  90  10   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ZIBURA/WOLF/PETERSON



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