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Area Forecast Discussion

703
FXUS62 KJAX 060050
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
850 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2015


.UPDATE...CONVECTION SWEPT EAST ACROSS NE FL/SE GA AND IS NOW
WEAKENING OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS. UPPER LOW TO THE NORTH PUSHED
A TROUGH ACROSS THE SE PRODUCING THE STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS. ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG CONVECTION EXPECTED
MONDAY AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH PUSHES EAST INTO THE
AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...TRAILING AREA OF STRATIFORM RAIN IS STILL AFFECTING
COASTAL TERMINALS OF CRG...SSI...AND SGJ AS IT SLOWLY MOVES
OFFSHORE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. FOLLOWING PERSISTENCE FROM
THIS MORNING WHERE GROUND WAS SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS DAYS TSTORMS
HAVE INCLUDED MVFR VSBYS IN BR AT GNV AND VQQ EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING. CONFIDENCE IS LOWER IN BR AT OTHER SITES SO HAVE NOT
INCLUDED IN 00Z PACKAGE BUT MAY BE ADDED IN FUTURE PACKAGE.
EXPECTING NUMEROUS STORMS TO DEVELOP TOMORROW AFTERNOON AFFECTING
GNV EARLIER IN THE AFTERNOON AROUND 18Z AND THE REMAINING SITES
CLOSER TO 21Z. HAVE INCLUDED JUST VCTS FOR NOW.


&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL BECOME S TO SW AS SHOWER ACTIVITY DISSIPATES
WITH SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET OVERNIGHT. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF LATE
AFTERNOON STORMS MOVING EAST INTO THE COASTAL WATERS ON MONDAY.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  70  92  71  93 /  20  60  30  40
SSI  73  88  76  87 /  30  50  30  30
JAX  71  91  72  91 /  20  60  40  50
SGJ  72  89  74  90 /  20  60  40  40
GNV  70  92  71  91 /  20  60  30  60
OCF  70  92  72  92 /  20  60  30  70

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ZIBURA/GUILLET/WALKER



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