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Area Forecast Discussion

891
FXUS62 KJAX 080208
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
908 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE AREA AS HIGH PRES SFC AND ALOFT
MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT. A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS
AS THE STRONG LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE E COAST MOVES NORTHEAST.
WLY WINDS ARE STILL UP SLIGHTLY AT 5-10 MPH OVER PORTIONS OF OUR
AREA BUT STILL EXPECTING WINDS TO DROP TO ABOUT 5 MPH WITH LOW
TEMPS IN THE MID 30S INLAND SO NO FREEZE EXPECTED EXCEPT PERHAPS
IN WIND SHELTERED LOCATIONS...TOO SMALL OF ANY AREA FOR ANY
FREEZE WARNING. SHOULD SEE SOME PATCHY FROST TOWARD DAWN PARTICULARLY
IN LOW-LYING AND SHELTERED AREAS. ANY CIRRUS COMING ACROSS OUR SRN
MOST ZONES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD 12Z SHOULD HAVE
NIL AFFECT ON MIN TEMPS. OTHER THAN TWEAKS TO WINDS AND TEMPS THIS
EVENING...NO OTHER ADJUSTMENTS NEEDED ATTM.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT. WLY NEAR 12-15G20KT MONDAY
AFTER 15Z. INCREASED CLOUDS IN THE AFTN BUT VFR CIGS AS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED ENOUGH FOR DROPPING THE GALE WARNING AND
MAINTAIN AN SCA. WINDS AND SEAS DECREASED ENOUGH FOR THE NEARSHORE
WATERS TO THE POINT WHERE SCEC SUFFICES ATTM...NOW STARTING MON
AFTN. ADJUSTED SEA HEIGHTS DOWN A BIT TONIGHT AND MONDAY BASED ON
41008 AND 41112 READINGS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  36  61  33  48 /   0  30  20   0
SSI  37  62  37  50 /   0  30  40   0
JAX  36  64  35  52 /   0  20  40   0
SGJ  38  65  40  54 /   0  10  40   0
GNV  34  65  36  54 /   0  20  20   0
OCF  36  66  39  55 /   0  10  30   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
     WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM-WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM MONDAY TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL
     OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST.
     AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO
     FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

SHASHY/PETERSON/GUILLET



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